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Index
Title Page Copyright Page Dedication Acknowledgments Introduction
The crisis as a catalyst BRICs in the wall of the future
Chapter One - Back to the Future?
Once upon a time A change of heart People power The lie of the land Standing on the shoulders of giants Innovation, imagination and institutions That was then It’s a good cat so long as it catches mice
Chapter Two - Who Are Those Guys?
From Third World to emerging markets The globalisation of emerging markets PPP beauty contest Playing catch-up
Chapter Three - To Armageddon and Back
How the subprime minnow became a monster A ‘Minsky Moment’ The search for villains A short history of busts The global savings glut Back from Armageddon
Chapter Four - Atomic Clouds of Footloose Funds
The $11 trillion elephant in the room Twentieth-century imbalances The new imbalances The end of the renminbi regime So what is to be done?
Chapter Five - After the Crisis: Catharsis or Chaos?
Euphoria in context Will the Sun also set on China? Catch-up constraints India’s opportunity The rebalancing of China Taming the investment boom The consumer and the countryside Planning for the next five years
Chapter Six - Older and Wiser: Demographic and Technological Challenges
Why demographics matter Malthusian flashpoints Getting old before getting rich Ageing in China Ageing in India Top dogs in technology Technical progress versus technical prowess The race for technological leadership Will China eat our technological lunch?
Chapter Seven - The Climate Change Catch-22
Damned if you grow, damned if you don’t Climate debate Essence of climate change science Bare necessities for emerging markets Water Breaking the link between growth and emissions Dash for growth and be damned
Chapter Eight - Who Will Inherit the Earth?
Contours of power Rule of law and enduring economic power America RIP? Current bones of contention Leading to a new world order? Conclusions
Notes Index
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