Dr. William Barnes holds a PhD in political science from the University of Michigan and a law degree from the University of California, Berkeley. Since 1968, he has taught political science—off and on, hither and yon—while, since 1985, making his living as a trial lawyer in the San Francisco Bay Area. From 1986 to 2006 he worked in, studied, and published extensively on election campaigns and preelection public opinion polling in Nicaragua and El Salvador. He currently teaches part time at UC Berkeley and City College of San Francisco.
Dr. Daniel Biró is currently a lecturer in international studies at the University of South Australia. Daniel holds a PhD in politics and international relations from the Australian National University as well as an MScEcon in strategic studies (Aberystwyth), and a MA in European studies (CEU). The research for his chapter was done as part of—and was included in the final version of—his PhD thesis, to be published as a monograph in 2015 (Ashgate). His current research interest revolves around the issue of marginalization and deviance in international politics, including state failure and the policies of state building, as well as the so-called rogue states.
James Bosworth is a freelance writer and consultant based in Managua, Nicaragua. Most recently, he has written reports on Latin American security, politics, and energy issues; arms trafficking in El Salvador; organized crime in Honduras; and cybersecurity cooperation to combat botnets. His work has been cited in U.S. congressional testimony as well as in the Economist, Wall Street Journal, Christian Science Monitor, and other media outlets. Prior to freelancing, James was associate for communications at the Inter-American Dialogue and director of research at the Rendon Group. James blogs at www.bloggingsbyboz.com, where he provides daily analysis and commentary on Latin American politics and U.S. foreign policy. He has a BA in political science and history from Washington University in St. Louis.
Dr. Nils Gilman is associate chancellor at the University of California, Berkeley. He holds a BA, MA, and PhD in intellectual history from the University of California, Berkeley, and is the author of Mandarins of the Future: Modernization Theory in Cold War America (2003) and Deviant Globalization (2011), an anthology that explores how globalized black-market economies are challenging traditional state authority. He is also the coeditor of Humanity, an international journal of human rights, humanitarian-ism, and development, published by the University of Pennsylvania Press.
Dr. Jesse Goldhammer is a principal at Doblin, Monitor Deloitte’s innovation consultancy, where he develops transformational innovation programs that help clients to solve vexing public and private sector challenges. He is an accomplished innovator, instructor, facilitator, and presenter. Jesse earned a PhD from UC Berkeley in political science. An expert in modern political theory, Jesse has coauthored Deviant Globalization: Black Market Economy in the 21st Century (Continuum Publishing, 2011) and written The Headless Republic (Cornell University Press, 2005). Dr. Daniel S. Gressang is a strategy and engagement lead for the U.S. Department of Defense and an adjunct professor for the University of Maryland University College. Daniel holds an AB and MA in political science from the University of Alabama, an MS in strategic intelligence from the National Intelligence University, and a PhD in government and politics from the University of Maryland. The views expressed in his contribution are his own and do not reflect the policy or position of the Department of Defense or the United States Government.
Vinay Gupta is a disaster relief, contingency management, and environmental change consultant. He is also the director of the Hexayurt Project, an open-source sustainable-housing initiative and has worked with Rocky Mountain Institute, STAR-TIDES at National Defense University, and UCL Institute for Security and Resilience Studies on a broad range of topics from cybersecurity to renewable-energy investment policy. His first book, The Future We Deserve, focuses on mass collaboration as a way to break out of constrained thinking about the future.
Paul Hilder is an organizer and social entrepreneur. He is a board director and cofounder of the British movement 38 Degrees and a cofounder of the global debate website www.opendemocracy.net. He served as campaign director for Avaaz (http://avaaz.org) from its launch until 2010, then as director of campaigns at Oxfam, and most recently as vice president of global campaigns for www.change.org. He has worked on social innovation, development, governance, and conflict resolution internationally, in particular in the Middle East and Europe. He is the author or editor of several publications, including Contentious Citizens (Carnegie, 2007).
Graham Leicester is director of the International Futures Forum. He previously ran Scotland’s leading think tank, the Scottish Council Foundation, founded in 1997. From 1984 to 1995 he served as a diplomat in HM Diplomatic Service, specializing in China (he speaks Mandarin Chinese) and the European Union. Between 1995 and 1997 he was senior research fellow with the Constitution Unit at University College London. He has also worked as a freelance professional cellist, including with the BBC Concert Orchestra. He has a strong interest in governance, innovation, and education; is a senior adviser to the British Council on those issues; and has previously worked with OECD, the World Bank Institute, and other agencies on the themes of governance in a knowledge society and the governance of the long term.
Samuel Logan is the regional manager for Latin America at iJET International, an investigative journalist, and author. He is the director of Southern Pulse | Networked Intelligence, a decentralized, field-based investigations organization, and he has reported on security, energy, politics, economics, organized crime, terrorism, and black markets in Latin America since 1999.
Dr. Noah Raford is a strategist and policy advisor with a focus on foresight and public innovation. He was a senior manager at Monitor / GBN; a senior researcher at the London School of Economics Complexity Programme; a visiting researcher at the Institute for Science, Innovation, and Society at the University of Oxford; and a fellow of the International Futures Forum. Noah received a BA from Brown University, his MSc from the University College London, and his PhD at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT).
Tuesday Reitano has been working in the field of international development and peacebuilding for the last fifteen years, for ten years in the United Nations, and then as an independent consultant. She currently heads the Secretariat of the Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime (www.globalinitiative.net) a Geneva-based think tank that she helped to found in 2011. Tuesday has worked extensively in fragile states, serving as an advisor to governments and multilateral organizations on issues of governance, justice reform, and post-conflict transition planning. Tuesday specializes in issues relating to transnational organized crime and counterterrorism and has published extensively in both policy and academic journals. She has an MSc in international development, conflict, and security from the University of Leicester, an MBA from McGill University, and an MPA from New York University.
Mark Safranski is a senior analyst at Wikistrat, LLC and is a contributor to Pragati: The Indian National Interest. He has an MA in diplomatic history and an MSEd in administration. He is the editor of The John Boyd Roundtable: Debating Science, Strategy, and War and a contributing author to Threats in the Age of Obama and The Handbook of 5GW, all published by Nimble Books. Mark is the founder of zenpundit.com, a respected defense, strategy, and foreign policy blog.
Dr. John P. Sullivan is a lieutenant with the Los Angeles Sheriff’s Department. He is also a senior fellow at the Stephenson Disaster Management Institute (SDMI) at Louisiana State University, Senior El Centro Fellow at Small Wars Journal, and an adjunct researcher on society and global crime at the VORTEX Research Group, Bogotá, Colombia. He is coeditor or coauthor of several books, most recently Studies in Gangs and Cartels (Routledge, 2014). He has a PhD from the Open University of Catalonia.
Dr. Peter Taylor received a BA and DPhil from Oxford and then spent thirty years in the London insurance market. After retiring, in 2006, Peter researched into the theory of risk at the Oxford Martin School and helped establish two not-for-profit organizations—the Lighthill Risk Network and then the Oasis Loss Modelling Framework. His publications include “Catastrophes and Insurance” (in Global Catastrophic Risks, Oxford University Press, 2008); “The Mismeasure of Risk” (in The Handbook of Risk Theory, Springer, 2011); and “Realizing the Value of Uncertainty” (presented at the AonBenfield Hazards Conference, 2013).
Hardin Tibbs is a strategist, futurist, and educator based in Cambridge, England. His consulting work helps organizations understand and adapt to change in the strategic environment. He has worked with leading companies and government agencies in Europe, the United States, Australasia, and South-East Asia on topics ranging from car technology for Nissan to food policy for the U.K. government. His writing about sustainability has been influential, and his work on industrial ecology while a consultant at Arthur D. Little in the late 1980s helped define a new approach to environment and technology. His website is www.hardintibbs.com.
Andrew Trabulsi is a consultant and entrepreneur focusing on technology and economic development policy. Based in San Francisco, his work and research has included technology capacity building with indigenous communities in the Amazon rainforest, community development with the Federal Reserve Bank, innovation consulting with Deloitte LLP, and content development for the Economist Group. Andrew advises public, private, and social-sector clients on issues of strategy, organization, analysis, sustainability, and geopolitics.
Shlok Vaidya is contributing editor for The OODA Loop and is writing a book on the future of India, from which his chapter in this volume is excerpted. He has served as a defense consultant specializing in information operations and as an energy security analyst at a Washington, DC, think tank. Shlok is a frequent contributor to the international press and has conducted extensive field research on infrastructure disruption in India.
Dr. Steven Weber is a professor in the school of information and department of political science at the University of California Berkeley. He is the author of The Success of Open Source; coauthor (with Bruce Jentleson) of End of Arrogance: America in the Global Competition of Ideas; and coeditor (with Nils Gilman and Jesse Goldhammer) of Deviant Globalization: Black Market Economy in the 21st Century.