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Some people believe that there is a very powerful, all knowing god who cares about our wellbeing and happiness. Some among them may believe god shares his wisdom with us through religions. The people who believe religion is god's teachings have differing opinions about the validity of religions. Some may believe only one of them is true, that is made by god. Some others may believe some of them are true and the rest are false, and there are people who believe all of them are true.
The people who consider only one religion to be true might consider others as man-made or made by negative forces. They may say their religion stand out from the rest and they will give some reason like it predict things, explains things etc. But every religion does the same, there is nothing significant which makes any one of them stand out. Take any religion, it will say it is god's words or wisdom, it knows how the universe was created, why there is life, why we are here, what are we supposed to do etc.
The people for whom not all religions are true but some are, haven't taken into account the inconsistencies or conflicting statements in religions. There will be inconsistencies between any two religions if both say different things about god, spirituality, how the universe was formed, how to live, how to pray etc. If you take any two religion, you will surely find inconsistencies. You will find that one may say god made the universe by molding his magical clay, another may say he made earth, water and fire first, and combined them to make the universe or another may say god is universe. Religions may also have conflicting statements in it. One religion may say prayers work most on Monday, another may say prayers don't work on Monday. So if god made some religions then the inconsistencies between them is god’s making. An inconsistent god or the god who make mistakes doesn't go well with the definition of a god who is powerful, all knowing and supreme.
Some people consider all religions to be true. They may say god made all the religions, and every one of it is intended for our wellbeing and happiness. So they believe that every one of it should be true. But they will surely change their opinion if they tried to learn any two religions and follow both of them. Because when they do that they will find the inconsistencies and conflicts and it will be very confusing for them. It even gets to a degree where one religion say bad things about another religion or worse, or claiming something like there are people living on the sun. Understand that we can't believe in all the religions or follow every one of it at the same time. A person who believe every religion to be true may be mistaken, or may not care about the truth.
Neither can all religions be true, nor can some of them be true. So some may want to believe there is only one true religion. Considering how powerful and knowledgeable god is, we can think that if he created a religion and wanted it to reach all the people in the world, he would have done it so that people from different regions, cultures or people having different native languages can access it and understand it. But we don't find any such religion. All religions we know of inherit heavily from certain languages and cultures, and doesn't seem to care much about the differences between them. So we might find god asking people to pray in a certain language because he likes it more, or asking them to offer him a fruit which grows only in a rainforest as a way to thank him and not giving the people living in, say a tundra, an alternative which grows in their place. The all-knowing, supreme god could have made his religion reach people in different regions, having different cultures or speaking different languages, at the same time, in different languages and suitable for different cultures. But there is no such religion. It is hard to believe god gave it to any single group of people and let its human founders give it a specific cultural wrap and leave it at their mercy to spread it to the whole world.
God doesn't need religion to share anything. If he cares about our happiness and wellbeing, he can tell it loud and clear to each and every one. God could not have missed so many things that religions miss. God could not have made the inconsistencies in religions. Religions have human signatures and flaws along with a trademarked version of god. A caring god is a human invention and religion is a human creation.
We have a lot of religions, and to account for it we have to consider our limitations, ignorance and fears. In the past, before there was transportation there was little interaction between people separated by rivers, oceans, mountains or by distance. The knowledge each of them had was restricted to what their group could discover or invent. When people didn't know something, they asked people with more experience, usually elders. Elders have experience hunting, making tools etc and they were the source of information for a majority of their day to day tasks. But the elders were as ignorant as anybody about the causes of day and night, winds, earthquakes, sunset, sunrise, about our origin, the universe, the moon, the sun etc. For example they knew that some leaves when crushed and applied on wounds help in speedy recovery. That information is a result of accumulation of generations of knowledge about the properties of plants. They were unaware of the science behind it. Some people who processed such information claimed that they know it because the spirit of nature or the plant or god himself revealed it to them. Maybe everybody will believe it or maybe some people will believe it, but at least such an idea can be planted in the minds of the people. Similar was the case with questions like where did they come from, how the nature formed etc. They used their imagination to make some reason and claimed that they asked god or spirits and they told it to them. They could also claim, only they hear god because god like the way they live. Suppose that person live a life of sharing, caring and giving, highly desirable qualities you would like to see in a person, then the people in his group will feel that he has no reason to lie, he is a very good person, we certainly like him and god will definitely like him. It may become like something evident suggesting that it is true and people might believe it. They don't see any reason for him to lie but see a reason to believe him. But reframing your question to how he is sure instead of why he should lie will bring out the truth, he doesn't know it but think he knows it, or he may be lying.
The ideas of god, spirituality or other ideas which invented a logic to back it up, even if senseless will make people thinking. If people are not questioning such ideas from the ground up and if there is invented information to support it or insufficient information to refute it, then it can convince some of them and get passed to their children. When the number of people who believe in an idea increase there is more chance that others might believe it too. Then the people who believe in it might invent or alter facts to justify their belief, or to make their reasons sound more logical and again make stories and more altered facts to make it sound even more reasonable or justifiable. So they began to believe in spirits, the god of fire, the god with the body of a rat and a human head, the god of all gods etc. When humans could travel over great distances with the help of boats or horses or carts there was a wealth of information available to them. But rather than dismissing their beliefs and rituals as irrational and as superstitions, they shared it, became accepting or fought over it. The reason being that there were some common threads in all of it like there has to be somebody who created this, why he made us, why we are here, our common fears, imagination, curiosity etc. This enabled it to continue to exist, along with all the other senseless logic intended to support it. It formed when the conditions for such ideas to flourish was ripe, that is when fear and ignorance overshadowed understanding and knowledge. But now, the information available to us about ourselves and nature is considerable and more than enough to dismiss superstitions and beliefs. Understand that it is us who got curious, and couldn't get some answers, so imagined the answers or imagined logic to support it, and grouped facts, beliefs and knowledge into religions and believe it to be god's wisdom. We did all of it, we made religions.