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Index
Title Page Dedication Chapter 1 - Anticipating Others’ Anticipations
Falling in Love with WorldCom Being Right Versus Being Right About the Market My Pedagogical Cruelty Common Knowledge, Jealousy, and Market Sell-Offs
Chapter 2 - Fear, Greed, and Cognitive Illusions
Averaging Down or Catching a Falling Knife? Emotional Overreactions and Homo Economicus Behavioral Finance Psychological Foibles, A List Self-Fulfilling Beliefs and Data Mining Rumors and Online Chatrooms Pump and Dump, Short and Distort
Chapter 3 - Trends, Crowds, and Waves
Technical Analysis: Following the Followers The Euro and the Golden Ratio Moving Averages, Big Picture Resistance and Support and All That Predictability and Trends Technical Strategies and Blackjack Winning Through Losing?
Chapter 4 - Chance and Efficient Markets
Geniuses, Idiots, or Neither Efficiency and Random Walks Pennies and the Perception of Pattern A Stock-Newsletter Scam Decimals and Other Changes Benford’s Law and Looking Out for Number One The Numbers Man—A Screen Treatment
Chapter 5 - Value Investing and Fundamental Analysis
e is the Root of All Money The Fundamentalists’ Creed: You Get What You Pay For Ponzi and the Irrational Discounting of the Future Average Riches, Likely Poverty Fat Stocks, Fat People, and P/E Contrarian Investing and the Sports Illustrated Cover Jinx Accounting Practices, WorldCom’s Problems
Chapter 6 - Options, Risk, and Volatility
Options and the Calls of the Wild The Lure of Illegal Leverage Short-Selling, Margin Buying, and Familial Finances Are Insider Trading and Stock Manipulation So Bad? Expected Value, Not Value Expected What’s Normal? Not Six Sigma
Chapter 7 - Diversifying Stock Portfolios
A Reminiscence and a Parable Are Stocks Less Risky Than Bonds? The St. Petersburg Paradox and Utility Portfolios: Benefiting from the Hatfields and McCoys Diversification and Politically Incorrect Funds Beta—Is It Better?
Chapter 8 - Connectedness and Chaotic Price Movements
Insider Trading and Subterranean Information Processing Trading Strategies, Whim, and Ant Behavior Chaos and Unpredictability Extreme Price Movements, Power Laws, and the Web Economic Disparities and Media Disproportions
Chapter 9 - From Paradox to Complexity
The Paradoxical Efficient Market Hypothesis The Prisoner’s Dilemma and the Market Pushing the Complexity Horizon Game Theory and Supernatural Investor/Psychologists Absurd Emails and the WorldCom Denouement
Bibliography Index Copyright Page
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