Chapter 19
IN THIS CHAPTER
Explaining how futures and options work
Opening an account and trading derivatives
Deciding how to get out of options
Knowing and minimizing the risks of derivatives trading
Traders can raise the bar on the leverage they’re allowed by opening the door to the derivatives markets. Derivatives are any financial instruments that get or derive their value from another financial security, which is called an underlier. This underlier is usually stocks, bonds, foreign currency, or commodities. The derivative buyer or seller doesn’t have to own the underlying security to trade these instruments.
You may unwittingly encounter derivatives if you trade those exchange‐traded funds (ETFs) that offer to return two or even three times the value of an underlying stock index. Those ETFs use derivatives to amplify the reward — and the risk. And you may recall that derivative trading, especially those derivatives tied to the value of underlying mortgage assets, exacerbated the mortgage mess that started the financial collapse of 2008.
Derivatives are marketable instruments, which over time acquire and relinquish value based on an underlying asset (see the later section “Options lingo”), including such commodities as coffee or soybeans, bonds, and even stocks. They are commonly used by commercial and institutional organizations to hedge against the risks of financial losses suffered by the underlying assets that they hold. Trading a derivative, for example, can minimize your financial loss whenever a major change occurs in the price of an asset that you own. Hedging is a popular tactic used by growers, producers, portfolio managers, and users of the commodities.
The two basic and most common types of derivatives are contracts for options and for futures. Traders buy and sell them as a way to speculate on the direction that the volatile prices of underlying assets will take further down the road. If their hunches are right and the prices move in the directions they expect, traders can make a significant profit. If, on the other hand, they’re wrong, they can lose the amount they paid for an option or future and possibly even quite a bit more. Before we explain all the risks, we devote the next few sections to accurately defining futures and options.
Futures are legally binding contracts between two parties, one of whom agrees to buy and the other who agrees to sell an asset for a specific price at a specified time in the future. The specific price is known as the futures price. The specified date in the future is known as the delivery date. Futures were first used in the 18th century in Japan as a means of trading rice and silk, but they didn’t appear in U.S. markets until the 1850s, when futures markets were developed for buying and selling commodities such as wheat, cotton, and corn.
Futures contracts are one of the most volatile trading instruments. Prices can change rapidly, causing traders to face sudden and sometimes huge losses or gains. Futures contracts are traded based on the prices of underlying commodities, indexes, bonds, and stocks. Most people who enter futures markets do so not to actually buy and sell the actual goods or underlying financial asset but rather to speculate on or to hedge the risks of the changing prices of the assets that they do hold.
Traders can make money from trading futures on the basis of the daily movements of the markets for the various types of underlying commodities, stocks, bonds, or currencies involved in the contracts they buy and/or sell.
For example, typical futures contracts for wheat are signed between wheat farmers and bread producers. On one side of this contract, farmers agree to sell a specific amount of the wheat they grow at a specific price and a specified time, and on the other side, producers agree to pay that price for the contracted amount of wheat to be delivered to them by the specified time. Farmers benefit by ensuring that they can get a specific price or income from their wheat, and bread producers benefit by knowing how much they have to pay for the wheat they need to make the bread that they, in turn, sell to earn a living.
The value of that futures contract is adjusted daily. Assuming the farmer agreed in February to sell 10,000 bushels of wheat to the bread maker at $4 per bushel in July, and assuming that before the July settlement date the price of wheat rises to $5 per bushel, the farmer holding the futures contract has lost $1 per bushel of wheat, or $10,000. These types of price adjustments actually are calculated daily throughout the time that the futures contract is in force, and that means the farmer’s or bread maker’s account is credited or debited as wheat prices fluctuate.
The farmer and the bread maker will probably never actually exchange their goods. Instead, the obligations of the futures contract eventually are settled with cash. In this scenario, the bread maker will probably buy his wheat at the current price of $5 per bushel when he needs it, but because he speculated correctly on the price, it’s only really costing him $40,000 (instead of $50,000 at the current market price) to buy the wheat. Although the bread maker pays $50,000 for 10,000 bushels of wheat, he has saved $10,000 because of the money he made on the wheat futures contract. The farmer, on the other hand, sells his wheat at $5 per bushel and gets $50,000 cash but actually keeps only $40,000 because he has to cover his loss from the futures contract.
You can see from this example that futures contracts are actually financial positions. This financial position, or the buying and selling of futures contracts, is what traders are speculating about. If futures traders believe the price of wheat is rising, they buy futures contracts so they can benefit from the gain made by the price. But when the situation is reversed and the price of wheat drops to $3 per bushel, then the trader who buys can be on the losing side of that futures contract and be liable for a $10,000 loss. The buyer puts up a margin, which is only a small percentage of the price of the actual commodity, stock, bond, or currency underlying the contract.
People who buy commodities futures basically are agreeing to buy a certain amount of a commodity at a set price at some point in the future. Conversely, people who sell those same futures are agreeing to provide a certain amount of a commodity at the agreed‐upon price by the agreed‐upon time. The example of the farmer/bread maker in the preceding section illustrates this type of future. Buyers or sellers can enter into futures contracts on many commodities, including farm products (pork bellies, wheat, corn, and soybeans), precious metals (gold, copper, and silver), and many others.
Traders usually don’t get directly involved as buyers and sellers of the actual commodities because they usually get out of their futures contracts before the underlying commodities on which their trades are based ever change hands. Instead, they’re speculators, buying and/or selling futures contracts based on which way they think the commodity price is going to move. Speculation, as you know, is wrought with risk, and the reason the risk is so great is that a commodity contract controls a large amount of the commodity (or commodity value) compared with the relatively small margin that it takes to enter into a contract. The result is extensive leverage, which means controlling a large position with only a small cash deposit. If the price moves in a direction that’s the opposite of what the trader anticipates, he or she may have to take a huge loss to get out of the contract.
Index futures are based on the expected direction of the value of indexes like the S&P 500 and the New York Stock Exchange Composite indexes. They can be the riskiest types of futures. No underlying commodities, stocks, or bonds ever change hands with these futures contracts. Any differences in these contracts must be settled with good old cold, hard cash. Margin also is high on these types of futures. For example, a Dow Jones Industrial Average contract has a value that’s 25 times the value of the underlying DJIA Index.
Smaller index futures contracts, known collectively as e‐minis, are targeted at individual traders. These mini contracts are available for indexes such as the S&P 500, the NASDAQ 100, the S&P mid‐cap, and the Russell 2000. Their respective individual values range from 20 times to 100 times those of the underlying indexes.
The S&P 500 e‐mini contract, for example, is 50 times the value of the S&P 500 index. In other words, if a trader takes a position in the S&P 500 e‐mini contract, every time the underlying S&P 500 index moves one point, the value of the S&P 500 e‐mini contract changes by $50. Another way to think about this is for every 0.25 point, the value of the S&P 500 e‐mini contract changes by $12.50. If you take a long position in the S&P 500 e‐mini contract when the underlying index is at 1,500, and the index moves to 1,510, you have a $500 profit. The trader who took the other side of this trade, the short position, is in exactly the opposite position, losing $500.
Bond futures are based on the price of future delivery of a specific type of bond in a specific denomination at a specific interest rate on a specified date. Speculators basically are betting on whether the price of that bond goes up or down. Changes in interest rates have a big impact on bond values. In general, when interest rates fall, bond prices go up, and when interest rates rise, bond prices go down. Speculators in bond futures basically enter positions based on whether interest rates will go up or down. For example, a speculator who thinks interest rates will go up sells contracts for the future delivery of bonds. If interest rates indeed go up as expected, the price for the underlying bonds goes down, and speculators can do one of two things:
Stock futures are contracts in which you agree to either deliver or purchase upon delivery 100 shares of a particular stock on or before a designated date in the future (known as the expiration date). For example, a trader who enters into a contract to buy 100 shares at $30 a share for a total of $3,000, and who expects the price of that stock to go up, can lock in the lower price and then buy the actual stock at that lower price on the expiration date or close the contract and realize a profit. Traders who enter into this type of contract generally must have about 20 percent of the cash value of 100 shares of the underlying stock in their brokerage accounts, so a trader in this example would have to have $600 in a brokerage account.
Future currency contracts are contracts that involve the future delivery of certain foreign currencies. We discuss these types of futures in Chapter 20.
Options are financial instruments that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a particular asset at a predetermined date in the future at a specified price.
Although futures have been available in the United States since the 1850s, options did not become available until 1968, when they were part of a government pilot program. The Chicago Board of Options Exchange opened in 1973. The big advantage that options have over futures is that you buy the right to exercise the option contract, and yet you still can decide to allow the option to expire without ever exercising that right. When you let an option expire, you lose only the amount you paid for the option and not the full amount that otherwise can be lost in trading the underlying asset. Option sellers take the riskier stance because they can lose the value of whatever asset they promised to sell or buy if the option buyer decides to exercise the option.
Option‐pricing techniques are considered to be among the most mathematically complex of all applied areas of finance. One common example, the Black‐Scholes option‐pricing model (named for its developers Fischer Black and Myron Scholes), takes into consideration the stock’s price, the option’s strike price and expiration date, the risk‐free return, and the standard deviation of the stock’s return, which are all measures of volatility.
When you get a quote for an option, you may have to choose from numerous strike prices and expiration dates that are available. When you’re thinking about buying a call option, and its strike price is low and yet close to becoming worthwhile to exercise, the premium price (the price you pay for the option) will be much higher than for an option with a higher strike price. If you’re thinking about buying a put option, then you’ll pay more of a premium for an option with a high strike price than you will for one with a lower strike price.
Just to give you an idea of how the pricing of options is affected by strike price and time, Table 19‐1 is an options quote for an imaginary stock we call ABC. Settle is the time of expiration for the option.
TABLE 19‐1 ABC Stock Sample Option Quotation (In Dollars)
Strike Price |
Calls/Settle |
Puts/Settle |
||||
Apr |
May |
June |
Apr |
May |
June |
|
$50 |
4.50 |
4.60 |
5.40 |
0.25 |
0.50 |
1.50 |
$52 |
3.50 |
3.60 |
4.40 |
0.50 |
1.00 |
3.50 |
$54 |
2.50 |
2.60 |
3.40 |
0.75 |
2.00 |
5.50 |
$56 |
1.50 |
1.60 |
2.40 |
2.00 |
3.00 |
7.50 |
$58 |
0.50 |
0.60 |
1.40 |
4.00 |
5.00 |
9.50 |
You can see from the options quotes for ABC stock that a May call with a strike price of $54 commands a premium of $2.60 per share. To buy an option for 100 shares, the premium would be $260 plus whatever fees your exchange or broker charges. Buying a call is much less of a cash outlay than if you were to buy 100 shares of ABC stock at $54. That would cost you $5,400. The premium of $260 is paid to the option seller, minus any fees charged by the broker or exchange.
Fees include commission charges plus any costs involved in executing the order on the trading floor of the exchange. Commissions vary greatly from broker to broker, so be certain you understand all the possible fees before initiating a trade. Some brokers charge commissions per trade, but others charge on the basis of a round trip, including both the purchase and the sale of the option. Some brokerage firms charge per‐option transaction fees, while others charge on the basis of a percentage of the option premium that’s usually subject to a minimum charge.
Options and futures are quoted with bid and ask prices just like stocks, and the spreads with options can grow pretty wide as a percentage of the option’s premium, which, in turn, can have a significant impact on the profitability of your option position. The wider the spread, the harder it is for you to make a profit. As an option trader, you typically buy at the ask, the higher price, and sell at the bid, the lower price. That means that any trade must recover the difference between the bid and the ask before you can earn a profit. As with stock trading, you can use a limit order to put your order between the bid and the ask, but there is no guarantee that your order will be filled. See Chapter 15 for more about bid‐ask spreads.
All types of options and futures are traded on a commodities exchange. In addition, some types of options can be traded on stock exchanges. More than 20 different exchanges are available for trading either options or futures contracts or both in North America. The chart at https://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/index.php?f=1562
from Interactive Brokers lists all the exchanges and the types of contracts in which they trade. The chart also provides trading hours.
At the top of this chart, you’ll find links to exchanges in Europe, Asia/Pacific, and Global Exchanges.
You can trade stock options and some index options in a traditional stock account. You must sign special risk‐release forms, but otherwise, the account remains the same. (For more about establishing an account, see Chapter 3.) Naked short positions require a margin account.
If you want to trade futures or options on futures, you must do so through an individual account that you open with a registered futures commission merchant (FCM) or through your stock broker. Your broker transmits any transactions through an FCM as an introducing broker. Your broker won’t collect the funds from you for your options trades. You have to deposit them directly with the FCM.
You have the choice of opening either a discretionary account or a nondiscretionary account. A discretionary account is an account in which you sign a power of attorney over to your FCM, your broker, or a commodity trading advisor (CTA) so he or she can make trading decisions on your behalf. A nondiscretionary account is an account in which you make all the trading decisions.
You also may want to consider trading through a commodity pool. When trading through a commodity pool, you purchase a share or interest in a pool of other investors, and trades are executed by an FCM or CTA. Any profits or losses are shared proportionately by the members of the pool.
When you open an individual account, you need to make a deposit that amounts to a margin payment or performance bond for the futures you trade. This payment is relatively small compared to the size of your potential market position, and it gives you the opportunity to greatly leverage your money. Small changes in options and futures prices can result in large gains or large losses in relatively short periods of time.
Before buying an option, you first must calculate the break‐even price, but you must know the option’s strike price, the premium cost, and the commission or other transaction costs to be able to do it. With those three details in hand, you can determine a break‐even price for a call option using this formula:
Using the example in Table 19‐1, here is the per‐share break‐even price for buying a May call option with a strike price of $54 and a commission of $25, or 25 cents per share:
To make a profit on this call option, the stock price of ABC has to rise above $56.85. If the stock price doesn’t rise above $56.85, you won’t make a profit on this option purchase (unless you’re somehow able to sell the option for more than $2.85 before the expiration date — see the next section). These calculations are correct only when your broker has one fee for a round‐trip option exchange. If you have to pay fees in both directions, which is common, then you need to double the fee in the calculation.
When calculating the break‐even price for a put option, you subtract the premium, commission, and transaction costs. Here is the break‐even calculation for a May put option for ABC stock at a strike price of $54 with a commission of $25, or 25 cents per share:
In this scenario, ABC stock has to drop below $51.75 for this put option to be worthwhile.
After you buy an option, you have to decide how you want to opt out of that position. You can choose one of the following three alternatives:
You offset an option by liquidating your option position, usually in the same marketplace that you bought the option. If you want to get out of an option before its expiration date, you can try to sell it for whatever price you can get. Doing so either enables you to take your profits or reduces your potential loss by the amount you receive for the option. As long as you bought your option in an active market, other investors usually are willing to pay for the rights your option conveys. The key, of course, is how much they’re willing to pay.
Your net profit or loss for this option is determined by the difference between what you originally pay in premiums, commissions, and other transaction costs minus the premium you receive when you liquidate the option after deducting commissions and other transaction costs.
If your option is not yet in the money but you still believe it may get there, you can continue to hold the option until the exercise date. If you’re right, you can exercise the option before the expiration date or liquidate at a later date, which means to buy or sell the option before the expiration date at some time in the future. If you’re wrong, you risk the possibility that you won’t find a buyer or that you’ll have to let the option expire and take a loss that is equal to the amount of the premium, commission, and transaction costs you paid. Some traders take an even riskier position by buying options that are deeply out of the money for just pennies a share. Even if these options never grow any nearer to being in the money, as long as they move in the right direction, the premiums will rise. Although we don’t recommend using this strategy, you can make profits as long as you’re able to sell the option before its expiration date.
You can exercise an option any time prior to its expiration date, as long as you’re trading in American‐style options. You don’t have to wait until the exercise date to exercise an American‐style option. (Some option contracts sold in the United States are European‐style, which can be exercised only on the expiration date.) Exercising an option means
In general, call options are exercised only when the trader plans to hold the underlying asset, and put options are exercised only when the trader owns the underlying asset and wants to sell it. Option traders are more likely to realize any gains or losses by closing their option positions rather than exercising them.
Trading in options and futures is risky business, and regulations governing those trades are stringent, even with regard to allowing you to open an account. Before opening an account for you, a broker must provide you with a disclosure document that describes the risks involved in trading futures and options contracts. The document gives you the opportunity to determine whether you have the experience and financial resources necessary to engage in option trading and whether option trading is appropriate for meeting your goals and objectives.
Topics that must be covered in the disclosure statement include the risks inherent in trading futures contracts or options and the effect that leveraging your account can have on potential losses or gains. The statement also must include warnings about trading futures in foreign markets because those types of trades carry additional risks from fluctuations in currency exchange rates and differences in regulatory protection.
After opening your account, your broker usually mails or emails confirmation of all purchases and sales, a month‐end summary of transactions that shows any gains or losses, and an evaluation of your open positions and current account values. You need to be able to get information from your broker on a daily basis after you begin to trade.
Brokers are required to segregate any money you deposit in your account from the brokerages’ own funds. The amount that is segregated either increases or decreases depending on the success of your trades. Even if the brokerage firm segregates your funds, you still may not be able to get all your money back if the brokerage firm becomes insolvent and is unable to cover all the obligations to its customers. In other words, the money you put into your brokerage account is not insured.
Whenever problems with your broker arise and you can’t resolve them without help, you have several dispute‐resolution options. You can contact the reparations program of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and ask for an industry‐sponsored arbitration, or you can take your broker to court. Before deciding how you want to proceed, you must consider the costs involved with each option, the length of time it may take to resolve the problem, and whether you want to contact an attorney. You can get more information about dispute‐resolution alternatives by contacting the CFTC at www.cftc.gov/ConsumerProtection/ReparationsProgram/index.htm
or by calling 202‐418‐5250.
In a nutshell, the best way to minimize the risks of derivatives trading is to take the time to find out as much as you can about the inherent risks of the derivatives you’re trading and how others have dealt with them. The first step you can take is to check out the firms or individuals with whom you plan to trade. All firms and individuals that offer to trade options or futures must be registered with the CFTC (www.cftc.gov
) and be members of the National Futures Association (NFA; www.nfa.futures.org
). You can check out firms and individuals online at the NFA site by using its Background Affiliation Status Information Center (BASIC). On BASIC, you’ll find the status of the firm or individual and any disciplinary actions taken by the NFA, the CFTC, or any U.S. exchanges. You can start a search on BASIC from the Investor Information page at www.nfa.futures.org/NFA-investor-information/index.HTML
.
Next, be sure that you’re familiar with the firm’s commission charges and how they’re calculated. Compare one firm’s quotes with those of other firms you’re considering. Whenever a firm has unusually high commission charges, ask for a detailed explanation for the higher charges and what additional services justify the higher cost.
Always make sure that you calculate the break‐even price for any option you’re thinking about purchasing, because you have to know at what point the option you’re planning to buy will be profitable and whether the data you’ve collected justifies the option’s premium costs.
You also need to understand the market for the underlying asset of the option or future you plan to buy and what can impact the market price of that asset. Be sure that your expectations for the potential profits from the option or futures contract you choose are reasonable.
You don’t ever want to buy an option without first coming to a full realization that you can lose the entire value of your trade. If you want to take the riskier position as an option writer, be sure you can accept the possibility that your losses may exceed the premium you initially received for the option. Option writing comes with the potential of unlimited losses, as does futures trading.
Just as with stock trading, you can limit your losses by carefully setting your risk limits before you start to trade. Don’t let yourself get caught up in the emotions of futures and options trading. Develop a plan before you buy that first option or future and stick with that plan, and be sure to diversify your holdings not only by asset types but also by time of expiration.