Chapter 1: Ten Years After
1. scientificamerican.com/article/the-end-of-cheap-oil/. The full article can be found at oilcrisis.com/campbell/endofcheapoil.pdf
2. resilience.org/stories/2004-05-11/dick-cheney-peak-oil-and-final-count-down
3. communitysolution.org/04conf.html
4. peakoil.net/conferences/iwood-2004-berlin
5. See youtube.com/watch?v=cJ-J91SwP8w
6. postcarbon.org/drill-baby-drill/report
7. forbes.com/sites/modeledbehavior/2013/07/17/no-peak-oil-really-is-dead
8. postcarbon.org/drill-baby-drill/report
9. nytimes.com/2010/02/15/business/energy-environment/15renoil.html
10. advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/DOT-Miles-Driven.php
11. theoildrum.com/node/3487. The images at that post are now broken links, but the critical chart can be seen here: theoildrum.com/files/StuartFig2.jpg
12. cassandralegacy.blogspot.it/2013/08/who-said-that-peak-oil-models-were-wrong.html
13. youtube.com/watch?v=D9z1Ikn84Aw
15. resilience.org/stories/2006-07-06/open-letter-greg-palast
16. See en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uppsala_Protocolandrichardheinberg.com/odp
Chapter 2: The Gross Society
1. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boom_Town_%28film%29
2. breakingenergy.com/2014/02/18/peak-oil-is-real-and-the-majors-face-challenging-times
3. postcarbon.org/drill-baby-drill/report
4. csmonitor.com/Environment/Energy-Voices/2013/0702/Why-oil-and-gas-drilling-is-going-deeper-and-further-offshore
5. bloomberg.com/news/2014-02-27/dream-of-u-s-oil-independence-slams-against-shale-costs.html
6. energypolicy.columbia.edu/events-calendar/global-oil-market-forecasting-main-approaches-key-drivers
7. reuters.com/article/2014/02/17/oil-exploration-spending-idUSL3N0LJ38A20140217
8. peakoilmatters.com/2014/02/06/peak-oil-investment-issues-3
9. energypolicy.columbia.edu/events-calendar/global-oil-market-forecasting-main-approaches-key-drivers
10. economist.com/node/17314626?subjectid=2512631&story_id=17314626
11. ftalphaville.ft.com/files/2013/01/Perfect-Storm-LR.pdf
12. mdpi.com/2071-1050/3/10/1796/pdf
13. mdpi.com/2071-1050/3/10/1796/pdf
14. mdpi.com/1996-1073/2/1/25/pdf
15. ourfiniteworld.com/2014/02/25/beginning-of-the-end-oil-companies-cut-back-on-spending
16. people.hofstra.edu/geotrans/eng/ch3en/conc3en/vehiclemilesusa.html
17. usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2013/10/01/social-media-driving-millennials/2898093
18. washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/12/13/cars-in-the-u-s-are-more-fuel-efficient-than-ever-heres-how-it-happened
19. ourfiniteworld.com/2013/01/31/why-is-us-oil-consumption-lower-better-gasoline-mileage
20. See postcarbon.org/report/127153-energy-nine-challenges-of-alternative-energy
21. nationofchange.org/need-jobs-us-solar-industry-provides-employment-more-people-coal-and-oil-combined-1391783404
22. bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_05022014.htm
23. zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-10/people-not-labor-force-soar-record-918-million-participation-rate-plunges-1978-level
24. gallup.com/poll/166850/americans-worse-off-financially-year-ago.aspx
25. resilience.org/stories/2012-03-05/uneconomic-growth-deepens-depression
26. dailyreckoning.com/credit-growth-drives-economic-growth-until-it-doesn%E2%80%99t
27. 2012wiki.com/index.php?title=Image:Diminishing_Returns_from_Each_Dollar_of_New_Debt_in_US_Economy.jpg
28. reuters.com/article/2013/12/06/us-usa-qe3-piktoggles-special-report-idUSBRE9B50G620131206
30. huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/01/happiness-index-only-1-in_n_3354524.html
31. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1260329/Worlds-largest-cities-morphing-overcrowded-mega-regions-defined-poverty-pollution-UN-report-warns.html
32. thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/01/14/consumption-makes-us-sad-science-says-we-can-be-happy-with-less.html
34. resilience.org/stories/2014-02-11/medieval-spanish-ghost-town-now-self-sufficient-ecovillage
36. See “The Purposefully Confusing World of Energy Politics,” Chapter 5 in this book.
Chapter 4: The Climate PR Puzzle
1. Arguably, overpopulation is as big an issue as our energy-climate conundrum. I’ve chosen not to focus on it here merely to streamline the narrative. There are many feedbacks between population, energy, and climate, and these deserve discussion elsewhere.
2. ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/roadmap/faq_en.htm
3. sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421510008645
4. amazon.com/The-Five-Stages-Collapse-Survivors/dp/0865717362/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1383196999&sr=8-1&keywords=five+stages+of+collapse
5. cluborlov.blogspot.com/2013/10/the-sixth-stage-of-collapse.html
6. Rogers, Everett M., Diffusion of Innovations, (Glencoe: Free Press, 1962).
7. sustainabilityinstitute.org/pubs/Leverage_Points.pdf
8. amazon.com/Voluntary-Simplicity-Toward-Outwardly-Inwardly/dp/0061779261/ref=pd_sim_b_3
9. For more suggestions to elected officials, see this “top 10” list compiled by Herman Daly: resilience.org/stories/2013-10-29/top-10-policies-for-a-steady-state-economy
Chapter 5: The Purposely Confusing World of Energy Politics
1. articles.latimes.com/2013/jun/21/opinion/la-oe-zierman-california-fracking-moratorium-20130621
2. sourcewatch.org/index.php/Fracking_and_water_pollution
3. bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-04/study-shows-fracking-is-bad-for-babies.html
4. scientificamerican.com/article/a-path-to-sustainable-energy-by-2030
5. See greens.org/s-r/60/60-09.html, https://socialsciences.arts.unsw.edu.au/tsw/JandDreplytoreply.htm, and andrew.cmu.edu/user/pjaramil/ClIMA/Publications_files/Energy%20Policy%202013%20Gilbraith.pdf
6. See stanford.edu/group/efmh/jacobson/Articles/I/NYSWWSRespComm.pdfandsciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421512009792
7. ourfiniteworld.com/2014/01/21/ten-reasons-intermittent-renewables-wind-and-solar-pv-are-a-problem
8. solavis.ch/files/Fossil_Infrastructure_Cost_vs_Renewable_Energy_System_Cost.pdf
9. amazon.com/Spains-Photovoltaic-Revolution-Investment-SpringerBriefs/dp/144199436X
10. americanenergyindependence.com/solarenergy.aspx
11. sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421511004836
12. nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n2/full/nclimate1683.html
13. oedigital.com/energy/shale/item/2810-ioc-production-falls-25-in-past-12-years
14. online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303277704579348332283819314
15. bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-30/shell-profit-drops-48-as-oil-and-gas-production-declines.html
16. postcarbon.org/drill-baby-drill/report
17. scientificamerican.com/article/climate-science-predictions-prove-too-conservative
18. climatedepot.com/2013/11/25/a-planned-economic-recession-global-warming-prof-kevin-anderson-who-has-cut-back-on-showering-to-save-planet-asserts-economic-de-growth-is-needed-continuing-with-ec/
19. greencarreports.com/news/1089555_electric-car-market-share-in-2013-understanding-the-numbers-better
Chapter 6: The Brief, Tragic Reign of Consumerism
1. powells.com/biblio/1-9780465021550-1
2. powells.com/biblio/61–9780465061792-1
3. powells.com/biblio/1-9780486280622-1
4. amazon.com/Living-Sanely-Simply-Troubled-World/dp/0805203001/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=1373417620&sr=8-2&keywords=living+the+good+life+nearing
5. amazon.com/Challenge-Mans-Future-Harrison-Brown/dp/0813300339/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1373397503&sr=8-1&keywords=the+challenge+of+man%27s+future
6. amazon.com/Limits-Growth-Donella-H-Meadows/dp/0451057678/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=1373397682&sr=8-2&keywords=the+limits+to+growth
7. csiro.au/files/files/plje.pdf
8. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ecological_economics
9. spiegel.de/international/germany/peak-oil-and-the-german-government-military-study-warns-of-a-potentially-drastic-oil-crisis-a-715138.html, unep.org/newscentre/default.aspx?DocumentID=2697&ArticleID=9303
10. grossnationalhappiness.com
Chapter 7: Fingers in the Dike
1. resilience.org/stories/2013-09-19/peak-oil-demand-peak-oil
2. peakoilbarrel.com/shocker-world-depending-usa-save-peak-oil
3. postcarbon.org/drill-baby-drill/report
4. latimes.com/business/la-fi-oil-20140521-story.html
5. huffingtonpost.com/2013/09/25/shell-abandons-oil-shale_n_3991716.html
6. amazon.com/The-End-Growth-Adapting-Economic/dp/0865716951/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1380303127&sr=8-1&keywords=heinberg+end+of+growth
7. https://medium.com/the-physics-arxiv-blog/5e1dd9d1642
8. elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/saez-UStopincomes-2012.pdf
9. ellenbrown.com/2013/02/24/how-the-fed-could-fix-the-economy-and-why-it-hasnt
10. metoffice.gov.uk/research/news/recent-pause-in-warming
11. wattsupwiththat.com/2013/09/05/statistical-proof-of-the-pause-overestimated-global-warming-over-the-past-20-years
12. npr.org/2013/08/29/216415005/a-cooler-pacific-may-be-behind-recent-pause-in-global-warming
13. smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/global-warming-pause-caused-by-la-nina-20130829-2ss3p.html
14. resilience.org/stories/2013-09-26/faux-pause-ocean-warming-sea-level-rise-and-polar-ice-melt-speed-up-surface-warming-to-follow
15. news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/27_09_13_ipccsummary.pdf
16. bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-24173504
17. There are countless resources for all these ideas; some of the best can be found at resilience.org and transitionus.org
Chapter 9: The Fight of the Century
1. Joseph Tainter, The Collapse of Complex Societies, New York: Cambridge University Press, 1988.
2. Ibid., 23.
3. See, for example, George Soros’s comments in this recent Newsweek interview: newsweek.com/george-soros-coming-us-class-war-64271
4. nybooks.com/blogs/nyrblog/2012/jan/06/europe-cutting-hope
5. huffingtonpost.com/pavlina-r-tcherneva/navigating-the-jobs-crisi_b_370387.html
6. energybulletin.net/stories/2012-01-27/why-climate-change-will-make-you-love-big-government
7. guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2012/jan/19/ecuador-radical-exciting-place
8. As described by John Michael Greer in The Ecotechnic Future, powells.com/biblio/2-9780865716391-2,70ff.
9. See Michael Shuman, The Small-Mart Revolution, amazon.com/The-Small-Mart-Revolution-Businesses-Competition/dp/1576754669
10. powells.com/biblio/62-9781603583435-0
11. truth-out.org/occupy-neighborhood/1326472096
12. truth-out.org/what-happened-canada/1327935024
13. nytimes.com/2012/01/09/world/europe/amid-economic-strife-greeks-look-to-farming-past.html?_r=1
14. world-governance.org/spip.php?article469
15. powells.com/biblio/1-9780865716858-0
16. For an entertaining and quick summary of the French Revolution, its failures, and its consequences, see the vlogbrothers video series at youtube.com/watch?v=BvSod16wfgg
Chapter 10: The Anthropocene: It’s Not All About Us
1. marklynas.org/2011/05/welcome-to-the-anthropocene
2. ericcavalcanti.wordpress.com/2011/02/08/the-anthropocene-and-the-new-green-stewart-brand-on-edge
3. amazon.com/Love-Your-Monsters-Postenvironmentalism-Anthropocene-ebook/dp/B006FKUJY6
4. amazon.com/Rambunctious-Garden-Saving-Nature-Post-Wild/dp/160819454X/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1395765262&sr=1-1&keywords=marris
5. resilience.org/stories/2014-04-13/did-crude-oil-production-actually-peak-in-2005
6. worldwatch.org/nuclear-power-after-fukushima
7. enenews.com/pbs-reporter-the-whole-world-needs-to-pay-attention-to-whats-going-on-at-fukushima-magnitude-of-mess-is-actually-staggering-we-really-dont-know-how-theyre-going-to
8. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-level_radioactive_waste_management
9. online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB121055252677483933
10. forbes.com/sites/tomaspray/2011/07/26/uranium-shortage-cant-be-ignored
11. commondreams.org/headlines03/0427-02.htm
12. economist.com/node/21549936
13. powermag.com/blog/the-ups-and-downs-of-u-s-nuclear-power
15. beyondnuclear.org/pandoras-false-promises
16. scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=are-new-types-of-reactors-needed-for-nuclear-renaissance
17. rainforestconservation.org/rainforest-primer/3-rainforests-in-peril-deforestation/c-human-use-of-biological-productivity-the-diversion-of-net-primary-productivity
18. resilience.org/stories/2014-02-11/the-purposely-confusing-world-of-energy-politics
19. co-intelligence.org/P-permaculture.html
20. See permacultureprinciples.com
23. See the work of Population Media Center, populationmedia.org
24. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximum_power_principle
26. diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:235822/FULLTEXT01.pdf
27. monbiot.com/2014/03/24/destroyer-of-worlds
28. rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/369/1938/1010.full
29. ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss2/art12
30. For a rather irreverent take on popular misconceptions about the “Dark Ages,” see cracked.com/article_20615_5-ridiculous-myths-you-probably-believe-about-dark-ages.html
Chapter 11: Conflict in the Era of Economic Decline
1. See, for example, motherboard.vice.com/2012/9/10/we-are-now-one-year-and-counting-from-global-riots-complex-systems-theorists-say--2
2. resilience.org/stories/2012-11-08/the-post-american-future
3. carolmoore.net/nuclearwar/alternatescenarios.html
4. thewhitereview.org/interviews/interview-with-david-graeber
5. energybulletin.net/stories/2012-02-16/david-graeber-anthropologist-anarchist-financial-analyst
Chapter 12: All Roads Lead Local
1. pressdemocrat.com/article/20140525/business/140529729#page=0
2. latimes.com/business/la-fi-oil-20140521-story.html
3. scientificamerican.com/article/a-path-to-sustainable-energy-by-2030
4. theenergycollective.com/jared-anderson/382141/german-lesson-renewable-power-policies
5. kevinanderson.info/blog/avoiding-dangerous-climate-change-demands-de-growth-strategies-from-wealthier-nations
6. reuters.com/article/2012/11/14/us-usa-obama-climate-idUSBRE8AD1IU20121114
8. ilsr.org/key-studies-walmart-and-bigbox-retail
Chapter 13: Our Evanescent Culture
1. bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aJf0ZOXN22jY
2. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decline_of_newspapers
3. publishersweekly.com/pw/by-topic/industry-news/financial-reporting/article/61667-book-sales-rose-1-in-2013.html. beyondthemargins.com/2013/06/book-facts-and-stats
4. However, it should be noted that vinyl is making a strong niche comeback; see nytimes.com/2013/06/10/arts/music/vinyl-records-are-making-a-comeback.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
5. libraryjournal.com/article/CA6574501.html
6. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Media_preservation.Seealsotheatlantic.com/technology/archive/2014/05/the-library-of-congress-wants-to-destroy-your-old-cds-for-science/370804
7. postcarbon.org/report/44377-searching-for-a-miracle
8. spectrum.ieee.org/energy/the-smarter-grid/a-perfect-storm-of-planetary-proportions
9. pakistaniat.com/2009/01/06/electricity-crisis-in-pakistan
10. telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/energy/oilandgas/6142972/Britain-heading-back-to-the-dark-ages.html
11. news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/8249540.stm
Chapter 14: Our Cooperative Darwinian Moment
1. dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-1317867/Prehistoric-humans-compassion-cared-others.html
2. amazon.com/Overshoot-Ecological-Basis-Revolutionary-Change/dp/0252009886
3. jayhanson.us/_Systems/PopulationCrash_ProspectsForFamineInTheTwenty-FirstCentury.pdf
4. resalliance.org/index.php/key_concepts
5. powells.com/biblio/61-9781441522245-1
6. phys.org/news/2012-07-cooperation-trump-competition-monkeys.html
7. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-533571/Animal-magic-Why-species-helping-hand-flipper.html
8. fulltextarchive.com/pdfs/Mutual-Aid.pdf
9. nytimes.com/2009/08/21/books/21book.html?pagewanted=all
10. plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0026922
11. alternet.org/belief/us-vs-them-simple-recipe-prevent-strong-society-forming
12. amazon.com/Energy-Equity-Ideas-Progress-Illich/dp/0714510580/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1343933288&sr=8-1&keywords=ivan+illich+energy+and+equity
Chapter 15: Want to Change the World? Read This First
1. The simple observation that human culture is adaptive to environmental conditions is revelatory: Jared Diamond (author of Guns, Germs and Steel) has based a career on it, though he consistently fails to credit Harris—who was earlier and more thorough. Harris himself was careful to cite predecessors upon whose work he was building, including Karl Marx.
2. books.google.com/books?id=8Xc9DMbB5KQC&printsec=frontcover&dq=%22materialism%22&hl=en&ei=meSKTIetFMu8cZOwyMkE&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=10&ved=0CFUQ6AEwCQ#v=onepage&q&f=false
3. The term materialism is loaded with connotations that distract from the issues at hand. Marvin Harris uses it to refer merely to a way of thinking that assumes material effects are due to material causes. When I was teaching a college program on sustainability, I suggested to my students that they think of probabilistic infrastructural determinism as “cultural ecology.” I knew this was somewhat inaccurate, as cultural ecology is a school of anthropological thought (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_ecology) closely related to, but distinct from, cultural materialism. However, many students simply couldn’t get past the word materialism: for them, this was an irremediably distasteful term associated both with the negation of spirituality and with the American mania for buying and consuming corporate products.
4. amazon.com/Cultural-Anthropology-Marvin-Harris/dp/0205454437/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1399841320&sr=8-1&keywords=marvin+harris+cultural+anthropology
5. See the essay “The Gross Society,” Chapter 2 in this book.
6. amazon.com/Blackout-Coal-Climate-Energy-Crisis/dp/0865716560/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1399308687&sr=8-1&keywords=blackout+heinberg
7. scientificamerican.com/article/eroi-behind-numbers-energy-return-investment/
8. postcarbon.org/report/41306-the-food-and-farming-transition-toward
9. america.aljazeera.com/articles/2014/5/4/youth-sue-governmentforclimateinaction.html
10. theglobeandmail.com/life/health-and-fitness/health/youth-anxiety-on-the-rise-amid-changing-climate/article18372258/
11. amazon.com/Capital-Twenty-First-Century-Thomas-Piketty/dp/067443000X/ref=sr_1_I?ie=UTF8&qid=1399480770&sr=8-I&keywords=piketty
12. gallup.com/poll/5392/trust-government.aspx
13. bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-30/china-set-to-overtake-u-s-as-biggest-economy-using-ppp-measure.html
14. postcarbon.org/article/941201-end-of-growth-update-neither-a
15. thearchdruidreport.blogspot.com/2013/04/the-religion-of-progress.html
16. resilience.org/stories/2013-09-18/life-preservers-for-mermaids
17. resilience.org/stories/2013-09-18/life-preservers-for-mermaids
18. resilience.org/stories/2014-05-05/the-sharing-economy-capitalism-s-last-stand