Glossary

A

absolute advantage
The ability to do a task using fewer inputs.
absolute poverty
Judges the adequacy of resources relative to an absolute standard of living.
accounting profit
The total revenue a business receives, less its explicit financial costs; Accounting profit = Total revenue − Explicit financial costs.
actively managed
When a fund is managed by stock pickers.
actuarially fair
An insurance policy that, on average, is expected to pay out as much in compensation as it receives in premiums.
adverse selection of buyers
The tendency for the mix of buyers to be skewed toward more high-cost buyers when sellers don’t know buyers’ type.
adverse selection of sellers
The tendency for the mix of goods to be skewed toward more low-quality goods when buyers can’t observe quality.
aggregate demand curve
Shows the relationship between the price level and the total quantity of output that buyers collectively plan to purchase.
aggregate expenditure
The total amount of goods and services that people want to buy across the whole economy = Consumption + Planned investment + Government purchases + Net exports.
aggregate supply curve
Shows the relationship between the price level and the total quantity of output that suppliers collectively produce.
anchoring bias
The tendency to begin with an anchor, or starting point, and insufficiently adjust from there.
annualized rate
Data converted to the rate that would occur if the same growth rate had occurred throughout the year.
anti-coordination game
When your best response is to take a different (but complementary) action to the other player.
appreciation
When the price of a currency rises.
automatic stabilizers
Spending and tax programs that adjust as the economy expands and contracts, without policy makers taking any deliberate action.
availability bias
The tendency to overestimate the frequency of events that are easily recalled, and to underestimate the frequency of less memorable events.
average cost
Cost per unit, calculated as your firm’s total costs (including fixed and variable costs) divided by the quantity produced.
average revenue
Revenue per unit, calculated as total revenue divided by the quantity supplied. Average revenue is equal to the price, if you charge everyone the same price.

B

bank run
When many bank customers try to withdraw their savings at the same time.
bargaining power
Your ability to negotiate a better deal.
barriers to entry
Obstacles that make it difficult for new firms to enter a market.
behavioral economics
Economic analysis that includes psychological factors in assessing how people make economic decisions.
best response
The choice that yields the highest payoff for you given the other player’s choice.
bilateral trade balance
How much we buy from a specific country compared to how much they buy from us.
binding price ceiling
A price ceiling that prevents the market from reaching the market equilibrium price, meaning that the highest price sellers can charge is set below the equilibrium price.
binding price floor
A price floor that prevents the market from reaching the equilibrium price, meaning that the lowest price that sellers can charge is above the equilibrium price.
bond
An IOU. Specifically, a promise to pay back a loan with interest.
budget deficit
The difference between spending and revenue in a year in which spending exceeds revenue.
budget surplus
The difference between spending and revenue in a year in which revenue exceeds spending.
bundling
Selling different goods together as a package.
business cycle
Short-term fluctuations in economic activity.
business investment
Spending by businesses on new capital assets.

C

cap and trade
A quantity regulation implemented by allocating a fixed number of permits, which can then be traded.
capital stock
The total quantity of physical capital used in the production of goods and services at a point of time.
catch-up growth
The rapid growth that occurs when a relatively poor country invests in its physical capital.
change in the quantity demanded
The change in quantity associated with movement along a fixed demand curve.
change in the quantity supplied
The change in quantity associated with movement along a fixed supply curve.
check mark method
If you put a check mark next to each player’s best response, then an outcome with a check mark from each player is a Nash equilibrium.
classical dichotomy
A purely nominal change—like a change in the average price level—won’t have any effect on real variables in the long run.
club good
A good that is excludable, but nonrival in consumption.
Coase Theorem
If bargaining is costless and property rights are clearly established and enforced, then externality problems can be solved by private bargains.
collusion
An agreement to limit competition; typically, an agreement by rivals to not compete with each other, but to all charge high prices instead.
common resource
A good that is rival and also nonexcludable.
comparative advantage
The ability to do a task at a lower opportunity cost.
compensating differential
The differences in wages required to offset the desirable or undesirable aspects of a job.
complementary goods
Goods that go together. Your demand for a good will decrease if the price of a complementary good rises.
complements-in-production
Goods that are made together. Your supply of a good will increase if the price of a complement-in-production rises.
compounding formula
Future value in t years = Present value × (1 + r)t.
congestion effect
When a good becomes less valuable because other people use it. If more people buy such a product, your demand for it will decrease.
constant returns to scale
Increasing all inputs by some proportion will cause output to rise by the same proportion.
consumer price index (CPI)
An index that tracks the average price consumers pay over time for a representative “basket” of goods and services.
consumer surplus
The economic surplus you get from buying something; Consumer surplus = Marginal benefit − Price.
consumption
Household spending on final goods and services.
consumption function
A curve plotting the level of consumption associated with each level of income.
consumption smoothing
Maintaining a steady or smooth path for your consumption spending over time.
coordination game
When all players have a common interest in coordinating their choices.
corrective subsidy
A subsidy designed to induce people to take account of the positive externalities they cause.
corrective tax
A tax designed to induce people to take account of the negative externalities they cause.
cost-benefit principle
Costs and benefits are the incentives that shape decisions. You should evaluate the full set of costs and benefits of any choice, and only pursue those whose benefits are at least as large as their costs.
cost-push inflation
Inflation that results from an unexpected rise in production costs.
credit constraints
Limits on how much you can borrow.
cross-price elasticity of demand
A measure of how responsive the demand of one good is to price changes of another. It measures the percent change in quantity demanded that follows from a 1% change in the price of another good; Cross-price elasticity of demand=% change in quantity demanded% change in price of another good.Cross minus price elasticity of demand equals percent change inquantity demanded divided by percent change inprice of another good full stop
crowding out
The decline in private investment—and particularly investment—that follows from a rise in government borrowing.
current account balance
Measures the difference between the income that Americans receive from abroad and the income that Americans pay to people abroad.
cyclical unemployment
Unemployment that is due to a temporary downturn in the economy.

D

deadweight loss
How far economic surplus falls below the efficient outcome; Deadweight loss = Economic surplus at the efficient quantity − Actual economic surplus.
decrease in demand
A shift of the demand curve to the left.
decrease in supply
A shift of the supply curve to the left.
default risk
The risk that your loan won’t be repaid.
deflation
A generalized decrease in the overall level of prices.
demand-pull inflation
Inflation resulting from excess demand.
deposit insurance
A guarantee that you won’t lose the money you deposit in the bank.
depreciation (capital)
The decline in capital due to wear and tear, obsolescence, accidental damage, and aging.
depreciation (currency)
When the price of a currency falls.
depreciation rate
The proportion of an investment’s remaining productive capacity you lose each year due to depreciation.
derived demand
The demand for an input derives from the demand for the stuff that input produces.
diminishing marginal benefit
Each additional item yields a smaller marginal benefit than the previous item.
diminishing marginal product
The marginal product of an input declines as you use more of that input.
diminishing marginal utility
Each additional dollar yields a smaller boost to your utility—that is, less marginal utility—than the previous dollar.
discount rate
The interest rate on loans that the Fed offers to banks through the discount window.
discounting
Converting future values into their equivalent present values.
discounting formula
Present value=Future value in t years×1(1+r)t.Present value equals Future value in t years prefix multiplication of one divided by left parenthesis one plus r right parenthesis super t full stop
discretionary fiscal policy
Policy that temporarily increases spending or cuts taxes to boost the economy.
discretionary spending
Spending that Congress appropriates annually.
discrimination
Treating people differently based on characteristics such as their gender, race, ethnicity, sexual orientation, religion, disability, social class, or other factors.
disposable income
Your after-tax income.
dissaving
The excess amount you consume above your income in a given period that you therefore must pay for by either withdrawing money from your savings or borrowing money.
distributional consequences
Who gets what.
diversification
Reducing risk by combining a large number of small risks whose outcomes are not closely related.
dividends
A share of profits that a company pays to its shareholders.
domestic demand curve
Shows the quantity of a good that all domestic consumers added together plan to buy, at each price.
domestic supply curve
Shows the quantity of a good that all domestic suppliers added together plan to sell, at each price.
dual mandate
The Fed’s two goals of low and stable prices and maximum sustainable employment.

E

earned income
Wages from an employer, or net earnings from self-employment.
economic burden
The burden created by the change in after-tax prices faced by buyers and sellers.
economic efficiency
An outcome is more economically efficient if it yields more economic surplus.
economic profit
The total revenue a firm receives, less both explicit financial costs and the entrepreneur’s implicit opportunity costs; Economic profit = Total revenue − Explicit financial costs − Entrepreneur’s implicit opportunity costs.
economic surplus
The total benefits minus total costs flowing from a decision. It measures how much a decision has improved your well-being.
effective marginal tax rate
The amount of each extra dollar you earn that you lose to higher taxes and lower government benefits.
efficiency wage
A higher wage paid to encourage greater worker productivity.
efficient allocation
Allocating goods to create the largest economic surplus, which requires that each good goes to the person who’ll get the highest marginal benefit from it.
efficient markets hypothesis
The theory that at any point in time, stock prices reflect all publicly available information.
efficient outcome
The efficient outcome yields the largest possible economic surplus.
efficient production
Producing a given quantity of output at the lowest possible cost, which requires producing each good at the lowest marginal cost.
efficient quantity
The quantity that produces the largest possible economic surplus.
elastic
When the absolute value of the percent change in quantity is larger than the absolute value of the percent change in price, which means that the absolute value of the price elasticity is greater than 1.
employed
Working-age people who are working.
equilibrium
The point at which there is no tendency for change. A market is in equilibrium when the quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded.
equilibrium price
The price at which the market is in equilibrium.
equilibrium quantity
The quantity demanded and supplied in equilibrium.
equilibrium unemployment rate
The long-run unemployment rate to which the economy tends to return.
equity
An outcome yields greater equity if it results in a fairer distribution of economic benefits.
excess demand
When the quantity demanded at the prevailing price exceeds the quantity supplied.
excise tax
A tax on a specific product.
expansion
A period of increasing economic activity.
expected utility
What your utility will be, on average, if you make a particular choice.
export
To sell goods or services to foreign buyers.
exports
Goods or services produced domestically and purchased by foreign buyers.
external benefit
A benefit accruing to bystanders.
external cost
A cost imposed on bystanders.
externality
A side effect of an activity that affects bystanders whose interests aren’t taken into account.
extrinsic motivation
The desire to do something for its external rewards such as higher pay.

F

fair bet
A gamble that, on average, will leave you with the same amount of money.
Fed model
The framework that uses the IS curve, the MP curve, and the Phillips curve to link interest rates, the output gap, and inflation.
Fed rule-of-thumb
The recipe that describes how the Fed often sets the interest rate: Federal funds rate Inflation=Neutral real interest rate+½× (Inflation 2%)+Output gap.Federal funds rate minus Inflation equals Neutral real interest rate prefix plus of one half postfix multiplication left parenthesis Inflation negative two percent right parenthesis postfix plus Output gap full stop
federal funds rate
The interest rate that the Fed uses as its policy tool, which is the nominal interest rate that banks pay to borrow from each other overnight in the federal funds market.
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
The Federal Reserve committee that decides on U.S. interest rates. It consists of the Fed governors and district Fed bank presidents.
final goods and services
Finished goods or services.
financial account balance
The difference between financial inflows and financial outflows.
financial inflows
Investments by foreigners in the United States.
financial outflows
Investments by Americans in foreign countries.
financial shocks
Any change in borrowing conditions that changes the real interest rate at which people can borrow. Financial shocks shift the MP curve.
finitely repeated game
When you face the same strategic interaction a fixed number of times.
firm demand curve
An individual firm’s demand curve, summarizes the quantity that buyers demand from an individual firm as it changes its price.
first-mover advantage
The strategic gain from an anticipatory action that can force a rival to respond less aggressively.
fiscal policy
The government’s use of spending and tax policies to influence economic conditions in order to stabilize the economy.
Five Forces framework
The structure of competition in your market can be described in terms of five forces: 1. Competition from existing competitors; 2. Threat of potential entrants; 3. Threat of substitute products; 4. Bargaining power of suppliers; 5. Bargaining power of customers.
fixed cost
Those costs that don’t vary when you change the quantity of output you produce.
floor framework
The Fed’s approach of setting other interest rates to put a lower bound on how low the federal funds rate will go.
focal point
A cue from outside a game that helps you coordinate on a specific equilibrium.
focusing illusion
The tendency to mis-predict your utility by focusing on a few factors at the expense of others.
foreign exchange market
The market in which currencies are bought and sold.
foreign saving
Funding that comes from foreigners lending to Americans.
forward guidance
Providing information about the future course of monetary policy in order to influence market expectations of future interest rates.
framing effect
When a decision is affected by how a choice is described, or framed. You should avoid framing effects altering your own decisions.
free entry
When there are no factors making it particularly difficult or costly for a business to enter or exit an industry.
free-rider problem
When someone can enjoy the benefits of a good without bearing the costs.
frictional unemployment
Unemployment due to the time it takes for employers to search for workers and for workers to search for jobs.
fundamental analysis
A framework for assessing an asset’s fundamental value.
fundamental value
The present value of the future profits that a company will earn.
future value
The amount that your money will grow into by a future date, as a result of earning interest.

G

gains from trade
The benefits that come from reallocating resources, goods, and services to better uses.
game tree
Shows how a game plays out over time, with the first move forming the trunk, and then each subsequent choice branching out, so the final leaves show all possible outcomes.
GDP deflator
A price index that tracks the price of all goods and services produced domestically.
GDP per person
Total GDP divided by the population.
general skills
Skills useful to many employers.
globalization
The increasing economic, political, and cultural integration of different countries.
government failure
When government policies lead to worse outcomes.
government purchases
Government purchases of goods and services.
government saving
Saving by the government.
“greater fool” theory
The idea that people buy an investment because they expect other people to buy it from them at a higher price.
Grim Trigger strategy
If the other players have cooperated in all previous rounds, you will cooperate. But if any player has defected in the past, you will defect.
gross domestic product (GDP)
The market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a year.
gross government debt
The total accumulated amount of money the government owes.
group pricing
Price discrimination by charging different prices to different groups of people.

H

hedge
Acquire an offsetting risk.
“holding other things constant”
A commonly used qualifier noting your conclusions may change if some factor that you haven’t analyzed changes. (In Latin, it’s ceteris paribus.)
hold-up problem
Once you have made a relationship-specific investment, the other side may try to renegotiate so that they get a better deal (and you get a worse one).
housing investment
Spending on building or improving houses or apartments.
human capital
The accumulated knowledge and skills that make a worker more productive; the skills that workers bring to the job.
hurdle method
Offer lower prices only to those buyers who are willing to overcome some hurdle, or obstacle.
hyperinflation
Extremely high rates of inflation.
hysteresis
When a period of high unemployment leads to a higher equilibrium unemployment rate.

I

imperfect competition
When you face at least some competitors and/or you sell products that differ at least a little from your competitors. Monopolistic competition and oligopoly are examples.
implicit bias
Judgments shaped by the unconscious attribution of particular qualities to specific groups.
import
To buy goods or services from foreign sellers.
imports
Goods or services produced in a foreign country and purchased by domestic buyers.
import quota
A limit on the quantity of a good that can be imported.
income
The money you receive in a period of time, such as a year.
income effect
Measures how people’s choices change when they have more income. A higher wage increases your income, leading you to choose more leisure and hence less work.
income elasticity of demand
A measure of how responsive the demand for a good is to changes in income. It measures the percent change in quantity demanded that follows from a 1% change in income; Income elasticity of demand=% change in quantity demanded% change in income.Income elasticity of demand equals percent change in quantity demanded divided by percent change in income full stop
income taxes
Taxes collected on all income, regardless of its source.
increase in demand
A shift of the demand curve to the right.
increase in supply
A shift of the supply curve to the right.
indefinitely repeated game
When you face the same strategic interaction an unknown number of times.
index fund
A mutual fund that consists of a broad market index; an investment that automatically invests in a predefined portfolio of stocks.
indexation
Automatically adjusting wages, benefits, tax brackets, and the like to compensate for inflation.
individual demand curve
A graph, plotting the quantity of an item that someone plans to buy, at each price.
individual supply curve
A graph plotting the quantity of an item that a business plans to sell at each price.
inelastic
When the absolute value of the percent change in quantity is smaller than absolute value of the percent change in price, which means that the absolute value of the price elasticity is less than 1.
inferior good
A good for which higher income causes a decrease in demand.
inflation
A generalized rise in the overall level of prices.
inflation expectations
The rate at which average prices are anticipated to rise next year.
inflation fallacy
The (mistaken) belief that inflation destroys purchasing power.
inflation rate
The annual percentage increase in the average price level.
inflation target
A publicly stated goal for the inflation rate.
informative advertising
Advertising that provides information about a product and its attributes.
initial public offering
When a company first sells stock directly to the public.
insufficient demand
When the quantity demanded at the prevailing price is below what’s supplied.
insurance
A promise of compensation if a specified bad thing happens.
interdependence principle
Your best choice depends on your other choices, the choices others make, developments in other markets, and expectations about the future. When any of these factors changes, your best choice might change.
interest rate on excess reserves
The interest rate the Fed pays to banks on reserves that are in excess of required reserves.
intergenerational mobility
The extent to which the economic status of children is independent of the economic status of their parents.
intermediate goods and services
Goods or services used as inputs in the production of other products.
internal markets
Markets within a company to buy and sell scarce resources.
intrinsic motivation
The desire to do something for the enjoyment of the activity itself.
investment
Spending on new capital assets that increase the economy’s productive capacity.
investment line
The line that shows how the quantity of investment increases as the real interest rate falls.
involuntarily part time
Someone who wants full-time work and is working part time because they haven’t found a full-time job.
IS curve
Illustrates how lower real interest rates raise spending and hence GDP, leading to a more positive output gap.

J

job-specific skills
Skills that are only useful in a job with one particular employer.

K

knowledge problem
When knowledge needed to make a good decision is not available to the decision maker.

L

labor force
The employed plus the unemployed.
labor force participation rate
The percentage of the working-age population that is either employed or unemployed.
labor market Phillips curve
A Phillips curve linking unexpected inflation to the unemployment rate.
labor productivity
The quantity of goods and services that each person produces per hour of work.
labor supply
The time you spend working in the market.
lagging indicators
Variables that follow the business cycle with a delay.
law of demand
The tendency for quantity demanded to be higher when the price is lower.
law of diminishing returns
When one input is held constant, increases in the other inputs will, at some point, begin to yield smaller and smaller increases in output.
law of supply
The tendency for the quantity supplied to be higher when the price is higher.
leading indicators
Variables that tends to predict the future path of the economy.
lender of last resort
The Fed’s role as the lender that financial institutions turn to when they’re having trouble getting loans.
liquidity
The ability to quickly and easily convert your investments into cash, with little or no loss in value.
liquidity risk
The risk that if you need to sell an asset quickly, you may not be able to get a good price for it.
long run
The horizon over which you, or your rivals, may expand or contract production capacity, and new rivals may enter the market or existing firms may exit.
long-run aggregate supply curve
The aggregate supply curve that applies to the long run when prices have fully adjusted. Because the economy will return to producing its potential output, this curve is vertical.
long-term unemployed
People who have been unemployed for six consecutive months or longer.
look forward
In games that play out over time, you should look forward to anticipate the likely consequences of your choices.
loss aversion
Being more sensitive to losses than to gains.

M

macroeconomic equilibrium
Occurs when the quantity of output that buyers collectively want to purchase is equal to the quantity of output that suppliers collectively produce.
macroeconomics
The study of the economy as a whole.
mandate
A requirement to buy or sell a minimum amount of a good.
mandatory spending
Spending on programs that does not get determined annually; instead, it is set in law.
marginal benefit
The extra benefit from one extra unit (of goods purchased, hours studied, etc.).
marginal cost
The extra cost from one extra unit.
marginal external benefit
The extra external benefit accruing to bystanders from one extra unit.
marginal external cost
The extra external cost imposed on bystanders from one extra unit.
marginal principle
Decisions about quantities are best made incrementally. You should break “how many” questions into a series of smaller, or marginal decisions, weighing marginal benefits and marginal costs.
marginal private benefit
The extra benefit enjoyed by the buyer from one extra unit.
marginal private cost
The extra cost paid by the seller from one extra unit.
marginal product
The increase in output that arises from an additional unit of an input, like labor.
marginal product of labor
The extra production that occurs from hiring an extra worker.
marginal propensity to consume
The fraction of each extra dollar of income that households spend on consumption.
marginal revenue product
Measures the marginal revenue from hiring an additional worker. The marginal revenue product is equal to the marginal product of labor multiplied by the price of that product. MRPL = MPL × P.
marginal social benefit
All marginal benefits, no matter who gets them; Marginal social benefit = Marginal private benefit + Marginal external benefit.
marginal social cost
All marginal costs, no matter who pays them; Marginal social benefit = Marginal private cost + Marginal external cost.
marginal tax rate
The tax rate you pay if you earn another dollar.
marginal utility
The additional utility you get from one more dollar.
marginally attached
Someone who wants a job, and who has looked for a job within the past year, but who isn’t counted as unemployed because they aren’t currently searching for work.
market
A setting bringing together potential buyers and sellers.
market demand curve
A graph plotting the total quantity of an item demanded by the entire market, at each price.
market economy
Each individual makes their own production and consumption decisions, buying and selling in markets.
market failure
When the forces of supply and demand lead to an inefficient outcome.
market for loanable funds
The market for the funds used to buy, rent, or build capital.
market power
The extent to which a seller can charge a higher price without losing many sales to competing businesses.
market supply curve
A graph plotting the total quantity of an item supplied by the entire market, at each price.
maturity transformation
Using short-term loans to make long-term loans.
means-tested
Eligibility is based on income and sometimes wealth.
menu costs
The marginal cost of adjusting prices.
monetary policy
The process of setting interest rates in an effort to influence economic conditions.
money
Any asset regularly used in transactions.
money illusion
The (mistaken) tendency to focus on nominal dollar amounts instead of inflation-adjusted amounts.
monopolistic competition
A market with many small businesses competing, each selling differentiated products.
monopoly
When there is only one seller in the market.
monopsony power
A business using its bargaining power as a major buyer of labor to pay lower prices, including lower wages.
moral hazard
The actions you take because they are not fully observable and you are partially insulated from their consequences.
movement along the demand curve
A price change causes movement from one point on a fixed demand curve to another point on the same curve.
movement along the supply curve
A price change causes movement from one point on a fixed supply curve to another point on the same curve.
MP curve
Illustrates the current real interest rate, which is shaped by monetary policy and the risk premium.
multiple equilibria
When there is more than one equilibrium.
multiplier
A measure of how much GDP changes as a result of both the direct and indirect effects flowing from each extra dollar of spending.
mutual fund
A fund that buys a portfolio of stocks (and sometimes bonds) on your behalf.

N

Nash equilibrium
An equilibrium in which the choice that each player makes is a best response to the choices other players are making.
natural monopoly
A market in which it is cheapest for a single business to service the market.
negative externality
An activity whose side effects harm bystanders.
net exports
Spending on exports minus spending on imports; also referred to as the trade balance.
net government debt
The debt that the government owes to individuals, businesses, and other governments both here and abroad.
net wealth
The amount by which your assets exceed your debts.
network effect
When a good becomes more useful because other people use it. If more people buy such a good, your demand for it will also increase.
neutral real interest rate
The interest rate that operates when the economy is in neutral—producing neither above nor below its potential.
next best alternative
The value of your best option, outside of this deal.
nominal exchange rate
The price of a country’s currency (in terms of another country’s currency).
nominal exchange rate formula
Nominal exchange rate=Number of units of a foreign currencyNumber of dollars.Nominal exchange rate equals Number of units of a foreign currency divided by Number of dollars full stop
nominal GDP
GDP measured in today’s prices.
nominal interest rate
The stated interest rate without a correction for the effects of inflation.
nominal variable
A variable measured in dollars (whose value may fluctuate over time).
nominal wage rigidity
Reluctance to cut nominal wages.
nonexcludable
When someone cannot be easily excluded from using something.
non-price competition
Competing to win customers by differentiating your product.
nonrival good
A good for which one person’s use doesn’t subtract from another’s.
normal good
A good for which higher income causes an increase in demand.
normative analysis
Prescribes what should happen, which involves value judgments.
not in the labor force
Those in the working-age population who are neither employed nor unemployed.

O

Okun’s rule of thumb
For every percentage point that actual output falls below potential output, the unemployment rate is around half a percentage point higher.
oligopoly
A market with only a handful of large sellers.
one-shot game
A strategic interaction that occurs only once.
open market operations
The Federal Reserve’s buying and selling of government bonds to influence the federal funds rate.
Open Market Trading Desk (the Desk)
A trading desk at the New York Federal Reserve Bank where the Fed buys and sells government bonds.
opportunity cost
The true cost of something is the next best alternative you have to give up to get it.
output gap
The difference between actual and potential output, measured as a percentage of potential output.
overconfidence
The tendency to overrate the accuracy of your forecasts.
overnight reverse repurchase agreements
When the Desk sells a government bond to a financial institution, with an agreement to buy it back the next day at a higher price.

P

pay-for-performance
Linking the income your workers earn to measures of their performance. Examples include commissions, piece rates, bonuses, or promotions.
payoff table
A table that lists your choices in each row, the other player’s choices in each column, and so shows all possible outcomes, listing the payoffs in each cell.
payroll taxes
Taxes on earned income.
peak
A high point in economic activity.
perfect competition
Markets in which 1) all firms in an industry sell an identical good; and 2) there are many buyers and sellers, each of whom is small relative to the size of the market.
perfect price discrimination
Charging each customer their reservation price.
perfectly elastic
When any change in price leads to an infinitely large change in quantity.
perfectly inelastic
When quantity does not respond at all to a price change.
permanent income
Your average lifetime income; your best estimate of your long-term average income.
permanent income hypothesis
The idea that consumption is driven by permanent income rather than current income.
personal saving
Saving by households of whatever money they don’t either spend or pay as taxes.
persuasive advertising
Advertising that tries to persuade or manipulate you into believing that you’ll enjoy a particular product.
Phillips curve
A curve illustrating the link between the output gap and unexpected inflation.
physical capital
Tools, machinery, and structures.
planned economy
Centralized decisions are made about what is produced, how, by whom, and who gets what.
planned investment
Spending on machinery, software, and buildings used to produce goods and services. Unlike total investment, it excludes changes in inventories.
positive analysis
Describes what is happening, explaining why, or predicting what will happen.
positive externality
An activity whose side effects benefit bystanders.
potential output
The level of output that occurs when all resources are fully employed.
poverty line
An income level, below which a family is defined to be in poverty.
poverty rate
The percentage of people whose family income is below the poverty line.
precautionary saving
Saving to be prepared for a financial emergency.
prediction markets
Markets whose payoffs are linked to whether an uncertain event occurs.
prejudice
A preconceived bias against a group that’s not based on reason or experience.
premium
The price of insurance.
present value
The amount of money that you would need to invest today in order to produce an equivalent benefit in the future.
price ceiling
A maximum price that sellers can charge.
price competition
Competing to win customers by offering lower prices.
price discrimination
Selling the same good at different prices.
price elasticity of demand
A measure of how responsive buyers are to price changes. It measures the percent change in quantity demanded that follows from a 1% price change; Price elasticity of demand=% change in quantity demanded% change in price.Price elasticity of demand equals percent change in quantity demanded divided by percent change in price full stop
price elasticity of supply
A measure of how responsive sellers are to price changes. It measures the percent change in quantity supplied that follows from a 1% price change; Price elasticity of supply=% change in quantity supplied% change in price.Price elasticity of supply equals percent change in quantity supplied divided by percent change in price full stop
price floor
A minimum price that sellers can charge.
price-taker
Someone who decides to charge the prevailing price and whose actions do not affect the prevailing price.
principal-agent problem
The problems that arise when a principal hires an agent to do something on their behalf, but the principal cannot perfectly observe the agent’s actions.
private information
When one party to a transaction knows something the other doesn’t.
producer price index (PPI)
A price index that tracks the prices of inputs into the production process.
producer surplus
The economic surplus you get from selling something; Producer surplus = Price − Marginal cost.
product differentiation
Efforts by sellers to make their products differ from those of their competitors.
production function
The methods by which inputs are transformed into output which determines the total production that’s possible with a given set of ingredients.
production possibility frontier
Shows the different sets of output that are attainable with your scarce resources.
profit margin
Profits per unit sold; Profit margin = Average revenue − Average cost.
progressive tax
A tax where those with more income tend to pay a higher share of their income in taxes.
property rights
Control over a tangible or intangible resource.
property tax
A tax on the value of property, usually real estate.
prune the tree method
A method for solving game trees: Start by looking forward to the final period and highlighting out your rival’s best responses, then prune the options the rival would never choose—the “dead leaves”—off your game tree.
public good
A nonrival good that is nonexcludable and hence subject to the free-rider problem.

Q

quantitative easing
Purchasing large quantities of longer-term government bonds and other securities in an effort to lower long-term interest rates.
quantity discount
When the per-unit price is lower when you buy a larger quantity.
quantity regulation
A minimum or maximum quantity that can be sold.
quota
A limit on the maximum quantity of a good that can be sold.

R

random walk
When a price follows an unpredictable path.
Rational Rule
If something is worth doing, keep doing it until your marginal benefits equal your marginal costs.
Rational Rule for Buyers
Buy more of an item if the marginal benefit of one more is greater than (or equal to) the price.
Rational Rule for Consumers
Consume more today if the marginal benefit of a dollar of consumption today is greater than (or equal to) the marginal benefit of spending a dollar plus interest in the future.
Rational Rule for Employers
Hire more workers if the marginal revenue product is greater than (or equal to) the wage.
Rational Rule for Entry
You should enter a market if you expect to earn a positive economic profit, which occurs when the price exceeds your average cost.
Rational Rule for Exit
Exit the market if you expect to earn a negative economic profit, which occurs if the price is less than your average costs.
Rational Rule for Investors
Pursue an investment opportunity if the present value of future revenues exceeds the up-front cost.
Rational Rule for Markets
Produce more of a good if its marginal benefit is greater than (or equal to) the marginal cost.
Rational Rule for Sellers
Sell one more item if the marginal revenue is greater than (or equal to) marginal cost.
Rational Rule for Sellers in Competitive Markets
Sell one more item if the price is greater than (or is equal to) the marginal cost.
Rational Rule for Society
Produce more of an item if its marginal social benefit is greater than (or equal to) the marginal social cost.
Rational Rule for Workers
Work one more hour as long as the wage is at least as large as the marginal benefit of another hour of leisure.
real exchange rate
The domestic price divided by the foreign price, expressed in the domestic currency. Calculated as: Domestic priceForeign price/Nominal exchange rate.Calculated as colon Domestic price divided by Foreign price solidus Nominal exchange rate full stop
real GDP
GDP measured in constant prices.
real interest rate
The interest rate in terms of changes in your purchasing power; ≈ Nominal interest rate − Inflation rate
real variable
A variable that has been adjusted to account for inflation.
reason backward
Start by analyzing the last period of the game. Use this to figure what will happen in the second-to-last period, and keep reasoning backward until you can see all the consequences that follow from today’s decision.
recession
A period of declining economic activity.
refundable tax credit
A tax credit for which receiving the credit doesn’t depend on owing income taxes.
regressive tax
A tax where those with less income tend to pay a higher share of their income on the tax.
relationship-specific investment
An investment that is more valuable if the current business relationship continues.
relative poverty
Judges poverty relative to the material living standards of your contemporary society.
relative valuation
An assessment of the value of an asset by comparing it to similar assets.
repeated game
When you face the same strategic interaction with the same rivals and the same payoffs in successive periods.
representativeness bias
The tendency to assess the likelihood that something belongs in a category by judging how similar they are to that category.
reservation price
The maximum price a customer will pay for a product. It is equal to their marginal benefit.
reserve requirements
A minimum amount of reserves that each bank must hold.
reserves
The cash that banks need to keep on hand to make payments.
retained earnings
The profits that a company chooses not to give as dividends to shareholders.
revisions
Updates to earlier estimates.
risk averse
Disliking uncertainty.
risk loving
Liking uncertainty.
risk neutral
Indifferent to uncertainty.
risk premium
The extra interest that lenders charge to account for the risk of loaning money.
risk spreading
Breaking a big risk into many smaller risks so that it can be spread over many people.
risk-free interest rate
The interest rate on a loan that involves no risk.
rival good
A good for which your use of it comes at someone else’s expense.
Rule of 70
Divide 70 by the annual growth rate to get the number of years until the original amount doubles.

S

sales tax
A tax on purchases that’s typically a percentage of the purchase price of goods and services.
saving
The portion of income that you set aside, rather than spending on consumption.
scarcity
The problem that resources are limited.
search good
A good that you can easily evaluate before buying it.
seasonally adjusted
Data stripped of predictable seasonal patterns.
second-mover advantage
The strategic advantage that can follow from taking an action that adapts to your rival’s choice.
shadow banks
Financial firms that are similar to banks, but are not regulated like banks.
shift in the demand curve
A movement of the demand curve itself.
shift in the supply curve
A movement of the supply curve itself.
shoe-leather costs
The costs incurred trying to avoid holding cash.
short run
The horizon over which the production capacity, and the number and type of competitors you face, cannot change.
short-run aggregate supply curve
The aggregate supply curve that applies over a period when prices are neither fully fixed nor fully flexible. As a result, the short-run aggregate supply curve is upward-sloping.
shortage
When the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied.
signal
An action taken to credibly convey private information, or information that is hard for someone else to verify.
social insurance
Government provided insurance against bad outcomes such as unemployment, illness, disability, or outliving your savings.
social safety net
The cash assistance, goods, and services provided by the government to better the lives of those at the bottom of the income distribution.
socially optimal
The outcome that is most efficient for society as a whole, including the interests of buyers, sellers, and bystanders.
someone else’s shoes technique
By mentally “trading places” with someone so that you understand their objectives and constraints, you can forecast the decisions they will make.
specialization
Focusing on specific tasks.
speculative bubble
When the price of an asset rises above what appears to be its fundamental value.
spending shocks
Any change in aggregate expenditure at a given real interest rate and level of income. Spending shocks shift the IS curve.
stagflation
A combination of economic stagnation—or falling output—combined with high inflation.
statistical discrimination
Using observations about the average characteristics of a group to make inferences about an individual.
statutory burden
The burden of being assigned by the government to send a tax payment.
sticky prices
Prices that adjust sporadically and sluggishly to changes in market conditions.
stock market
The market where people buy and sell existing stocks.
strategic interaction
When your best choice may depend on what others choose, and their best choice may depend on what you choose.
strategic plan
A list of instructions that describes exactly how to respond in any possible situation.
structural unemployment
Unemployment that occurs because wages don’t fall to bring labor demand and supply into equilibrium.
subsidy
A payment made by the government to those who make a specific choice.
substitute goods
Goods that replace each other. Your demand for a good will increase if the price of a substitute good rises.
substitutes-in-production
Alternative uses of your resources. Your supply of a good will decrease if the price of a substitute-in-production rises.
substitution bias
The overstating of inflation that occurs because people substitute toward goods whose prices rise by less.
substitution effect
Measures how people respond to a change in relative prices. A higher wage increases the returns to work relative to leisure, leading you to work more.
sunk cost
A cost that has been incurred and cannot be reversed. A sunk cost exists whatever choice you make, and hence it is not an opportunity cost. Good decisions ignore sunk costs.
supply shocks
Any change in production costs that leads suppliers to change the prices they charge at any given level of output. Supply shocks shift the Phillips curve.
surplus
When the quantity demanded is less than the quantity supplied.
switching costs
An impediment that makes it costly for customers to switch to buying from another business.
systematic risk
Risks that are common across the whole economy.

T

tariff
A tax on imported products.
tax expenditures
Special deductions, exemptions, or credits that lower your tax obligations, to encourage you to engage in certain kinds of activities.
tax incidence
The division of the economic burden of a tax between buyers and sellers.
taxable income
The amount of your income that you pay taxes on.
technological progress
New methods for using existing resources.
term risk
The risk that arises from uncertainty about future interest rates.
total revenue
The total amount you receive from buyers, which is calculated as price × quantity.
trade costs
The extra costs incurred as a result of buying or selling internationally, rather than domestically.
tragedy of the commons
The tendency to overconsume a common resource.
transfer payments
Payments that transfer income from one person to another.
trough
A low point in economic activity.

U

underemployed
Someone who has some work but wants more hours, or whose job isn’t adequately using their skills.
unemployed
Working-age people without jobs who are trying to get jobs.
unemployment rate
The percentage of the labor force that is unemployed.
unexpected inflation
The difference between inflation and inflation expectations = Inflation – Inflation expectations.
unfunded liability
A commitment to incur expenses in the future without a plan to pay for those expenses.
user cost of capital
The extra cost associated with using one more machine next year = (r + d) × C.
utilitarianism
The political philosophy that government should try to maximize total utility in society.
utility
Your level of well-being.

V

valuation formula
Present value of an ongoing stream of payments=Next year’s revenuer+d.payments equals Next year right single quotation mark s revenue divided by r plus d full stop
value added
The amount by which the value of an item is increased at each stage of production. Value added = Total sales − Cost of intermediate inputs.
variable costs
Those costs—like labor and raw materials—that vary with the quantity of output you produce.
vertical integration
When two (or more) companies along a production chain combine to form a single company.
very-short-run aggregate supply curve
The aggregate supply curve that applies to the very short run, in which no prices have changed. Because prices are effectively fixed, this curve is horizontal.
voluntary exchange
Buyers and sellers exchange money for goods only if they both want to.

W

wage-price spiral
A cycle where higher prices lead to higher nominal wages, which leads to higher prices.
wealth
All the assets—including savings, cars, a home—that you currently have.
willingness to pay
In order to convert nonfinancial costs or benefits into their monetary equivalent, ask yourself: “What is the most I am willing to pay to get this benefit (or avoid that cost)?”
working-age population
Those age 16 or older who are not in the military or institutionalized.
world price
The price that a product sells for in the global market.

Z

zero lower bound
The constraint that nominal interest rates cannot be effectively set below zero.