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Index
A Note on the Author
Title
Contents
The Kick-off
Part I On the Pitch
Chapter 1: I Never Predict Anything and I Never Will
Random Subbuteo
Kicked by the Horse
Explained by Randomness
The Real Story
Chapter 2: How Slime Moulds Built Barcelona
The Demise of One–Two–Seven
Train-track Triangles
Tiki-taka Tessellation
Flexi-zones
Rules of Motion
Chapter 3: Check My Flow
Why the Piggy Always Wins
The Right Social Convention
The Unbeatable Back
Picturing Pirlo
Chapter 4: Statistical Brilliance
The Guessing Game
Once in Every Lifetime
New Extremes?
The 10,000-year Storm
Bolt from the Blue
Game-changers
Objective Rankings
FC Analytics
Chapter 5: Zlatan Ibrah Rocket Science
Newton Explains
Sent it into Space
Luck, Structure and Magic
Part II In the Dugout
Chapter 6: Three Points for the Bird-brained Manager
Expanding Point Pies
Breaking up the Pecking Order
Given Half a Chance
Intuitive Design
It’s football – enjoy!
Chapter 7: The Tactical Map
Route-one England
The United States of Abbymerica
Special Relationships
Fifty Shades of Bayern Munich
The Barcelona Jet Fighter
The Real Ronaldo
The Juventus Hull
A Final Word
Chapter 8: Total Cyber Dynamo
Evolving Lazy Workers
Tribal Hunting
Super-linear Dynamo
Rallying the Ants
Star Commitment
Collective Individualism
Chapter 9: The World in Motion
Data Overflow
Line-up
The Subtle Leader
Pressing Power
Putting It Together
Part III From the Crowd
Chapter 10: You’ll Never Walk Alone
1, 2, 4, 8, 16, . . .
Clapping Contagions
Luis Suárez to Arsenal
Stand Up, Sit Down and Turn Around
The Mosh
People Don’t Panic
Chapter 11: Bet Against the Masses
The Wise Crowd
Beating the Crowd
Not So Smart
Around the Corner
Premier Predictions
Barcelona 4,539, Kilmarnock 1,093
Cup Final Rumour Day
Chapter 12: Putting My Money Where My Mouth Is
Odd Probabilities
When Should I Place a Bet?
How Good Do I Have To Be?
The Challenge
Strategy 1: Strong Favourites, Well-Matched Draws
Strategy 2: Results Index
Strategy 3: Performance Indicators
Strategy 4: The Expert
Strategy 5: Ask My Wife
Putting It All Together
Chapter 13: The Results Are In
Lucky Luke and Calamity Jane
Betting Channels
Week 1: Bore Draws
Week 2: Indexical Decline
Week 3: Unexpected Goals
Weeks 4 and 5: Satisfied with a Draw
Career Advice
Part IV The Analysts
Chapter 14: Finding the Talent
Chapter 15: Football’s Intelligent Future
The Full-Time Whistle
Notes
Acknowledgements
Index
Sigma Series
Copyright
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