1974–75 global recession 10
A
accession treaties 112
Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE) 130–131
Alogoskoufis, George 42
Anglo Irish Bank 53
Ansip, Anders 104
Armenia 149
influence 108
interest rates 93
Azerbaijan 149
Aznar, José Maria 17
B
Bagehot, Walter 9
see also Cyprus
bail-outs
national approval requirement 127
no-bail-out rule 45, 162, 163–165
Balkans war 143
bank recapitalisation 58–59, 74–77, 84
Bankia 72
banking sector characteristics 35
banking supervision see financial supervision
banking union 23, 74–75, 77, 83–85, 90–92, 106, 165, 195
see also deposit guarantees; financial supervision
Barroso, José Manuel
early days of crisis 41
European Commission 97, 98, 141, 172
Italy 63
Batista, Paulo Nogueira 46
Belarus 149
Berlusconi, Silvio
euro currency view 151
Italy’s failure to reform 59, 60, 62–63
People of Freedom party (PdL) 107
resignation 64
BNP Paribas 40
Bolkestein directive 137
bond yields 37, 38, 61, 70, 89
bond spreads 37, 42, 70, 80, 88
Bootle, Roger 1
Brandt, Willy 10
Brown, Gordon 24, 41, 48, 102, 112, 144
Bruegel think-tank 35, 74, 163, 166
budget deficits
Maastricht ceiling 15
timescales for meeting targets 88–89
see also stability and growth pact
budgets
fiscal capacity 84
Bulgaria 108, 113, 124, 126, 147
C
Cameron, David 14, 17, 64–65, 117–119, 132, 140
Cannes G20 summit (2011) 62–64
Capital Economics 1
Cassis de Dijon judgment 21
Catalonia 178
CEBS (Committee of European Banking Supervisors) 35
Centre for European Policy Studies 34
Centre for European Reform 34
CFSP (Common Foreign and Security Policy) 142, 144
Chirac, Jacques 18, 23, 100, 127
Christofias, Demetris 86
Churchill, Winston 7, 115, 161
Clark, Christopher 178
Clinton, Hillary 144
Cockfield, Arthur 13
Committee of European Banking Supervisors (CEBS) 35
Committee of Permanent Representatives (COREPER) 20
Committee of Regions 21
common fisheries policy 100, 138
Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) 142, 144
Competitiveness Pact see Euro Plus Pact
Constâncio, Vítor 34
convergence criteria 14–16, 41, 112, 193
COREPER (Committee of Permanent Representatives) 20
COSAC (Conference of Community and European Affairs Committees of Parliaments of the European Union) 133
Council of Ministers 20, 121, 130
Council of the European Union see Council of Ministers
Court of Auditors 21
Court of First Instance 21
Crafts, Nicholas 9
credit ratings (countries) 69, 77–78, 108
Crimea 150
current-account (im)balances 25, 31, 88–89, 167–168
customs union, German 9
Cyprus
accession 147
entry to euro 112
finances pre-crisis 30
Cyprus Popular Bank (Laiki) 86–88
D
Dayton agreement 143
Deauville meeting between Sarkozy and Merkel 51–52, 102
debt mutualisation 74, 103, 166–167
defence and security 8, 143, 145
deflation 92
Delpla, Jacques 167
democratic accountability 125–129, 162
democratic deficit 121, 129–132, 162–163, 171–172
Denmark
European participation 112
justice and home affairs (JHA) 111, 139
ministerial accountability 133
opt-outs 139
shadowing of euro 113
single currency opt-out 110, 115
UK sympathies 119
deposit guarantees 5, 40–41, 74, 77, 91
devaluation, internal 31, 65–66
Dexia 72
double majority voting 20, 114
Draghi, Mario 156
appointment as ECB president 23, 68
crisis-management team 2
demand for fiscal compact 64
Long Term Refinancing Operations (LTRO) 68–70
outright monetary transactions (OMT) 78–81
pressure on Berlusconi 59
“whatever it takes” London speech 79
Duisenberg, Wim 23
E
e-commerce 137
east–west divide 108
ECB (European Central Bank)
crisis-management planning 2, 4
delays 156
European System of Central Banks 22
liquidity provision 40–42, 68–70
outright monetary transactions (OMT) 79–81, 164, 175–176
role and function 22–24, 39–40, 170–171
Economic and Financial Committee 20
economic and monetary union (EMU) 11, 112
Economic and Social Committee 21
The Economist
on ECB responsibilities 15
fictitious memorandum to Angela Merkel 1
ECSC (European Coal and Steel Community) 7–8
EEAS (European External Action Service) 142, 144
EEC (European Economic Community) 8
EFSF (European Financial Stability Facility) 26, 48, 55, 60–61, 81, 194
see also ESM (European Stability Mechanism)
EFSM (European Financial Stabilisation Mechanism) 48
elections, European 121, 129–130
Elysée treaty 100
emissions-trading scheme (ETS) 135–136
EMS (European Monetary System)
creation of 11
exchange-rate mechanism 16
membership 15
EMU (economic and monetary union) 11, 112
EMU@10 36
energy policies 136
enhanced co-operation 111
environment summits 135
Erdogan, Recep Tayyip 148
ESM (European Stability Mechanism) 194
ETS (emissions-trading scheme) 135–136
EU 2020 strategy 137
break-up contingency plans 2–3
convergence criteria 14–16, 41, 112, 193
notes and coins 18
euro crisis
effect on world influence 143–146
euro zone 4
increasing significance of institutions 113–114, 120
performance compared with US 154–155
political integration 125
trust 173
Eurogroup of finance ministers 24, 114
European Banking Authority 114, 195
European Central Bank (ECB)
crisis-management planning 2, 4
delays 156
European System of Central Banks 22
liquidity provision 40–42, 68–70
outright monetary transactions (OMT) 79–81, 164, 175–176
role and function 22–24, 39–40, 170–171
European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) 7–8
European Commission
errors 160
influence and power 96–97, 99, 119, 125
organisation 19
proposals for economic governance 50
European Community 12
European Court of Human Rights 21
European Court of Justice 21
European Defence Community 8
European Economic Community (EEC) 8
European External Action Service (EEAS) 142, 144
European Financial Stabilisation Mechanism (EFSM) 48
European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) 26, 48, 55, 60–61, 81, 194
see also European Stability Mechanism (ESM)
European Financial Stability Mechanism 26
see also European Stability Mechanism (ESM)
European Investment Bank 21
European Monetary Institute 22
European Monetary System (EMS)
creation of 11
exchange-rate mechanism 16
membership 15
European Parliament 20–21, 97–98, 99, 100, 119, 121, 129–132, 171
European People’s Party 117, 127, 130–131
European Political Co-operation 142
European Stability Mechanism (ESM) 194
European Systemic Risk Board 41
European Union
driving forces for monetary union 12–13
expansion 26
European Union Act (2011) 117, 132
Finns Party 124
Jobbik 125
League of Catholic Families 125
National Front 124
Party of Freedom (PdL) 124
UK Independence Party (UKIP) 118, 125, 140
excessive deficit procedure 24, 88–89, 194, 195
exchange rates 164
F
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) 77
Federal Reserve (US) 23, 47, 48, 157
federalism 19, 110, 116, 161–165, 168–170, 177–178
financial supervision 195
Jacques de Larosière proposals 41
single supervisor 76–77, 83–84, 90
Finland
Finns Party 124
influence 108
ministerial accountability 133
fiscal capacity 84
fiscal compact treaty 25–26, 64–65, 118, 194–195
fixed exchange-rate systems 3, 9–10
Foot, Michael 116
forecasts, growth 92
Fouchet plan 22
France
current-account balance 168
EMS exchange-rate mechanism 16
excessive deficit procedure 89
GDP growth 32
and Greece 44
public debt 159
unemployment 159
veto of UK entry 115
vote to block European Defence Community 8
G
Gazprom 136
GDP growth 32
Georgia 149
Germany
constitutional (Karlsruhe) court 45, 95, 128, 158
crisis management errors 155–156
current-account surplus 89, 105, 167–168
demands post Greek bail-out 50–51
economic strengths and weaknesses 14
GDP growth 32
and Greece 44
national control and accountability 128, 133
parliamentary seats 100
public debt 159
public opinion of EU 123
unemployment 159
unification 16
Zollverein 9
Giscard d’Estaing, Valéry 11, 18, 26, 100
Golden Dawn 124
government spending (worldwide) 4
governments, insolvency of 50
great moderation 31
Greece
bail-out deal 45–47, 56–58, 65–67, 70, 158
current-account balance 168
GDP growth 32
potential euro exit 1–5, 81–83
public opinion of EU and euro 113, 123, 124
referendum on bail-out 2, 61–62
unemployment 159
Gros, Daniel 34
H
Hague, William 151
Haider, Jörg 127
Heisbourg, François 104
Hollande, François 73–74, 89, 103–104, 127
proposed reforms 177
Hypo Real Estate 41
I
ideological differences 114–115
IKB Deutsche Industriebank 40
impossible trinity 13
inter-governmentalism 96, 128, 174
internal devaluation 31, 65–66
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
banking union 74
crisis-management planning 2, 4–5
euro zone support 48
Greece 44–46, 56–57, 66, 83, 93–95, 160
Latvia 65
special drawing rights (SDR) 63
Iraq 143
bond yields 37, 47, 53, 61, 89
current-account balance 168
finances pre-crisis 30
GDP growth 32
influence 107
public opinion of EU 123
unemployment 159
Italy
convergence criteria 17
current-account balance 168
danger of collapse 59
EMS exchange-rate mechanism 16
excessive deficit procedure 89
GDP growth 32
interest rates 93
public opinion of EU 123
single currency views 17
unemployment 159
Jenkins, Roy 11
Jobbik 125
Juncker, Jean-Claude 98, 104, 177
candidate for Commission Presidency 131
EU 2005 budget crisis 28
Eurobonds 54
Eurogroup president 24
justice and home affairs (JHA) 139
K
Karamanlis, Kostas 42
Karlsruhe constitutional court 45, 95, 128, 158
Kauder, Volker 105
Kerry, John 144
L
Lagarde, Christine 51, 58, 62, 92
Lamers, Karl 111
Lamont, Norman 17
Latin Monetary Union 9
Lawson, Nigel 16
League of Catholic Families 125
Lehman Brothers, ECB reaction to collapse 4
Lipsky, John 57
foreign policy 142
justice and home affairs (JHA) 139
subsidiarity 133
Long Term Refinancing Operations (LTRO) 68–70, 72
Luxembourg 77–78, 100, 108, 169
Luxembourg compromise 97
M
Maastricht treaty 11–12, 15, 22, 142, 193
opt-outs and referendums 16, 110–111
MacDougall report (1977) 13, 169
Maroni, Roberto 34
Mayer, Thomas 1
McCreevy, Charlie 41
Merkel, Angela
2013 re-election 90
Cannes G20 summit (2011) 63–64
European constitution 28
fictitious memorandum to 1
future direction 178
power and influence 89, 102–106, 153
Sarkozy collaboration 60, 61–62, 102–103
support for Cyprus 86
support for Greece 5, 45, 49–52, 81–82
voter support 125
Miliband, David 144
Mitterrand, François 11, 12, 18, 100
Mody, Ashoka 163
Moldova 149
Montebourg, Arnaud 104
Montenegro 147
Monti, Mario 64
A New Strategy for the Single Market (2010) 137–138
Morocco 146
Morrison, Herbert 8
Morsi, Muhammad 145
Moscovici, Pierre 75
multi-annual financial framework 21, 27, 118
mutualisation of debt 74, 103, 166–167
N
National Front 124
NATO
defence spending targets 145
European security 8
membership 110
Netherlands
excessive deficit procedure 89
ministerial accountability 133
UK sympathies 119
Nice treaty 194
no-bail-out rule 45, 162, 163–165
Northern Rock 40
notes and coins 18
Nouy, Danièle 90
Nuland, Victoria 149
O
Obama, Barack 63
official sector involvement (OSI) 83
OMT (outright monetary transactions) 79–81, 164, 175–176
Germany’s constitutional court judgment 95, 128
optimal currency-area theory 12–13, 14–15
Orban, Viktor 126
OSI (official sector involvement) 83
outright monetary transactions (OMT) 79–81, 164, 175–176
Germany’s constitutional court judgment 95, 128
P
Pact for the Euro see Euro Plus Pact
Papaconstantinou, George 43
Papademos, Lucas 64
election 43
Party of Freedom 124
Policy Exchange 1
political parties 124–125, 139–140
political union 10, 12, 133–134
Pompidou, Georges 10
Poos, Jacques 143
Portugal 110
bond yields 37, 47, 53, 61, 89
public opinion of EU and euro 113
price stability goal of ECB 23
private-sector involvement (PSI) in debt restructuring 51–52
Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D) 130–131
public debt 15, 158–159 see also sovereign debt
public opinion of EU and euro 121–124
Q
qualified-majority voting 13, 20, 99, 121
negative qualified-majority voting 25, 195
quantitative easing (QE) 47, 15
R
recapitalisation, bank 58–59, 74–77, 84
redenomination 3–4, 153–154, 175
Reding, Viviane 139
referendums 27, 28, 121–122, 132
REFIT initiative 172
Regling, Klaus 26
rescue fund see European Stability Mechanism (ESM)
resolution mechanism 90–91, 165, 195
single resolution mechanism (SRM) 195
single supervisory mechanism (SSM) 195
Romania 41, 108, 113, 124, 126, 147
Rösler, Philipp 78
Rueff, Jacques 9
Rumsfeld, Donald 143
Russia, influence on Ukraine 149–150
Rutte, Mark 77
S
Samaras, Antonis 2, 78, 82, 93–94
Santer, Jacques 97
Sarkozy, Nicolas
European constitution 28
LTROs and the Sarkozy trade 69
Merkel collaboration 51–52, 60, 61–62, 102–103
Schäuble, Wolfgang 62, 75, 84, 90–91, 106, 111, 154
Schengen Agreement 110, 111–112
Schröder, Gerhard 18, 101, 127
Schulz, Martin 131
Schuman Day 8
SDR (special drawing rights) 63
Securities Market Programme (SMP) 48, 79
services directive 34
Shafik, Nemat 65
Sikorski, Radek 109
Simitis, Costas 18
Simms, Brendan 179
single currency
benefits 152
club within a club 112
importance of 113
vision for 9
see also euro
single market 4, 137–138, 174–175
Sinn, Hans-Werner 101
Slovakia 112
adoption of euro 41
influence 108
influence 108
SMP (Securities Market Programme) 48, 79
snake in the tunnel 10
Solana, Javier 142
sovereign debt 165–166 see also public debt
Spain 110
bank recapitalisation 84
CDS premiums 72
current-account balance 168
danger of collapse 59
excessive deficit procedure 89
finances pre-crisis 30
GDP growth 32
influence 107
public debt 159
single currency views 17
unemployment 159
special drawing rights (SDR) 63
stability and growth pact 18, 24, 29, 50–51, 127, 194
Steinbrück, Peer 43
Strauss-Kahn, Dominique 24, 44, 57
UK sympathies 119
Syria 145
Syriza 124
T
Target II 157
Thatcher, Margaret 27, 110, 116
third energy package 136
Tilford, Simon 34
Tindemans, Leo 111
trade policy 138
Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) 138–139
treaty making and change 26–27, 173–174
Treaty of Amsterdam 111–112, 193
foreign policy 142
justice and home affairs (JHA) 139
subsidiarity 133
Treaty of Nice 194
Treaty of Rome 8, 97, 110, 193
Treaty on European Union (Maastricht treaty) 11–12, 15, 22, 142, 193
opt-outs and referendums 16, 110–111
Treaty on Stability, Co-ordination and Governance (TSCG) see fiscal compact treaty
crisis-management planning 2
ECB president 23
IMF 44
Italy 59
True Finns 124
U
UK Independence Party (UKIP) 118, 125, 140
United Kingdom
current-account balance 168
economic strengths and weaknesses 14
EMS exchange-rate mechanism 16
euro membership 112
European budget contribution 27–28
European involvement 8, 10, 12, 115–119
influence 100–101, 106, 109, 142–143
initial application to join EEC 9
public opinion of EU 123
single currency views 17
United Left party 124
United States
abandonment of gold standard 10
federalism model 177
foreign policy 143
performance compared with euro zone 154–155
Urpilainen, Jutta 77
Van Gend en Loos v Nederlandse Administratie der Belastingen (1963) 21
Van Rompuy, Herman 98
crisis-management planning 3
Cyprus 87
European Council presidency 20, 28
Italy 63
roadmap for integration 74–75, 84, 173
Verhofstadt, Guy 131
Véron, Nicolas 35
Vilnius summit 149
von Weizsäcker, Jakob 166
W
Wall Street flash crash 47
Weizsäcker, Jakob von 166
Werner report (1971) 10
Wilson, Harold 116
Wolfson Prize 1
World Bank 33
World Trade Organisation 138–139
Y
Yanukovych, Viktor 149
Z
Zapatero, José Luis Rodríguez 59, 62
Zollverein 9