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Dollarlogic in One Page

You have heard it your entire life, and it is wrong. Risk does not equal reward. If it did, why would you wear a seat belt?

What is risk? Risk is not only the worst that can happen, but what is most likely to happen. If negative results equal higher risk, positive results equal lower risk.

Because stocks are likelier to earn higher long-term returns than bonds (4% yearly average for 40-year rolling periods) stocks are less risky than bonds.

Short term, however, stocks are unpredictable; math is against you. A loss of 10% has more impact than a gain of 10%, so the key is to reduce losses, not to increase returns.

Does that mean that as a stock investor you now have to predict the markets? No. No one can do that, not even the experts. You only have to predict yourself, such as when do you want to retire, what are your objectives, and how much income do you need? Success or failure, therefore, is dependent on you, not your investments.

So, what should you do? Do as the ultra-wealthy do: Hire an advisor to help you predict you and your future, and diversify properly. Do-it-yourselfers have only a map; those with advisors have a GPS—they know where they are on the map.

Result? Your future is not dependent on chance or luck because you have systematically reduced risk with diversification and dedicated professional help. Managing risk in this new, more productive way is what I call dollarlogic.