Part III: Common Biases and Errors That Most of Us Make (and How to Overcome Them)

Chapter 13 How Can You Be So Darn Sure About That? Coping with Overconfidence

Chapter 14 Never Do Today That Which You Can Do Tomorrow: The Inertia Bias

Chapter 15 I Want It, and I Want It NOW! The Immediate Gratification Bias

Chapter 16 Where You End Up Depends on Where You Start: The Anchoring Effect

Chapter 17 I’ll See It When I Believe It: The Selective Perception Bias

Chapter 18 I Hear What I Want to Hear: The Confirmation Bias

Chapter 19 Is the Glass Half Empty or Half Full? The Framing Bias

Chapter 20 What Have You Done for Me Lately? The Availability Bias

Chapter 21 Looks Can Be Deceiving: The Representation Bias

Chapter 22 Seeing Patterns That Aren’t There: Coping with Randomness

Chapter 23 I Only Like Change That Jingles in My Pocket: The Familiarity Bias

Chapter 24 Gone Is Not Always Forgotten: Understanding Sunk Costs

Chapter 25 Keep It Simple: The Limited Search Error

Chapter 26 Losing Your Head in the Heat of Battle: The Emotional Involvement Error

Chapter 27 Who You Gonna Blame? The Self-Serving Bias

Chapter 28 Novelty Wears Off: The Adaptation Bias

Chapter 29 I Knew It All The Time: The Hindsight Bias