BIBLIOGRAPHY

Allais, M., 1953, “Le Comportement de l’Homme Rationnel devant le Risque: Critique des Postulats et Axiomes de l’École Américaine,” Econometrica, 21, 503–546.

Aumann, R. J., and Shapley, L. S., 1974, Values of Non-Atomic Games, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.

Baranoff, E., Brockett, P. L., and Kahane, Y., 2009, Risk Management for Enterprises and Individuals, Flat World Knowledge, http://www.flatworldknowledge.com/node/29698#web-0

Bayes, T., 1764, “An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances,” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, 53, 370–418.

Bernoulli, D., 1738, Specimen Theoriae Novae de Mensura Sortis.

Bidarkota, P. V., and McCulloch, J. H., 2004, “Testing for Persistence in Stock Returns with GARCH-Stable Shocks,” Quantitative Finance, 4, 256–265.

Bode, J. E., 1772, Anleitung zur Kentniss des Gestirnten Himmels.

Born, M., 1949, Natural Philosophy of Cause and Chance, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.

Breyer, S. G., 1993, Breaking the Vicious Circle: Toward Effective Risk Regulation, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA.

Cantor, G., 1915, Contributions to the Founding of the Theory of Transfinite Numbers, Open Court Publishing Company, Chicago.

Cass, D., and Shell, K., 1983, “Do Sunspots Matter?” Journal of Political Economy, 91, 193–227.

Chaitin, G. J., 1969, “On the Simplicity and Speed of Programs for Computing Infinite Sets of Natural Numbers,” Journal of the ACM, 16, 407–422.

Chaitin, G. J., 1974, “Information-Theoretic Limitations of Formal Systems,” Journal of the ACM, 21, 403–424.

Clarke, A. C., 1962, Profiles of the Future: An Inquiry Into the Limits of the Possible, Harper and Row, New York.

Clarke, A. C., 1984, Profiles of the Future: An Inquiry Into the Limits of the Possible, Holt, Rinehart, and Winston, New York.

Cournot, A. A., 1838, Recherches sur les Principes Mathématiques de la Théorie des Richesses.

Derrig, R. A., and Ostaszewski, K. M., 1995, “Fuzzy Techniques of Pattern Recognition in Risk and Claim Classification,” Journal of Risk and Insurance, 62, 3, 447–482.

Dubey, P., and Shubik, M., 1978, “A Theory of Money and Financial Institutions. 28. The Non-Cooperative Equilibria of a Closed Trading Economy with Market Supply and Bidding Strategies,” Journal of Economic Theory, 17, 1–20.

Dubey, P., and Shubik, M., 1980, “A Strategic Market Game with Price and Quantity Strategies,” Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie, 40, 25–34.

Einstein, A., Born, H., and Born, M., 1969, Albert Einstein, Hedwig und Max Born, Briefwechsel: 1916–1955, Nymphenburger Verlagshandlung, Munich.

Erickson, G. W., and Fossa, J. A., 1998, Dictionary of Paradox, University Press of America, Lanham, MD.

Fisher, R. A., 1956, Statistical Methods and Scientific Inference, Oliver and Boyd, Edinburgh.

Fitzgerald, F. S., 1925, The Great Gatsby, Charles Scribner’s Sons, New York.

Freud, S., 1915, Zeitgemässes über Krieg und Tod, Imago, 4, 1, 1–21.

Gompertz, B., 1825, “On the Nature of the Function Expressive of the Law of Human Mortality, and on a New Mode of Determining the Value of Life Contingencies,” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, 115, 513–585.

Halley, E., 1693, “An Estimate of the Degrees of the Mortality of Mankind, Drawn from Curious Tables of the Births and Funerals at the City of Breslaw; with an Attempt to Ascertain the Price of Annuities upon Lives,” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, 17, 596–610 and 654–656.

Harvey, C. R., and Siddique, A., 2000, “Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests,” Journal of Finance, 55, 3, 1263–1295.

Heisenberg, W., 1956, “The Uncertainty Principle,” in Newman, J. R. (Ed.), The World of Mathematics, Volume II, Simon and Schuster, New York.

Hume, D., 1748, An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2007, Climate Change 2007—Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: Working Group II Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.

Jaynes, E. T., 2003, Probability Theory: The Logic of Science, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.

Jervis, R., 1978, “Cooperation Under the Security Dilemma,” World Politics, 30, 2, 167–214.

Johnson, E., and Nemet, G. F., 2010, “Willingness to Pay for Climate Policy: A Review of Estimates,” La Follette School Working Paper, No. 2010–011, University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Kahneman, D., and Tversky, A., 1979, “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk,” Econometrica, 47, 2, 263–291.

Kant, I., 1781, Kritik der Reinen Vernunft.

Keeton, R. E., and O’Connell, J., 1965, Basic Protection for the Traffic Victim, Little, Brown and Company, Boston.

Knight, F. N., 1921, Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit, Hart, Schaffner, and Marx/Houghton Mifflin Company, Boston.

Kolmogorov, A. N., 1965, “Three Approaches to the Quantitative Definition of Information,” Problems of Information Transmission, 1, 1, 1–7.

Lem, S., 1987, Fiasco, Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, San Diego, CA.

Lindley, D. V., 1987, “The Probability Approach to the Treatment of Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence and Expert Systems,” Statistical Science, 2, 1, 17–24.

Makeham, W. M., 1860, “On the Law of Mortality and the Construction of Annuity Tables,” Journal of the Institute of Actuaries and Assurance Magazine, 8, 301–310.

Mandelbrot, B., 1963, “The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices,” Journal of Business, 36, 394–419.

Martinez, D. E., 1998, “Mortality Patterns Suggest Lack of Senescence in Hydra,” Experimental Gerontology, 33, 3, 217–225.

Menger, K., 1934, “The Role of Uncertainty in Economics,” Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie, Vol. 5, in Shubik, M. (Ed.), 1967, Essays in Mathematical Economics, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.

Minsky, H., 1986, Stabilizing an Unstable Economy, Yale University Press, New Haven, CT.

Nash, J. F., Jr., 1951, “Noncooperative Games,” Annals of Mathematics, 54, 286–295.

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 2009, Incidence of Pedestrian and Bicyclist Crashes by Hybrid Electric Passenger Vehicles, U.S. Department of Transportation, http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811204.PDF.

Nelli, H. O., 1972, “The Earliest Insurance Contract—A New Discovery,” Journal of Risk and Insurance, 39, 2, 215–220.

Nešlehová, J., Embrechts, P., and Chavez-Demoulin, V., 2006, “Infinite-Mean Models and the LDA for Operational Risk,” Journal of Operational Risk, 1, 1, 3–25.

Parker, D., 1928, Sunset Gun—Poems, Boni and Liveright, New York.

Phelps, J. T., 1895, Life Insurance Sayings, Riverside Press, Cambridge, MA.

Powers, I. Y., and Shubik, M., 1991, “The Names of the Games,” International Security and Arms Control Discussion Paper, No. 7, Yale University, New Haven, CT.

Radin, D. I., 1997, The Conscious Universe: The Scientific Truth of Psychic Phenomena, HarperEdge, New York.

Rothschild, M., and Stiglitz, J., 1976, “Equilibrium in Competitive Insurance Markets: An Essay on the Economics of Imperfect Information,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 90, 4, 629–649.

Rousseau, J.-J., 1755, Discours sur l’Origine et les Fondements de l’Inégalité parmi les Hommes.

Rubin, P. H., 2003, “Folk Economics,” Southern Economic Journal, 70, 1, 157–171.

Savage, L. J., 1954, The Foundations of Statistics, Chapman and Hall, London.

Schumpeter, J. A., 1961, The Theory of Economic Development, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA (republication of 1911 original).

Shannon, C. E., 1948, “A Mathematical Theory of Communication,” Bell System Technical Journal, 27, 379–423 and 623–656.

Shapley, L. S., 1953, “A Value for n-Person Games,” Contributions to the Theory of Games, Vol. II, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ.

Shubik, M., 2002, “Risk, Public Perception, and Education: Quantitative and Qualitative Risk,” in Choi, J., and Powers, M. R. (Eds.), Global Risk Management: Financial, Operational, and Insurance Strategies, JAI/Elsevier Science, Amsterdam.

Shubik, M., 2006, “Theory of Money and Financial Institutions: A Summary of a Game-Theoretic Approach,” Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper, No. 1572, Yale University, New Haven, CT.

Solomonoff, R., 1964a, “A Formal Theory of Inductive Inference, Part I,” Information and Control, 7, 1, 1–22.

Solomonoff, R., 1964b, “A Formal Theory of Inductive Inference, Part II,” Information and Control, 7, 2, 224–254.

Taleb, N. N., 2007, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Random House, New York.

Tucker, A. W., 1950, “A Two-Person Dilemma,” Discussion Paper, Stanford University, Stanford, CA.

Venezian, E. C., 2006, “The Use of Spectral Analysis in Insurance Cycle Research,” Journal of Risk Finance, 7, 2, 177–188.

Venezian, E. C., and Leng, C.-C., 2006, “Application of Spectral and ARIMA Analysis to Combined-Ratio Patterns,” Journal of Risk Finance, 7, 2, 189–214.

von Leibniz, G. W. F., 1686, Discours de Métaphysique.

Wells, H. G., 1920, The Outline of History—Being a Plain History of Life and Mankind, Macmillan Company, New York.

Williams, S. D., Birch, R., Einhorn, L. H., Irwin, L., Greco, F. A., and Loehrer, P. J., 1987, “Treatment of Disseminated Germ-Cell Tumors with Cisplatin, Bleomycin, and Either Vinblastine or Etoposide,” New England Journal of Medicine, 316, 23, 1435–1440.

Zadeh, L., 1978, “Fuzzy Sets as the Basis for a Theory of Possibility,” Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 1, 3–28.