14

Profit ≠ Cash (and You Need Both)

Why is profit not the same as cash coming in? Some reasons are pretty obvious: cash may be coming in from loans or from investors, and that cash isn’t going to show up on the income statement at all. But even operating cash flow, which we’ll explain in detail later, in chapter 15, is not at all the same as net profit.

There are three essential reasons:

You may be thinking that in the long run cash flow will pretty much track net profit. Accounts receivable will be collected, so sales will turn into cash. Accounts payable will be paid, so expenses will more or less even out from one time period to the next. And capital expenditures will be depreciated, so over time the charges against revenue from depreciation will more or less equal the cash being spent on new assets. All this is true to a degree—at least for a mature, well-managed company. But the difference between profit and cash can create all sorts of mischief in the meantime, especially for an entrepreneurial company. Entrepreneurial businesses, after all, may face periods of fluctuating sales. They may have to cope with the fact that one big customer pays its bills very slowly—or that one important vendor requires payment up front. All these can wreak havoc on an entrepreneur’s cash flow, even if they don’t much affect profitability.

PROFIT WITHOUT CASH

We’ll illustrate the difference between profit and cash by comparing two start-up companies with dramatically different profit and cash positions.

Sweet Dreams Bakery is a new cookies-and-cakes manufacturer that supplies specialty grocery stores. The founder has lined up orders based on her unique home-style recipes, and she’s ready to launch on January 1. We’ll assume she has $10,000 cash in the bank, and we’ll also assume that in the first three months her sales are $20,000, $30,000, and $45,000. Cost of goods are 60 percent of sales, and her monthly operating expenses are $10,000.

Just by eyeballing those numbers, you can see she’ll soon be making a profit. In fact, the simplified income statements for the first three months look like this:

e9781422131824_i0022.jpg

A simplified cash flow statement, however, would tell a different story. Sweet Dreams Bakery has an agreement with its vendors to pay for the ingredients and other supplies it buys in thirty days. But those specialty grocery stores that the company sells to? They’re kind of precarious, and they take sixty days to pay their bills. So here’s what happens to Sweet Dreams’ cash situation:

  • In January, Sweet Dreams collects nothing from its customers. At the end of the month, all it has is $20,000 in receivables from its sales. Luckily, it does not have to pay anything out for the ingredients it uses, since its vendors expect to be paid in thirty days. (We’ll assume that the COGS figure is all for ingredients, because the owner herself does all the baking.) But the company does have to pay expenses—rent, utilities, and so on. So all the initial $10,000 in cash goes out the door to pay expenses, and Sweet Dreams is left with no cash in the bank.
  • In February, Sweet Dreams still hasn’t collected anything. (Remember, its customers pay in sixty days.) At the end of the month, it has $50,000 in receivables—January’s $20,000 plus February’s $30,000—but still no cash. Meanwhile, Sweet Dreams now has to pay for the ingredients and supplies for January ($12,000), and it has another month’s worth of expenses ($10,000). So it’s now in the hole by $22,000.

    Can the owner turn this around? Surely, in March those rising profits will improve the cash picture! Alas, no.

  • In March, Sweet Dreams finally collects on its January sales, so it has $20,000 in cash coming in the door, leaving it only $2,000 short against its end-of-February cash position. But now it has to pay for February’s COGS of $18,000 plus March’s expenses of $10,000. So at the end of March, it ends up $30,000 in the hole—a worse position than at the end of February.

What’s going on here? The answer is that Sweet Dreams is growing. (Sound familiar?) Its sales increase every month, meaning that it must pay more each month for its ingredients. Eventually, its operating expenses will increase as well because the owner will have to hire more people. The other problem is the disparity between the fact that Sweet Dreams must pay its vendors in thirty days while waiting sixty days for receipts from its customers. In effect, it has to front the cash for thirty days—and as long as sales are increasing, it will never be able to catch up unless it finds additional sources of cash. As fictional and oversimplified as Sweet Dreams may be, this is precisely how profitable companies go out of business. It is one reason why so many small entrepreneurial companies fail in their first year. They simply run out of cash.

CASH WITHOUT PROFIT

But now let’s look at another sort of profit/cash disparity.

Fine Cigar Shops is another start-up. It sells very expensive cigars, and it’s located in a part of town frequented by businesspeople and well-to-do tourists. Its sales for the first three months are $50,000, $75,000, and $95,000—again, a healthy growth trend. Its cost of goods is 70 percent of sales, and its monthly operating expenses are $30,000 (high rent!). For the sake of comparison, we’ll say it, too, begins the period with $10,000 in the bank.

So Fine Cigar’s income statement for these months looks like this:

e9781422131824_i0023.jpg

Fine Cigar hasn’t yet turned the corner on profitability, though it is losing less money each month. Meanwhile, what does its cash picture look like? As a retailer, of course, it collects the money on each sale immediately. And we’ll assume that Fine Cigar was able to negotiate good terms with its vendors, paying them in sixty days.

  • In January, it begins with $10,000 and adds $50,000 in cash sales. It doesn’t have to pay for any cost of goods sold yet, so the only cash out the door is that $30,000 in expenses. End-of-the-month bank balance: $30,000.
  • In February, it adds $75,000 in cash sales and still doesn’t pay anything for cost of goods sold. So the month’s net cash after the $30,000 in expenses is $45,000. Now the bank balance is $75,000!
  • In March, it adds $95,000 in cash sales and pays for January’s supplies ($35,000) and March’s expenses ($30,000). Net cash in for the month is $30,000, and the bank balance is now $105,000.

Cash-based businesses—retailers, restaurants, and so on—can thus get an equally skewed picture of their situation. In this case Fine Cigar’s bank balance is climbing every month even though the company is unprofitable. That’s fine for a while, and it will continue to be fine so long as the company holds down expenses so that it can turn the corner on profitability. But the owner has to be careful: if he’s lulled into thinking that his business is doing great and that he can increase those expenses, he’s liable to continue on the unprofitable path. If he fails to attain profitability, eventually he will run out of cash.

Fine Cigar, too, has its real-world parallels. Every cash-based business, from tiny Main Street shops to giants such as Amazon.com and Dell, has the luxury of taking the customer’s money before it must pay for its costs and expenses. It enjoys the float—and if it is growing, that float will grow ever larger. But ultimately, the company must be profitable by the standards of the income statement; cash flow in the long run is no protection against unprofitability. In the cigar-store example, the losses on the books will eventually lead to negative cash flow; just as profits eventually lead to cash, losses eventually use up cash. It’s the timing of those cash flows that we are trying to understand here.

Understanding the difference between profit and cash is a key to increasing your financial intelligence, and it is critical for entrepreneurs. It opens a whole new window of opportunity to make smart decisions. For example:

The ultimate lesson here is that companies need both profit and cash. They are different, and a healthy business, both in its early years and as it matures, requires both.