Since starting to work on this book, we have been the grateful recipients of different forms of help from many individuals and organizations. First, many colleagues and friends read various drafts of the book, challenged us to clarify our thinking, examples, and exposition, and further provided many constructive suggestions. These included Fred Collopy, Gerd Gigerenzer, Reid Hastie, Bob Herbold, Tassos Karagiannis, Manfred Kets de Vries, Tomás Lejarraga, and Emre Soyer, as well as Grace Hung, Chris Lobello, and other readers at CLSA. In addition, the text reflects comments made by Irina Cojuharenco, Spyros Efstathopoulos, Natalia Karelaia, Gueorgui Kolev, George Koumbas, Litsa Panagiotopoulou, Carmen Pi-Sunyer, and Eric Thomson. However, our greatest debt goes to Elin Williams who not only vastly improved our attempts to write but also corrected our way of dealing with many issues – and always with good humor.
This book was written in four different places: Athens, Barcelona, Fontainebleau, and Singapore. In particular, we spent three intensive weeks together engaged in the project at INSEAD in Singapore and thank that institution for its support, especially the Centre for Decision Making and Risk Analysis (CDMRA) which also provided financial resources throughout the project. Robin Hogarth thanks the Spanish Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación for its financial aid.
Finally, we thank Mike Harpley and the team at Oneworld for committing itself so wholeheartedly to our project.