CALIBRATION TEST FOR RANGES: A
No. | Question | Lower Bound (95% Chance Value Is Higher) | Upper Bound (95% Chance Value Is Lower) |
1 | How many feet tall is the Hoover Dam? | ||
2 | How many inches long is a $20 bill? | ||
3 | What percentage of aluminum is recycled in the United States? | ||
4 | When was Elvis Presley born? | ||
5 | What percentage of the atmosphere is oxygen by weight? | ||
6 | What is the latitude of New Orleans? [Hint: Latitude is 0 degrees at the equator and 90 degrees at the North Pole.] | ||
7 | In 1913, the United States military owned how many airplanes? | ||
8 | The first European printing press was invented in what year? | ||
9 | What percentage of all electricity consumed in US households was used by kitchen appliances in 2001? | ||
10 | How many miles tall is Mount Everest? | ||
11 | How long is Iraq's border with Iran in kilometers? | ||
12 | How many miles long is the Nile? | ||
13 | In what year was Harvard founded? | ||
14 | What is the wingspan (in feet) of a Boeing 747 jumbo jet? | ||
15 | How many soldiers were in a Roman legion? | ||
16 | What is the average temperature of the abyssal zone (where the oceans are more than 6,500 feet deep) in degrees F? | ||
17 | How many feet long is the Space Shuttle Orbiter (excluding the external tank)? | ||
18 | In what year did Jules Verne publish 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea? | ||
19 | How wide is the goal in field hockey (in feet)? | ||
20 | The Roman Coliseum held how many spectators? |
No. | Answers to Calibration Test for Ranges: A |
1 | 726 feet |
2 | 63/16ths (6.1417) inches |
3 | 45 percent |
4 | 1935 |
5 | 21 percent |
6 | 29.95 |
7 | 23 |
8 | 1450 |
9 | 26.7 percent |
10 | 5.5 miles |
11 | 1,458 kilometers |
12 | 4,160 miles |
13 | 1636 |
14 | 196 feet |
15 | 6,000 |
16 | 39 F |
17 | 122 feet |
18 | 1870 |
19 | 12 feet |
20 | 50,000 |
CALIBRATION TEST FOR RANGES: B
No. | Question | Lower Bound (95% Chance Value Is Higher) | Upper Bound (95% Chance Value Is Lower) |
1 | The first probe to land on Mars, Viking 1, landed there in what year? | ||
2 | How old was the youngest person to fly into space? | ||
3 | How many meters tall is the Sears Tower? | ||
4 | What was the maximum altitude of the Breitling Orbiter 3, the first balloon to circumnavigate the globe, in miles? | ||
5 | On average, what percentage of the total software development project effort is spent in design? | ||
6 | How many people were permanently evacuated after the Chernobyl nuclear power plant accident? | ||
7 | How many feet long were the largest airships? | ||
8 | How many miles is the flying distance from San Francisco to Honolulu? | ||
9 | The fastest bird, the falcon, can fly at a speed of how many miles per hour in a dive? | ||
10 | In what year was the double helix structure of DNA discovered? | ||
11 | How many yards wide is a football field? | ||
12 | What was the percentage growth in internet hosts from 1996 to 1997? | ||
13 | How many calories are in 8 ounces of orange juice? | ||
14 | How fast would you have to travel at sea level to break the sound barrier (in mph)? | ||
15 | How many years was Nelson Mandela in prison? | ||
16 | What is the average daily calorie intake in developed countries? | ||
17 | In 1994, how many nations were members of the United Nations? | ||
18 | The Audubon Society was formed in the United States in what year? | ||
19 | How many feet high is the world's highest waterfall (Angel Falls, Venezuela)? | ||
20 | How deep beneath the sea was the Titanic found (in miles)? |
No. | Answers to Calibration Test for Ranges: B |
1 | 1976 |
2 | 26 |
3 | 443 meters |
4 | 6.9 miles |
5 | 20 percent |
6 | 350,000 |
7 | 803 feet |
8 | 2,394 miles |
9 | 200 mph |
10 | 1953 |
11 | 53.3 yards |
12 | 70 percent |
13 | 120 |
14 | 760 mph |
15 | 27 |
16 | 3,300 calories |
17 | 184 |
18 | 1905 |
19 | 3,212 feet |
20 | 3.36 miles |
CALIBRATION TEST FOR BINARY: A
Statement | Answer (True/False) | Confidence that You Are Correct (Circle One) | |
1 | The Lincoln Highway was the first paved road in the United States, and it ran from Chicago to San Francisco. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
2 | The Silk Road joined the two ancient kingdoms of China and Afghanistan. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
3 | More American homes have microwaves than telephones. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
4 | Doric is an architectural term for a shape of roof. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
5 | The World Tourism Organization predicts that Europe will still be the most popular tourist destination in 2020. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
6 | Germany was the second country to develop atomic weapons. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
7 | A hockey puck will fit in a golf hole. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
8 | The Sioux were one of the Plains Indian tribes. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
9 | To a physicist, plasma is a type of rock. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
10 | The Hundred Years' War was actually more than a century long. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
11 | Most of the fresh water on Earth is in the polar ice caps. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
12 | The Academy Awards (“Oscars”) began over a century ago. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
13 | There are fewer than two hundred billionaires in the world. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
14 | In Excel, ^ means “take to the power of.” | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
15 | The average annual salary of airline captains is over $150,000. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
16 | By 1997, Bill Gates was worth more than $10 billion. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
17 | Cannons were used in European warfare by the eleventh century. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
18 | Anchorage is the capital of Alaska. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
19 | Washington, Jefferson, Lincoln, and Grant are the four presidents whose heads are sculpted into Mount Rushmore. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
20 | John Wiley & Sons is not the largest book publisher. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% |
No. | Answers for Calibration Test Binary: A |
1 | FALSE |
2 | FALSE |
3 | FALSE |
4 | FALSE |
5 | TRUE |
6 | FALSE |
7 | TRUE |
8 | TRUE |
9 | FALSE |
10 | TRUE |
11 | TRUE |
12 | FALSE |
13 | FALSE |
14 | TRUE |
15 | FALSE |
16 | TRUE |
17 | FALSE |
18 | FALSE |
19 | FALSE |
20 | TRUE |
CALIBRATION TEST FOR BINARY: B
Statement | Answer (True/False) | Confidence that You Are Correct (Circle One) | |
1 | Jupiter's “Great Red Spot” is larger than Earth. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
2 | The Brooklyn Dodgers' name was short for “trolley car dodgers.” | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
3 | Hypersonic is faster than subsonic. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
4 | A polygon is three-dimensional and a polyhedron is two-dimensional. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
5 | A 1-watt electric motor produces 1 horsepower. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
6 | Chicago is more populous than Boston. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
7 | In 2005, WalMart sales dropped below $100 billion. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
8 | Post-it Notes were invented by 3M. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
9 | Alfred Nobel, whose fortune endows the Nobel Peace Prize, made his fortune in oil and explosives. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
10 | A BTU is a measure of heat. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
11 | The winner of the first Indianapolis 500 clocked an average speed of under 100 mph. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
12 | Microsoft has more employees than IBM. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
13 | Romania borders Hungary. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
14 | Idaho is larger (in area) than Iraq. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
15 | Casablanca is on the African continent. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
16 | The first manmade plastic was invented in the nineteenth century. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
17 | A chamois is an alpine animal. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
18 | The base of a pyramid is in the shape of a square. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
19 | Stonehenge is located on the main British island. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% | |
20 | Computer processors double in power every three months or less. | 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% |
No. | Answers for Calibration Test Binary: B |
1 | TRUE |
2 | TRUE |
3 | TRUE |
4 | FALSE |
5 | FALSE |
6 | TRUE |
7 | FALSE |
8 | TRUE |
9 | TRUE |
10 | TRUE |
11 | TRUE |
12 | FALSE |
13 | TRUE |
14 | FALSE |
15 | TRUE |
16 | TRUE |
17 | TRUE |
18 | TRUE |
19 | TRUE |
20 | FALSE |