7:   This Will Never Happen

THE pure science had produced the possibility. By the summer of 1939 it was known all over the scientific world.[1] Publication was open. The German physicists read the Bohr–Wheeler paper and the rest of the literature with, of course, as much realization as the Americans and English. So did Lev Landau in the Soviet Union, who ranked with Kapitsa as a leading Russian physicist. There was much troubled thinking.

Sensible people, certainly in Europe, took it for granted that war was coming, probably within months. It was now feasible at least in principle that explosives could be produced of a different order from any so far in human hands. Was this practicable? Could quantities of these fissile elements ever be made? If so, could it happen in the realistic future, that is within the duration of any foreseeable war?

With a few exceptions, scientific opinion was sceptical. There was plenty of commotion in the press, but, among the immediate prospects of war, these fears were dim and abstract. They did not penetrate to politicians anywhere, who were living, naturally enough, in the present moment, which was sufficiently threatening. Some scientists were blandly optimistic. It would take many years, some of them computed, to accumulate even a few grams of uranium-235. No one then knew how much was needed to make a bomb. But the guess was a quantity which was beyond present-day technological powers.

That wasn’t a scientific problem. Science had done its job. All the scientific knowledge was there and ready. If it could ever be applied, that would be a matter of engineering, in particular of abnormally difficult chemical engineering. The only way to separate the uranium isotopes from one another on an industrial scale would be to apply techniques similar to those that the chemical industry already used to separate and purify chemical compounds. In fact, if the discoveries of nuclear fission had taken place in a peaceful world, their future use would probably have been left to the great firms of the chemical industry – Dupont, ICI and so on. As it was, the ultimate production of the atomic bomb – as was also to be true of space travel – was not a scientific triumph, but an engineering one. In both cases, the science had been ready well before. In the event, scientists had to turn themselves into amateur engineers to play any further operational role.

That summer of 1939 a few scientists were apprehensive and far-sighted. In England, George Thomson (son of J J) and W L Bragg – both Nobel prize winning physicists – were advising the government to acquire the uranium ore in the Belgian Congo, if only as an insurance. In America the three Hungarian refugees, Edward Teller, Eugene Wigner and Leo Szilard, were campaigning for urgent action. All three had been close to the nuclear developments. All three were scientists of high class, and Wigner was already tipped for the Nobel, which he duly got. All three had inside knowledge of German science, and had much respect for it, even though so many of their old colleagues had been driven out. There was plenty of ability left, they knew, to solve the technological problem of a fission bomb, if the problem could be solved at all. The prospect of a fission bomb in Hitler’s control meant nothing short of doom.

On this they were agreed, though they were very different men with, on all other topics, very different opinions. Wigner was calm, judicious, ironic, temperate, mildly conservative: his sister was Dirac’s wife. Teller was dramatic, passionate, a man of the right (though more complex in his attitudes than popular accounts later suggested). Szilard was a man of the left, so far as he could be classified at all. He had a temperament uncommon anywhere, maybe a little less uncommon among major scientists. He had a powerful ego and invulnerable egocentricity: but he projected the force of that personality outwards, with beneficent intention towards his fellow creatures. In that sense, he had a family resemblance to Einstein on a reduced scale. He also had an unusually daring scientific imagination. In August 1939, while men as wise as Bohr still found it scarcely credible, Szilard didn’t doubt that the fission bomb could be made. That being so, it would be made. Incidentally, Szilard was a writer of interesting scientific fiction. He was the most active spirit among the Hungarian trio. It is likely, though, that Teller also believed that the bomb would be made.

What should they do? They were refugees in a foreign country. They were unknown, except in esoteric academic circles. They wanted to get to Roosevelt and warn him of the dangers. They decided to go to Einstein and persuade him to write a letter. Einstein was himself a refugee – he had been in the United States since 1930 – but he was the opposite of unknown. They duly went out to his summer retreat on Long Island and explained their thoughts. It hasn’t been stated, but the conversation must have been mostly in German. Einstein thought that they were completely right. The letter was drafted by Szilard. Einstein signed it.[2]

Then they indulged in some Central European elaboration. Not knowing how American politics worked, they resorted to finesse. Szilard had discovered someone who appeared to have the entrée to the President, an economist called Alexander Sachs. It would probably have been better to do what a simpler character such as Ernest Lawrence – the American physicist who won the 1939 Nobel prize for his improved particle acceleration – would have done, and use straightforward channels. Anyway, Sachs did deliver the letter to the President, though it took six weeks. Then there was an anticlimax. Nothing happened.

The romantic myth that Einstein was ultimately responsible for the atomic bomb has no foundation. It is true that much later he expressed some guilt about signing the famous letter, but that was taking an unnecessary burden upon his conscience. What is not in doubt is that he felt as strongly as the others that bitter necessity dictated that the bomb should be made. The threat of a Nazi bomb was enough. There were no moral qualms at that stage. Einstein had, for most of his life, been a pacifist. With the advent of Hitler he accepted that he had been wrong. He told old friends, who still clung to sweet optimistic dreams, that they were being foolishly unrealistic. Whatever military force meant, whatever the bomb meant, the anti-Hitler side must have it first.

That was the view, quite unqualified, of all who were not absolute pacifists (of whom in those scientific circles there were very few). It is desirable not to subtilize ethical attitudes after the event. There was no scientist or anyone else involved who didn’t believe that the work was necessary. That included Einstein and Bohr, who were among the loftiest and most benign spirits of our species. They don’t need to receive moral instruction from persons who did not live inside the situation.

The real impulse which led to the manufacture of the bomb came six months later. It was provided by two more refugees, Rudolf Peierls and Otto Frisch, the latter for the second time playing a decisive part. They were working in Oliphant’s physics department at Birmingham. With the death of Rutherford, the Cavendish stars had scattered all over Britain. At Birmingham Oliphant’s staff provided two of the major scientific contributions to the war. One was the invention by Randall and Boot of the cavity magnetron. This electronic device made it possible to generate intense, short-wavelength radio beams, which made the British radar far better than anything the Germans could achieve. It was the most valuable English scientific innovation in the Hitler war. The other was a paper of three pages, factual, succinct, accurately prophetic, by Peierls and Frisch.

They started with two acute clarifications. First, they accepted wholeheartedly what other physicists had been peculiarly hesitant about, namely the Bohr-Wheeler doctrine: it must be the isotope uranium-235 which had been disintegrated, and nothing else. Second, they were certain, knowing more of the latest chemical engineering than some of their colleagues, that it would be nothing like so difficult as had been generally assumed to separate this isotope from its natural intimate mixture with the far more abundant uranium-238, and produce uranium-235 in a relatively pure form.

From that, all else followed. It would need a certain amount of this isotope to set off cumulative disintegration, that is a chain reaction, which meant a nuclear bomb. They calculated what this amount would have to be, and came up with a startlingly small answer. It would need only about a kilogram (just over two pounds). This was called the critical mass. Smaller masses of uranium-235 are stable; larger amounts are not. To make a bomb, simply bring together two approximately equal parts, half a kilo each. As soon as they touch, the whole mass should explode with a force unequalled in human history. It was surprisingly simple. The reasoning was set down in about a thousand words and a few matter-of-fact calculations. It was convincing to anyone who could read scientific argument. It proved to be in all essentials correct. The estimates of quantities were just about right. The requirements for a fission bomb could be put in a couple of small suitcases. The concept of the bomb had been floating in the air. With those three typewritten pages, the practical manufacture got its first initiative.

It would require an immense industrial development. It was one thing to talk of separating the isotope on this scale, but a formidable job to do it. Britain might just conceivably have been able to try, in peace-time. But the country was at war, and still had to survive: which meant that an abnormal proportion of its resources had to be spent on radar, a device not only sensible but vital, and on bombing aircraft, which was not so sensible.

America was still not in the war. It took some time for the Peierls-Frisch memorandum to reach American scientists. It was carried over the Atlantic in August 1940 by Cockcroft, who talked in his quiet uninflected manner to American nuclear scientists. A good many were working on uranium projects, but there was not the urgency that was driving British scientists, who, in the good old Johnsonian mood, had their minds concentrated by the prospect of being hanged tomorrow. But it didn’t take long for the Americans to be convinced that the uranium-235 bomb was feasible.

And American physicists had just discovered another isotope which could be used in a fission bomb. This was not an isotope of uranium. Edwin McMillan, with colleagues Philip Abelson and Glenn Seaborg, had achieved what Fermi thought he had done – they had produced trans-uranic elements. Not surprisingly, these had unstable, radioactive nuclei. The new element beyond uranium was called neptunium – because the planet Neptune is beyond Uranus in the solar system. But it was the next element that was bomb material. Called – inevitably – plutonium, element number 94 has an isotope, plutonium-239, which can sustain a chain reaction of disintegrations. Making a plutonium bomb is not so much a question of separating isotopes, but of making sizeable quantities of an element that does not occur in nature. This, however, need not be any more difficult than separating the uranium isotopes; the plutonium bomb had strong advocates, too.

The Einstein letter hadn’t produced much in the way of action. Now the entire US governmental scientific machine began to get to work. American energy was set free in its impressive abundance. The project was codenamed Manhattan. There was, of course, an element of fright communicated by the British. The Peierls–Frisch argument was only too convincing. It now seemed odds on that atomic bombs were makeable. What were the Nazis doing?

The Manhattan project was a feat of technology and scientific administration. As has been said, the essential science had been done earlier. This was application on a gigantic scale. There were, in fact, scientific snags along the way, and plenty of puzzles on the frontiers of science and engineering. A number of the best scientists alive showed considerable versatility in attacking problems utterly different from anything they had met in an academic department. Fermi, who was able to apply his mind to almost anything – on his death-bed he wished that he had given a little thought to politics – was prepared to invent devices of extreme sophistication and occasionally, in an un-American fashion, of childlike simplicity. By common consent, he was the most valuable man around. But many others displayed talents which no one, including themselves, imagined that they possessed. At Los Alamos in New Mexico, which was the brain centre of the project, they lived a life remote but intense, certain that the job was imperative, not worried (such worry is swept away in war) by consequences. It was exciting to be living near a peak of technical achievement.

The chief scientific administrator, Robert Oppenheimer, was one of the most interesting figures in world science. Among a mass of very clever men, he was probably the cleverest. He was highly cultivated in the arts, and had an admirably organized and structured mind. He had genuine scientific talent, and could talk on equal terms with the greatest scientists in the place. Bohr, who was finally evacuated from Denmark via Sweden to London and Los Alamos, at the risk of his life, had a very high opinion of Oppenheimer’s scientific gift. So had Rabi, the least soft of touches.

The curious thing was that Oppenheimer had no great scientific achievement to his name. This is hard to explain. He had lived through a period in which men with a tenth of his talent had made major discoveries. He was scientifically ambitious and would have liked real creative success more than anything in the world. He became a great figure: the achievement of Los Alamos made him famous and he deserved the fame. Nevertheless, one suspects he would have given all that away if he could have exchanged it for one single piece of work of the class, say, of Pauli’s Exclusion Principle. There was his tragedy, probably much more deeply wounding than the political misfortunes which later happened to him.

There were some other strangenesses about the population of Los Alamos. A high proportion were refugees, recent immigrants who had had time to be rapidly naturalized. This was partly, of course, because they included some of the best practitioners on earth: but there was another reason. Most native scientists, in America and even more in Britain, had been swept up in work which appeared, and was, more directly concerned with the Hitler war. For example, Cockcroft, who would have been peculiarly valuable at Los Alamos, was head of an English radar establishment. (He had to be extracted later to lead the British nuclear team in Canada.) Rabi was immersed in similar activities at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and so on for dozens of the top American and English nuclear scientists. Refugees were the main source of the available manpower of high class. This may or may not have made a marginal difference when it came to disputes about the long-term political future of what they were doing. Refugees sometimes felt constrained. They wanted to accept the country which they hoped to make their own.

The dominance of refugees had some more farcical concomitants. Security procedures were thrown into a frenzy and at times displayed their dottier aspects. For example, Peierls and Frisch were never given places on Maud, the small British committee responsible for work on the nuclear bomb – and so weren’t able, in official terms, to discuss and explain their own work.

It was Fermi who took the first step into the nuclear age. Although no one now had any doubt that the bomb was possible, it was important to test that chain reactions could take place. Physicists needed to monitor, to measure, a nuclear chain reaction that went leisurely. Fermi achieved this with naturally occurring uranium, where the overwhelming amount of stable uranium-238 would prevent an explosion. His earlier intuition that slow neutrons were best at instigating nuclear fission was vital. This time he used blocks of graphite to slow them. In a disused squash court at the University of Chicago he built an edifice from six tons of uranium, fifty tons of uranium oxide and four hundred tons of graphite blocks: he called it a ‘pile’, because it was literally that. But in present-day terms it was the first nuclear reactor.

On 2 December 1942, Fermi withdrew the neutron-absorbing ‘control rods’. The chain reaction began. Neutrons split the minority of uranium-235 nuclei; heat and more neutrons streamed from the disintegration. These neutrons shot out of the uranium block, but were slowed by the graphite, and so split more uranium-235 nuclei as they entered the next uranium block. Fermi’s pile was not designed to produce nuclear power as such. It was a test. After making his measurements, Fermi took it apart again. Theoretically, at least, the path to the bomb was now clear.

Scientists at Los Alamos were certainly all confident that it would not be long before a bomb was ready. They had the euphoria of all concerned in an extraordinary enterprise. That was the overmastering emotion. Apprehensions about the putative Nazi performance were lessening slightly – though in official London the word still went round that the war was going well if we are safe from that which we mustn’t talk about.

It would have horrified General Leslie Groves, the supreme administrator of the Manhattan project, to discover how badly his security system actually worked. It was nothing like so effective as security about the decoding techniques (the English called this process Ultra). Groves’ iron rules certainly made communication between the people doing the job at times bizarrely complicated. Another result was to prevent any news of the operation reaching the Vice President of the United States and the Deputy Prime Minister of the United Kingdom: but a good deal of news reached hundreds of other people. This wasn’t because of treachery or even gossip. Men like Groves underestimate the intelligence of their fellow citizens. Why were well-known scientists disappearing to unknown destinations? Why should Niels Bohr arrive in London and shortly afterwards get swallowed up in America? To scientists, it was all too obvious.

Niels Bohr was both unusually busy and unusually worried. After inspecting the diffusion plants where the uranium isotopes were separated, he had no doubt that the nuclear bomb was a certainty: and, what was more, not just a certainty for this war, but a feature of the world scene for ever. He was one of the most far-sighted of men, and he belonged to the world. He went to Los Alamos, anxious to help where he could, but deliberately not attaching himself formally to either the American or British contingents. He knew another certainty. It was taking America about four years to make the bomb: it wouldn’t take long for the Soviet Union, or other industrialized societies with a strong enough purpose, to do the same. Nearly all scientists agreed. There are no secrets in science: and very few, and those short-lived, in technology.

From the moment it became known that the Americans were moving towards a fission bomb, the general guess was that it would take the Soviet Union perhaps five years to catch up – some, more in touch with Soviet engineering physics, thought that was an overestimate. General Groves gave contemptuous snorts. He told his political masters that the United States had at least a twenty-year lead, probably much more. That was believed by those who wanted to believe, and produced some political dangers. General Groves was a singularly bad choice for his job.

Bohr, after characteristic reflection, decided that it was worth trying to avert or minimize the post-war perils which any sentient person could imagine. It would do no harm, and might do some good, to give the Soviet government an indication about the bomb. (We now know they were already informed. Bohr didn’t know this, but he assumed that their scientists had made their own predictions from 1939 onwards, as had duly happened.) Even a tentative disclosure, Bohr thought, might make for international confidence.

Bohr revealed his thoughts to Halifax, the British Ambassador in Washington, and received considerable sympathy, as he did from Felix Frankfurter. He was despatched to have a talk, with Churchill.

That encounter was one of the black comedies of the war. For some obscure reason, Churchill was strongly averse to seeing Bohr. It wasn’t that he didn’t come with the highest recommendations. Sir John Anderson, whom no one could think had pro-Soviet leanings, had already heard Bohr’s case, and thought there was a lot in it. It perhaps wasn’t irrelevant that Anderson had had a scientific education, had even done some research, and found it easy to believe the temporary nature of the Western lead. He also had great respect for Bohr. So presumably did Cherwell, who couldn’t have been well disposed to the actual proposal, but knew all about Bohr and helped force the interview on Churchill. The President of the Royal Society had also insisted. After all, Bohr was one of the greatest men of the century.

After very long and discourteous delays, Bohr was granted a discourteous half-hour. It bore a resemblance, seen through a distorting mirror, to the meeting with Rutherford which got Bohr launched on his career. No doubt Bohr whispered conscientiously alone. This time, however, the other party wasn’t prepared to listen, or apparently didn’t trouble to understand what was being said. On the stroke of the half-hour Bohr was dismissed.

Bohr didn’t suffer from offended dignity. But he was miserable. He had failed in what he believed to be his most important public mission.

Would Einstein have done better? Probably not, so far as the outcome went. There would have been a difference of tone. Einstein was not outfaced by any man alive, and there would have been some Jehovianic words spoken from his side of the table.

That meeting, if one can use an inappropriate word, took place in the summer of 1944, just before the invasion of Europe. As soon as the Anglo-American forces got a foothold in Germany, a mission was despatched to investigate what the German nuclear physicists had really been doing. The mission consisted of two excellent physicists, both originally Dutch, now American, Goudsmit and Uhlenbeck. Their report was pleasing but surprising. The German nuclear physicists had done remarkably little. As had been thought, Heisenberg had been in charge of a group, small but high-powered. The members were to be interrogated in England as soon as they could be tracked down. Anyway, that specific war-long anxiety was now wiped away.

So only the Americans, with their British affiliates, had been making the bomb. Bohr, nothing if not pertinacious, continued with his resolve. Brushed off by Churchill, he went back to American confidants, Frankfurter, Vannevar Bush (the first of presidential scientific advisers), J B Conant. They, too, had been trying to read the future, and were ready to support Bohr. It was arranged for him to explain his thoughts to Roosevelt.

There he got a very different response from Churchill’s. It was warm, cordial, amiably sympathetic. With knowledge of what followed within three months, this now seems puzzling. It may have been just a politician’s professional technique, but it appears more likely that the President was at least half impressed. He would, of course, have been carefully briefed by Bush and the others, and he had picked up more about Bohr himself than Churchill had. Churchill seems to have taken a violent personal dislike to Bohr – about the only human being who ever did so.

It would be false to give the impression that the scientists at Los Alamos had any knowledge of these attempts to cope with the future. Bohr was much too punctilious and honourable to let slip any word of those discussions, though two or three of his senior colleagues, Fermi and Oppenheimer among them, had an intimation of what was being tried and agreed with it, though without much hope. Most of the Los Alamos population wouldn’t have felt it as a personal concern. They knew that the project was soon going to succeed or fail. Failure was unthinkable, and yet some couldn’t suppress the thought as the gigantic enterprise approached its climax.

The Manhattan project was now employing 500,000 people, directly and indirectly, and spending a billion dollars per year. The uranium isotopes were separated by two different processes – at the beginning, no one knew which would be the more efficient. The first was a diffusion process. When the metal uranium reacts with fluorine, the compound formed – uranium hexafluoride – is a gas. A molecule containing uranium-238 is very slightly heavier than a molecule of uranium-235 hexafluoride, and as a result is slightly more sluggish. If uranium hexafluoride gas made from natural uranium – which contains only 0.7 per cent uranium-235 – is forced through a filter, the lighter uranium-235 will find it slightly easier to get through. So the gas on the far side is marginally enriched in the required isotope. Repeat the process, and the proportion of uranium-235 will rise a little more. To get ‘weapons-grade’ uranium – containing 90 per cent of the rare isotope – needed thousands of passes through the filters. But, slow though it was, it was gradually accumulating the fissile material.

Running in parallel was separation by means of electric and magnetic fields. Uranium atoms were stripped of electrons in a vacuum. Now they were electrically charged, and they were susceptible to outside fields. Again the heavier uranium-238 was more sluggish, and uranium-235 could gradually be separated out.

And plutonium was now in ‘commercial scale’ production – kilograms of a new element were being created. In huge reactors, uranium was bombarded by neutrons. The important isotope this time was the common uranium-238, which absorbed a neutron, then emitted two electrons from the nucleus and ended up as plutonium-239. With large quantities of plutonium to investigate, the scientists had found that it was indeed fissile – something they had had to take on trust from the theoreticians at the beginning of the Manhattan project.

The bomb, or more exactly one uranium bomb and one plutonium bomb, should be ready by the late summer of 1945, a year ahead. There would be a test just before the bombs were despatched.

Thus very few at Los Alamos had any glimmer of the first results of Bohr’s diplomacy. This was another piece of black comedy. Roosevelt and Churchill met at the second Quebec conference. Roosevelt surrendered without a struggle to Churchill’s view of Bohr. He was on the verge of ‘mortal crimes’ – an extraordinary Churchillian phrase. Churchill drew up his and Roosevelt’s understanding. Nothing whatever about the project was to be communicated to anyone outside the circle of secrecy, certainly not to the French, above all not to the Russians. Bohr, and anyone under his influence, was to be kept under surveillance.

At one point Churchill was demanding that Bohr should be arrested. That was, however, too much for the President’s advisers and Churchill’s own, many of them shaken by this singular display. Possibly the only person who wasn’t shaken was Admiral Leahy, who, with his habitual lack of judgement, was certain that the bomb would be a fiasco and wouldn’t go off at all.

Why did Roosevelt and Churchill behave like that? Roosevelt was a sick man, and may not have felt capable of resisting Churchill in one of his obsessive nagging phases, prepared to go on grinding away in perpetuity. But Churchill? There has never been much of an explanation. He had always had a naive faith in ‘secrets’. He had been told by the best authorities that this ‘secret’ wasn’t keepable and that the Soviets would soon have the bomb themselves. Perhaps, with one of his surges of romantic optimism, he deluded himself into not believing it. He was only too conscious that British power, and his own, was now just a vestige. So long as the Americans and British had the bomb in sole possession, he could feel that that power hadn’t altogether slipped away.

It is a sad story. Probably the result didn’t make any real difference. Even if Bohr had prevailed, and there had been some attempt at international understanding, in practical terms everything would have gone on as it actually did in America, the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, France, and in due course a good many other countries. There might have been a faint improvement in external civility, which is sometimes worth having. But the story remains a sad one, and something of a symbol.

Meanwhile the manufacture of the first bomb went on, the pace of sheer activity increasing. The Hitler war ended but there was no let-up. It was an illusion believed by many that there was a whole arsenal of bombs. That wasn’t true for a long time. There was an assembly on a tower, not an actual bomb, for the test – a plutonium device. Two bombs (one of each) which should be ready for use; one more plutonium bomb was in reserve. The rest consisted of threats.

By this time none of the scientists had doubts that the bomb would work: or at least no such doubt appeared in records or memoirs. Some political placemen, like the ineffable Leahy, added to their reputation for hard-bitten wisdom by continuing to regard the whole project as nonsense, a kind of long-haired hoax that wouldn’t produce anything more lethal than a popgun.

Some of the scientists, though, had a different worry. They were sure that the bombs would be ready for use: but what would they be used for? Not many people seemed to have answered the question. The bombs had been made as an insurance against the Nazis making them too and they hadn’t needed to think further than that. Now the Nazis were eliminated. A whisper spread that the American military were intending to use the bombs on Japan.

Some of the American scientists had relatives in the forces who would be fighting if there was an invasion of Japan. For them the ethical problem was simple: anything to get that war over. Just as the most charitable of Russians years later used to say, not lightly, that if they had possessed the bomb in early 1945, they would have dropped it on Berlin. They had lost too many men to have qualms. But most of the scientists were free to have such qualms. They hadn’t access to diplomatic intelligence, which would have increased their misgivings. Still, it was enough to know that here was the climactic feat of applied science: it just couldn’t be used for mass extermination without a thought. At the very least, there must be a demonstration. Warn the Japanese, drop a bomb in the sea. That would tell its own story. After that, consciences would be relatively clean.

Something like that was in fact proposed by Josef Franck, the leader of the Chicago group, another Nobel prize winner, a refugee from Göttingen and, like Born, another witness to the old German culture. He and half a dozen of his colleagues sent a statement to Washington. It had one vestige of a result. A small group of the Manhattan scientists were asked to give their opinion. This group consisted of Oppenheimer, Fermi, Ernest Lawrence, and the British Nobel prize winner A H Compton. They replied within a matter of days. Their opinions divided down the middle, two on each side. Oppenheimer and Fermi were in favour of dropping the bomb (actually the two bombs) without any preliminaries. Lawrence and Compton were against.

Probably nothing, or no representations from any man alive, could have stopped the bomb being used. As Einstein was to remark years later, there was a weird inevitability about it all.

The events that followed in July and August 1945 have often been described. The test at Alamogordo in the New Mexico desert went exactly according to expectation. If anything, the explosion was more powerful than predicted. It was one thing to have expectations, to believe in the certainties of reason: it was even more satisfactory to see them fulfilled as the most brilliant exhibition created by man. The scientists were jubilant, and they wouldn’t have been human if they hadn’t been. Fermi, with one of his Heath Robinson contrivances, was measuring blast by means of tin cans and pieces of paper. Someone more sardonic than the rest remarked that it was the most expensive dry run in scientific history.

The bombs were duly dropped. On 6 August Hiroshima was the target for the uranium-235 bomb; Nagasaki suffered the plutonium bomb three days later. Why was the second judged necessary? The question elicited comments, some cynical, some heart-wrung. There were utterances, in public and private, all over the physicists’ world. The scientists have learned sin, said Oppenheimer. That was too rhetorical for what they truly felt. Many of them were searching for some effective action. Mark Oliphant not only made his speech about the death of a beautiful subject, but also was demanding that England and his own Australia should make the bomb themselves. Any country without it was helpless from now on. Others were campaigning for international control, as Bohr had urged on Churchill in their grotesque meeting.

However, those thoughts of August 1945 weren’t to survive for very long. The future was to become not quite so apocalyptic. Physics hadn’t been killed, and the beautiful subject stayed beautiful, though in forms as yet unimaginable. While applied physics, and the technology born out of it, was not to have ended with the bomb, but scarcely to have begun.