Without strong guidance, a very active child’s energy can easily turn toward aggressive or destructive behavior. To avoid this, you need to establish clear and logical rules and enforce them consistently.
American Academy of Pediatrics, Caring for Your Baby and Young Child
Every parent knows that taking care of toddlers can be exhausting. They are more mobile than babies and therefore more capable of putting themselves into peril. Toddlers require constant supervision. All the traits discussed in this book—poor impulse control, fits of temper, short attention spans, oppositional behavior, a profound lack of knowledge about how the world works—make toddlers particularly difficult to monitor in public. It is not surprising that parents of toddlers are often frazzled and overtired, particularly when shepherding them through air travel. Same with caregivers. Unsurprisingly, the low pay of many parts of the childcare sector leads to high rates of staff turnover.1
Compared to childcare service providers, White House staffers earn a higher salary, command greater respect, exercise more power, and participate in making history. The same logic holds with even greater force for cabinet secretaries. Traditionally, those who serve in the high ranks of an administration can expect a more rewarding future career track replete with honors, awards, and lucrative speaking engagements.2 One would therefore expect there to be a bevy of Republicans eager to work for the 45th President. President Trump certainly assumed this during the campaign, pledging, “I’m going to surround myself only with the best and most serious people.”3
And yet the opposite has been the case. Compared to previous administrations, the Trump White House has been much slower to fill presidential appointments across the federal government. According to the Partnership for Public Service, in its first seven months the Trump administration’s process to fill presidential appointments was the slowest in 40 years. Of the 575 key policymaking positions he needed to fill, he’d secured Senate approval for only 50; Obama, in his first seven months as President, had confirmed more than four times as many.4 Three years into Trump’s presidency, the data show that his administration has taken far longer to announce nominees than his immediate predecessor. The poor quality of his choices has also lengthened the vetting process.5
Equally striking has been the high degree of turnover across the upper ranks of the administration. The Trump administration had the highest first-year staff turnover in 40 years.6 By the end of his third year as President, Donald Trump was on his third Chief of Staff, fourth National Security Advisor, and sixth Communications Director. At one point in early 2019, Trump had five acting Cabinet Secretaries, and Mick Mulvaney was serving concurrently as the Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and Acting White House Chief of Staff. According to the New York Times, the Trump staff had experienced the highest turnover rate of 21 key White House and cabinet positions during the post–Cold War era. In the first 14 months of the Clinton administration, only three of those positions turned over. In the Obama administration, it was only two; with the George W. Bush administration, only one. In contrast, nine of these positions turned over at least once during the Trump administration during the same time period.7
Trump’s first hires were a mixed bag at best. Some of his cabinet picks, such as Secretary of Defense James Mattis, Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, and Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats, would have been predictable choices for any GOP administration. Many of the key figures selected in the first few years, however, had skeletons in their closet. This is best exemplified by White House Staff Secretary Rob Porter. By all accounts he did a competent job at handling Trump’s paper flow and running the White House policy process on trade, but he also was denied a permanent security clearance because of his history of spousal abuse.8 The less said about the qualifications of Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump, the better.
The shoddy caliber of those who worked for the Trump administration is demonstrated by how quickly their service ended. Trump fired his first Chief of Staff and first Secretary of State by tweet. Multiple cabinet officials, including Trump’s first Secretary of Health and Human Services, EPA Administrator, Interior Secretary, Secretary of Labor, and Secretary of Veteran Affairs departed under clouds of scandal. Other Trump officials, including his first National Security Advisor, Michael Flynn, pleaded guilty to crimes. Even on small matters, such as correct spelling in press releases, the Trump White House has fallen short.9 It is therefore unsurprising that in an August 2018 Monmouth poll just 30 percent of respondents believed that Trump had hired the best people, whereas 58 percent did not. Only 19 percent of respondents expressed great confidence in the way that White House advisors and staff handled their jobs.10 Trump confidant Chris Christie, who ran Trump’s transition planning during the 2016 campaign, characterized Trump’s staff as a “revolving door of deeply flawed individuals—amateurs, grifters, weaklings, convicted and unconvicted felons—who were hustled into jobs they were never suited for, sometimes seemingly without so much as a background check via Google or Wikipedia.”11
There are several possible explanations for why the Trump administration is such a negative outlier in terms of quality. It would be safe to describe the Trump team’s personnel management as poor. From the moment Trump fired Chris Christie as his transition director the day after his election victory, his administration found itself woefully behind schedule on staffing.12 The new transition team did a horrendous job of vetting, leading to many reversals and resignations after the press uncovered a nominee’s past malfeasance.13 Trump went so far as to claim that press coverage helped the administration in its vetting.14
Another problem—Trump’s ideology and temperament was off-putting to many GOP stalwarts. Trump’s brand of populist nationalism and “America First” slogan was somewhat at odds with longstanding Republican positions in support for balanced budgets, freer trade and an internationalist foreign policy. It was sufficiently polarizing that many Republican wonks eschewed working for him. This was particularly true in the foreign policy realm. During the 2016 campaign, GOP foreign policy experts signed multiple letters stressing Donald Trump’s unfitness for higher office.15 Secretary of State Rex Tillerson later told Congress that the Trump White House refused to even consider hiring any of the signatories to these petitions.16 Because these names constituted a significant fraction of the GOP’s bench strength in foreign policy and national security, it became that much more difficult to find appointees. The State Department was very slow in announcing political appointments; when Trump fired Tillerson in February 2018, only two of the top ten State Department political positions were occupied by a political appointee.17
Over time, the toxic nature of Trump’s presidency also complicated this administration’s ability to attract talented staffers. With few exceptions, beleaguered Trump staffers contemplating their exit from government service did not find themselves overwhelmed with lucrative private-sector job opportunities.18 The lack of promising jobs after serving in the Trump administration deterred many potential applicants. According to BuzzFeed, “Keeping their future career prospects in mind is also one of the reasons why Republicans are turning down opportunities to work in the administration.”19
There is one other reason, however, why the 45th President has had such difficulties hiring the best people. Taking care of an ordinary toddler is hard work. Taking care of the Toddler in Chief is next to impossible. Reince Priebus, Trump’s first Chief of Staff, explained that he agreed to the job to provide “a sane voice in the Oval Office”: “There has to be a reasonable person in the room with him.”20 Imagine trying to rein in the Toddler in Chief nonstop, 24 hours a day, seven days a week. That would exhaust even the best possible staffers, and the GOP was not sending its best to work for Trump.
Less than two years into his term, the New York Times reported that “burned-out aides are eyeing the exits, as the mood in the White House is one of numbness and resignation that the President is growing only more emboldened to act on instinct alone.”21 Less than a year after John Kelly had been named Chief of Staff, he told visiting senators that the White House was “a miserable place to work.”22 The President had difficulties finding a replacement for Kelly. Trump’s first choice, Nick Ayers, declined the offer and instead moved his family out of Washington, DC.
Unlike other toddlers, Trump will never actually mature. Also unlike other toddlers, Donald Trump has all of the constitutional and political prerogatives invested in the presidency. Crudely put, he has the power to say no to his caregivers. Without the disciplinary authority that parents and caregivers possess, White House staffers face limited options in keeping the Toddler in Chief out of trouble.23 Over the span of Trump’s first term, his staff have tried to use a variety of coping mechanisms. Some of them, such as encouraging the President’s special interests, met with limited success. Most of the strategies, however, have failed and failed badly.
The first and easiest staff response to the Toddler in Chief was simple accommodation to minor behavioral issues. For example, Trump likes to rip any piece of paper to shreds once he’s done with it. That habit, however, is a violation of the Presidential Records Act, a law that requires all presidential documents to be preserved. Trump’s staff failed to stop him from doing it. Instead, they assigned an entire department of records management analysts dedicated to taping Trump’s papers back together.24 This was not the best allocation of the federal government’s human resources, but it likely saved the White House staff some agita.
There were other instances in which, right from his inauguration, Trump’s senior staff would accommodate rather than constrain him. According to Politico’s Nahal Toosi, in some instances key staffers accepted and even dispersed what White House Counselor Kellyanne Conway called “alternative facts”:
In the days ahead of German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s first visit to the White House during the Trump presidency, in March 2017, NSC [National Security Council] career staffers were told the president wanted to tell Merkel that other NATO countries owed the US money. Could they prepare a report on the topic? Career NSC staffers got to work and returned with the basics: that NATO countries don’t owe the United States money because that’s not how the military alliance works; that every NATO country is supposed to spend at least 2 percent of its GDP on defense, and that while many had fallen short of that commitment, others met it or were on track to do so. In short, no one ‘owed’ the United States anything.
NSC career staffers presented this information to a senior administration official in the West Wing. According to one of them, the official replied: “The president is going to say it anyway, so we need to help him. I mean, it’s not a legal document.”25
Trump staffers also attempted to placate the President through overindulgence. His subordinates took care to reassure the Toddler in Chief that he was doing a super-awesome job as President. In one notorious June 2017 example, senior Trump administration officials gathered for their first full cabinet meeting. While television cameras filmed them, cabinet members took turns in extoling the President for his leadership and thanking Trump for the opportunity to serve him. The New York Times explained that “the show of support for the President was in keeping with an intense effort by the White House to boost Mr. Trump’s mood” in the face of lackluster poll numbers.26 The strategy of fulsome praise continued with a steady drumbeat of White House press releases overflowing with cabinet members bestowing flattery on Trump, a tactic that most prior administrations had not used.27 Allied leaders also attempted this gambit on several occasions during Trump’s first year as President.28
Another indulgence strategy was to provide Trump with folders containing nothing but favorable press coverage. Starting in his first few months in office, Trump was given a folder twice a day “filled with screenshots of positive cable news chyrons, admiring tweets, transcripts of fawning TV interviews, praise-filled news stories, and sometimes just pictures of Trump on TV looking powerful,” according to one account.29 When there was an insufficient number of positive headlines, White House officials would ask the Republican National Committee for flattering photos of the President. Staffers would vie with each other for opportunity to deliver the folder to Trump, because it put him in a better mood. One former RNC official justified the practice by saying, “Maybe it’s good for the country that the President is in a good mood in the morning.”30 This practice was fully institutionalized by 2018.31
The staff’s habit of trying to feed him good news extended to polling data. According to Politico, “Aides in the White House often show Trump polls designed to make him feel good. . . . Usually they’re the ones that focus just on voters who cast ballots for him in 2016 or are potential Trump supporters.”32 As the midterm elections approached, aides scheduled political rallies to boost Trump’s mood.33
The indulgence strategy did not cause the President to stop acting like a toddler. Too many staffers had unrestricted access to the President, making it easy for them to distract or spin up the Toddler in Chief. Similarly, the tactic of providing the President with slanted or upbeat news stories had its downsides. One reason the President was slow to react during the family separation crisis on the southern border in June 2018 was that the public photos of crying children being separated from their families were not in keeping with the more positive photos Trump’s aides showed him, which depicted the detained children smiling, playing video games, and exercising outdoors.34 In trying to keep the President’s spirits up, the Toddler in Chief’s staff failed to warn him about brewing scandals until they received widespread media exposure.
The brief rise and long descent of John Kelly’s time as White House Chief of Staff perfectly encapsulates the arc of staffers who attempted to discipline Trump into not acting like a toddler. The fact that Trump wanted the former Marine general in the first place suggests that the President was aware on some level that he needed a more structured environment. When Kelly first came on board, press coverage stressed his desire to impose military discipline in the White House. Kelly ensured that all calls to and from the President went through the White House switchboard, so he could sign off on them. He acted as a veto point for any piece of information that could reach the Resolute Desk. He required that all staff members, including Trump’s children, go through him to reach the President.35 The New York Times reported that Kelly was “intent on cosseting Mr. Trump with bureaucratic competence and forcing staff members to keep to their lanes.”36 In that very same story, however, there were hints at the limits of Kelly’s ability to constructively mold Trump’s environment: “[Kelly] has told his new employees that he was hired to manage the staff, not the President. He will not try to change Mr. Trump’s Twitter or TV-watching habits. . . . He has privately acknowledged that he cannot control the President and that his authority would be undermined if he tried and failed.”37
Kelly’s efforts to impose constraints on Trump had some initial success—and by initial, I mean a month at most. Less than three weeks after Kelly became Chief of Staff, Trump’s “both sides” comments about Charlottesville highlighted the limits of his influence. One unofficial White House advisor explained to the Washington Post: “The Kelly era was a bright, shining interlude between failed attempts to right the Trump presidency and it has now come to a close after a short but glorious run. . . . Like all people who work for the president, he has since experienced the limits of the president’s promises to cooperate in order to ensure the success of the enterprise.”38 Press reports soon appeared about Trump chafing at Kelly’s restrictions.39 By September 2017, whatever ability Kelly had to influence Trump’s messaging had collapsed completely. He was unable to restrain the President from attacking NFL players in one breath and Kim Jong Un the next.40
Another source of tension was Trump’s demand for unstructured time. During the first few months of Trump’s presidency, early morning and breakfast meetings were on the schedule. The Toddler in Chief soon rebelled, however. When Kelly came on, he accommodated the President by instituting “Executive Time,” long blocks of unscheduled time during which the 45th President could watch television, tweet, and call friends and cronies. According to White House schedules, on most days Trump would not arrive at the Oval Office until 11:00 a.m. His day would end at 6 p.m., earlier than for most of his predecessors. Subsequent staff efforts to cut back Executive Time and add more official meetings failed; one staffer acknowledged in June 2018 that “there’s no going back.”41
Unstructured playtime can be good for toddlers, but too much of it can be problematic—particularly if so much of the free time is devoted to watching television. The same appears to be true with Trump. According to Axios’s Jonathan Swan, “Aides say Trump is always doing something—he’s a whirl of activity and some aides wish he would sleep more—but his time in the residence is unstructured and undisciplined.”42 Trump associates have acknowledged that this unstructured time encourages all of Trump’s worst toddler instincts. Barry Bennett, a 2016 Trump campaign advisor, told the Los Angeles Times that “you’ve got to give him suggestions because you’ve got to fill the vacuum.”43 Kelly attempted to do that with the creation of “Policy Time”—daily meetings in which advisors debated competing views over a specific issue, with Trump presiding.44
As the fall of 2017 progressed, it seemed clear that Trump’s staffers had decided not to fight Trump on the small examples of toddler behavior. The Atlantic’s David Graham noted, “As every parent knows, sometimes you just have to give in—let the kid have a victory on something less significant. Aides can try to prevent war with North Korea, and they can seek compromise on the Iran deal, and they can quietly kill the demand for more nukes, but they’ve got to let the president have his way on occasion. When Trump demands ‘goddamned steam’ to power catapults on aircraft carriers, aides shrug and let it go.”45 Trump staffers rationalized their service in the administration by arguing that they were preventing Trump’s even crazier ideas from being implemented.46
Trump continued to rebel against Kelly’s strictures in a variety of ways. As noted in chapter 7, his simplest gambit was to go to Mar-a-Lago. As the Washington Post reported in November 2017, “Trump feels especially liberated when he is at Mar-a-Lago. . . . There, Trump enjoys a less structured and disciplined environment than at the White House, where Kelly attempts to tightly control whom the President sees and what information he receives.”47 Indeed, Trump feels so relaxed at Mar-a-Lago that he has consented to impromptu interviews while there, flustering his staff.48
The President also took actions in the White House to bypass Kelly’s paternalistic structures. He called aides to his residence in the evening and gave them assignments, along with instructions to keep them a secret from the Chief of Staff. Trump would also bypass the normal scheduling of White House phone calls so that he could talk to outside confidants without Kelly’s knowledge.49 After Kelly fumbled questions about his knowledge of White House Staff Secretary Rob Porter’s history of domestic abuse, his ability to constrain Trump’s toddler traits was weakened further.50
By March 2018, most of Kelly’s strictures had been eviscerated. An exodus of Trump staffers began, led by Gary Cohn, H. R. McMaster, and Hope Hicks. Trump told friends that he wanted to be less reliant on his staff, because he believed they gave him bad advice.51 Like any toddler free from adult supervision, Trump reveled in his newfound liberty, announcing tariffs and summits in a manner that surprised even his closest aides. He hired John Bolton as his third National Security Advisor against John Kelly’s recommendation.52 As one account put it, Trump was “acting as his own chief of staff, chief strategist, cable news producer, and communications director all rolled into one.” Trump confidants described him as “‘giddy’—a man who has finally fully indulged his itch to break free of John Kelly’s restraints.”53 At the end of March 2018, Trump confidants were telling reporters: “This is now a president a little bit alone, isolated and without any moderating influences—and, if anything, a president who is being encouraged and goaded on by people around him. It really is a president unhinged.”54
From the spring of 2018 onward, the press coverage suggests that White House staff have had to rely on more extreme carrots and sticks to get the President to do things expected of him. They scheduled a few days at Turnberry Country Club, Trump’s golf resort in Scotland, to entice him to attend the July 2018 NATO Summit in Brussels.55 John Bolton rushed to lock in the policy communiqué well before Trump arrived at the summit. This contravened usual practice but was done to ensure that Trump could not wreck the meeting once he arrived on the scene in the same manner that he did at the 2018 G-7 summit.56 Even then, Trump continued to transgress in ways that embarrassed his staff. After his disgraceful performance at the Helsinki press conference, White House staff expressed shock and disappointment about the President’s fawning over Russian President Vladimir Putin.57
After Helsinki, Kelly seemed to be increasingly checked out as Trump’s minder. Press reports indicated he was coming in to the White House later, leaving earlier, and going to the gym in the middle of the day.58 By the time Kelly formally departed in December 2018, he described the Chief of Staff position as a “bone-crushing hard job” or “worst job in the world.” He also told associates that Mr. Trump was not up to role of President.59 Kelly suggested to the Los Angeles Times that his greatest accomplishments as Chief of Staff had been invisible—it was the array of harebrained Trump schemes that he was able to veto.60 His successor Mick Mulvaney said, “I don’t think I’m telling any secrets—John hated the job.”61
By 2019, Trump’s senior staff had reverted to an appeasement strategy. Approximately 60 percent of President Trump’s schedule was devoted to unstructured “Executive Time.”62 Acting White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney adopted a “let Trump be Trump” approach, loosening access to the President and enabling the Toddler in Chief’s disruptive behavior.63 Mulvaney made it clear to reporters that he enjoys the perquisites of power and is uninterested in attempting to constrain Trump’s impulses.64 He confirmed that Trump does not come down to the West Wing until around 11 a.m.; Trump’s personal secretary complained that it was often later than that.65 National Security Advisor John Bolton largely ended his predecessors’ meetings of NSC principals, because they were disconnected from Trump’s instincts. The result was “a national security process that, officials say, has shrunk to little more than the instincts of an impulsive president” according to the New York Times.66 His new national security team prevented Trump from acting on his most catastrophic instincts, but only barely.67 Indeed, Trump told reporters that he constrained Bolton’s bellicose impulses rather than vice versa.68
This surrender to the Toddler in Chief has extended to Trump’s 2020 reelection campaign. According to the Washington Post, “Campaign advisers say they have come to trust Trump’s political instincts, though they also recognize that he sometimes goes too far. Still, they say, they can only control what they can—and that often does not include the president.”69 As a Trump campaign aide described it, “He blows the hole and everyone else runs into the breach.”70 A former staffer explained, “The only way to preserve your sanity is to understand that wave after wave of people have tried to get [Trump] to do certain things and so you either sign up for who he is or get out while you can.”71
By now the pattern for White House staffers under Trump has been locked in. They have admitted to reporters that they go through “a cycle of being enamored of Trump’s larger-than-life persona, but then become frustrated by the environment he creates and allows, followed by anger at his self-destructive tendencies.”72 Similarly, the Toddler in Chief treats his staffers like new toys, enjoying them at the beginning, growing weary of them soon afterward, and eventually discarding them.73 Former staffers have expressed concern to reporters that “after casting off advisers who displeased him at a record rate in his first two and a half years in office, Mr. Trump now has fewer aides around him willing or able to challenge him, much less restrain his more impulsive instincts.”74 According to former White House Communications Director Anthony Scaramucci, Trump’s staff serves little purpose to him other than being “a prop in the back.”75
Trump’s remaining staffers fall into one of three baskets: sycophants, Faustians, and rejects. The sycophants are the ones who excel at telling Trump that everything he does is great, even when what he has done is objectively awful. Dan Scavino epitomizes this group best, offering nothing but fulsome praise for the President. It is not a coincidence that the White House Director of Social Media started out as Trump’s 16-year-old golf caddy.76
The Faustians include Mick Mulvaney, Economic Advisor Larry Kudlow, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, and Attorney General Bill Barr. These individuals were not anyone’s first-best or even second-best options for their positions. Trump hired them because he could not find anyone competent beyond those exiled to the Island of Misfit Wonks. These folks are Faustians because of the bargain they made with themselves to staff the Toddler in Chief. On the one hand, they must display fealty at every turn, endorsing policies and statements that they would have excoriated if they were out of power. On the other hand, Trump’s short attention span enables them to pursue their own preferred policies so long as they do not publicly contradict the President. Pompeo will accede to Trump’s wishes on North Korea provided he can be hawkish on arms control. Barr will preserve and defend Trump at all costs if it permits him the ability to extend executive power. Mulvaney will tolerate the Toddler in Chief in return for the freedom to run roughshod over Cabinet Secretaries to set regulatory policy. Because the President knows so little about policy, each of these subordinates can exercise considerable autonomy over their own policy bailiwicks.77
The final group are the rejects. As previously noted, Trump’s first crop of staffers and administration officials were not the best people. As Trump’s brand has become more tarnished, finding replacements for those exiting the administration has become ever more difficult. In numerous instances, the Toddler in Chief has resorted to hiring people whose reputations had already been tarnished. In 2018 Trump hired Bill Shine to be his Communications Director even though Shine had been forced out at Fox News for his poor handling of sexual harassment scandals. Ken Cuccinelli’s immigration positions are too hardline to earn him Senate confirmation, but Trump tapped him to be the Acting Head of the US Citizenship and Immigration Services. Perhaps the best example is former Fox News commentator Monica Crowley. In early 2017 she withdrew her name from consideration for a National Security Council position after stories in CNN and Politico confirmed that she had plagiarized parts of both her PhD dissertation and her most recent book.78 By 2019, however, Crowley had been hired to be a spokesperson for the Treasury Department.
Stepping back, the staffers who survive in the Trump administration tend to be those who tolerate and even emulate Trump’s toddler-like traits. This raises a rather disturbing implication. The Mueller report’s assessment of whether the President obstructed justice concluded, “The President’s efforts to influence the investigation were mostly unsuccessful, but that is largely because the persons who surrounded the President declined to carry out orders or accede to his requests.”79 All of the officials who resisted Trump’s entreaties—FBI Director James Comey, White House Counsel Don McGahn, Deputy White House Chief of Staff Rick Dearborn—are no longer in government. In their place, Trump appointed more pliant subordinates such as Barr, Kudlow, and Mulvaney. With each passing day, the only people eager to work for the Trump administration are those individuals who are willing to subordinate everything to the whims of the Toddler in Chief. These are staffers willing to prostrate themselves publicly by saying that the President did not have a temper tantrum, even if they were not in the room during the moment in question.80
This makes it easier to conceive of Trump being allowed, or even encouraged, to act on his worst instincts.81 Former Speaker of the House Paul Ryan acknowledged this problem in 2019: “Those of us around him really helped to stop him from making bad decisions. All the time. It worked pretty well. . . . I think now . . . he sort of feels like he knows the job.” Ryan added, “We helped him make much better decisions, which were contrary to kind of what his knee-jerk reaction was. Now, I think he’s making some of those knee-jerk reactions.”82 Impeachment compounds these difficulties. It will make it even more difficult for the Trump White House to attract competent staff. Those remaining will have to devote extra time to preventing the Toddler in Chief from careening off the rails. One former White House aide acknowledged, “It may lead to less structured output from the White House.”83
To take care of the Toddler in Chief three years into his term, the Trump administration has little choice but to scrape the bottom of the bottom of the barrel. This is fine. After all, what damage could a person with impulse control problems and the ability to launch nuclear weapons possibly do?