Timeline

2012

Six men are hospitalised in April and May after working in a bat-infested mine near Tongguan in Mojiang County, Yunnan. Infection by a bat virus is suspected and top laboratories including that of Dr Shi Zhengli of the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) start to search the mine for viruses

2013

WIV scientists find RaTG13, a sarbecovirus (SARS-like coronavirus), in a sample taken from the Mojiang mine to Wuhan

2014

US moratorium on gain-of-function research

Beijing scientists reveal they searched the Mojiang mine but didn’t find the virus that sickened the miners

Scientists from the lab of the then deputy director of the Chinese CDC, Dr George Gao, search the Mojiang mine for viruses

2015

The WIV finds eight other sarbecoviruses in the Mojiang mine

Dr Shi of the WIV co-authors a paper reporting the manipulation of a furin cleavage site in MERS and MERS-like spike genes

Dr Shi co-authors a paper with Dr Ralph Baric creating a chimeric sarbecovirus with a spike gene from a bat sarbecovirus

2016

Dr Shi publishes a small fragment of RaTG13 under the name BtCoV/4991

2017

Dr Shi reports the creation of eight recombinant bat sarbecoviruses

Moratorium on gain-of-function research ends; framework on work with enhanced potential pandemic pathogens is introduced

2018

RaTG13’s full genome is sequenced

The WIV files patent for bat breeding cages

2019

The WIV takes its extensive pathogen database offline on 12 September; as far as we can tell, they were studying nine of the closest relatives to SARS-CoV-2 known to scientists at the time in the laboratory – all collected from the Mojiang mine

Wuhan Military World Games committee holds an exercise in how to respond to a novel coronavirus outbreak (September)

The WIV files patent for finger-wound device

WIV study of people living in sarbecovirus spillover zone in southern China says that bat coronavirus spillover is rare

Dr Peter Daszak describes progress with finding 100 novel sarbecoviruses; some can infect human cells and humanised mice in the laboratory

Covid-19/SARS-CoV-2 is first detected in Wuhan in late 2019

Detailed timeline in 2019–20

17 Nov

Fifty-five-year-old man in Hubei province is allegedly the earliest case to be retrospectively diagnosed

1 Dec

First clinically diagnosed case according to Lancet study

8 Dec

First clinically diagnosed case according to China-WHO joint study on the origin of Covid-19

24 Dec

Patient sample from Wuhan Central Hospital is sent for testing

26 Dec

The sample tests positive for a coronavirus

27 Dec

First SARS-CoV-2 genome is obtained and allegedly shared with the WIV

30 Dec

Doctors at Wuhan Central Hospital, Dr Ai Fen and Dr Li Wenliang, blow the whistle on novel SARS-related coronavirus infections

This information is leaked online and reaches the Chinese CDC director, Dr George Gao

Dr Shi is called to return to Wuhan from a Shanghai conference in order to look into the novel coronavirus outbreak; she wonders if it came from her laboratory because she ‘never expected this kind of thing to happen in Wuhan, in central China’.

The WIV’s pathogen database fact sheet is updated

ProMED sends a global alert regarding the novel coronavirus outbreak

31 Dec

Huanan seafood market is disinfected while hundreds of samples are taken from surfaces and animal carcasses or products

1 Jan

The authorities crack down on doctors and scientists sharing information about the outbreak in the media or online

3 Jan

Dr Li Wenliang is interrogated by police and made to sign a confession to wrongdoing

Chinese authorities order all patient samples to be destroyed or transferred to designated institutions

Dr Zhang Yongzhen in Shanghai receives Wuhan patient samples

The SARS-CoV-2 genome is shared with companies to develop diagnostics

4 Jan

The Chinese vaccine developer Sinopharm starts to manufacture a vaccine for SARS-CoV-2

5 Jan

Dr Zhang obtains the SARS-CoV-2 genome and uploads it to the international GenBank database under embargo; he tells Wuhan Central Hospital that they are dealing with a dangerous pathogen

7 Jan

Dr Zhang submits a paper to Nature describing the SARS-CoV-2 virus and its genome

11 Jan

As pressure grows, Dr Zhang shares the genome with his co-author Dr Edward Holmes who posts the genome online

13 Jan

Taiwan sends experts to Wuhan to check if human-to-human transmission is occurring

First Covid-19 case outside China: a traveller from Wuhan to Thailand

14 Jan

World Health Organization (WHO) announces that the Chinese authorities have found ‘no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel #coronavirus (2019-nCoV) identified in #Wuhan, #China’

18 Jan

Sir Jeremy Farrar informs the WHO of data pointing to human-to-human transmission

Wuhan mayor hosts record-breaking banquet in the city

20 Jan

Chinese government confirms human-to-human transmission of the virus

Dr Shi submits her first two papers on the novel coronavirus to prestigious scientific journals; neither point out the furin cleavage site

22 Jan

Chinese CDC says the virus likely came from wild animals illegally sold at Huanan seafood market

Pangolin coronavirus data is released by Chinese scientists on the international NCBI database following a 2019 paper

23 Jan

Wuhan is locked down

Dr Shi preprints a seminal paper on the novel coronavirus and RaTG13

WHO votes not to declare an international emergency

31 Jan

China reports to the OIE World Animal Health Information System that no animal samples from the Huanan seafood market have tested positive for the virus

1 Feb

Top scientists and virologists in the West hold conference call to discuss the origin of the virus, including the possibility of a lab origin; several participants consider a lab origin at least as likely as a natural origin

6 Feb

Wuhan scientists post an article online suggesting a laboratory origin (the article is quickly withdrawn)

Dr Peter Daszak drafts a letter to condemn conspiracy theories suggesting anything other than a natural origin and recruits signatories

7 Feb

Dr Li Wenliang dies from Covid-19

Chinese scientists announce discovery of a pangolin virus that is allegedly a 99 per cent match to SARS-CoV-2

18–20 Feb

Four preprints are posted online describing the same pangolin coronavirus that has a similar spike receptor-binding domain to SARS-CoV-2, but is only 90 per cent similar overall

24 Feb

Chinese CDC informs its offices that information regarding the novel coronavirus must not be shared publicly

7 Mar

Dr Daszak’s letter co-signed by twenty-seven prominent scientists is published by the Lancet

11 Mar

WHO declares a pandemic

17 Mar

Dr Kristian Andersen and colleagues publish ‘Proximal Origin’ correspondence in Nature Medicine: ‘We do not believe that any type of laboratory-based scenario is plausible’

2 May

Alina’s preprint on the adaptation of SARS-CoV-2 for humans is posted online

18 May

The Seeker posts the medical thesis describing the Mojiang miners under Alina’s Twitter thread on her preprint

25 May

Dr Gao of the Chinese CDC announces that Huanan seafood market is a victim and that the virus had existed long before the market

29 May

The Seeker posts a doctoral thesis from Dr Gao’s lab describing the Mojiang miners and providing GPS coordinates to the mine

31 May

The WIV and EcoHealth Alliance publish Latinne et al. preprint with data on viruses collected up till 2015

7 Jul

Alina and Dr Shing Hei Zhan post a preprint revealing scientific issues with the pangolin papers

31 Jul

The WHO agrees terms of reference for its joint study with the Chinese government on the origins of the virus

2 Aug

Francisco de Ribera and ‘Babar’ conclude that eight viruses from the Latinne et al. manuscript were from the Mojiang mine

11 Nov

An editor’s note is added to a pangolin paper in Nature (though no correction has been made to date)

17 Nov

An addendum is added by Dr Shi to her Nature paper acknowledging connection to the Mojiang mine and reporting additional sarbecoviruses found in the mine

Detailed timeline in 2021

14 Jan

WHO-recruited international experts arrive in Wuhan

15 Jan

US State Department issues a fact sheet pointing to possibility of a laboratory origin

9 Feb

China-WHO joint study press conference in Wuhan

4 Mar

Open letter by international experts and scientists, including Alina, calls for a full investigation including that of a lab origin

30 Mar

China-WHO joint study publishes its report

14 May

Letter in Science co-signed by prominent scientists, including Alina, calls for a credible investigation into both natural and laboratory origin hypotheses

26 May

US President Joe Biden announces ninety-day inquiry by the intelligence community into the origin of Covid-19

22 Jun

Dr Jesse Bloom unearths early Wuhan Covid-19 data deleted from the international NCBI database in June 2020; the data exonerate the Huanan seafood market

22 Jul

Chinese government announces that it will not cooperate with second phase of WHO’s Covid-19 origins investigation

3 Aug

Chinese authorities share draft changes to the Regulation on the Administration of Laboratory Animals for public consultation, including the text ‘Animals used in experiments cannot go back on the market’

6 Aug

Scientist in Beijing is revealed to have caught Covid-19 in a laboratory in early 2020

9 Aug

Chinese state-owned Global Times publishes allegations that laboratories at the University of North Carolina could have leaked the virus

27 Aug

Biden administration releases inconclusive report from US intelligence agencies about the origin of the virus

6 Sep

Documents released to the Intercept by National Institutes of Health reveal new information about the WIV’s creation of chimeric viruses with increased pathogenicity