Probabilities by Olofsson, Peter -- Read -- Imperial Library of Trantor

Index

Cover Contents THE WILEY BICENTENNIAL–KNOWLEDGE FOR GENERATIONS Title Page Copyright Preface 1 Computing Probabilities: Right Ways and Wrong Ways

THE PROBABILIST THE PROBABILIST’S TOYS AND LANGUAGE THE PROBABILIST’S RULE BOOK INDEPENDENCE, AIRPLANES, AND RUSSIAN PEASANTS CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY, SWEDISH TV, AND BRITISH COURTS LIAR, LIAR TOTAL PROBABILITY, USED CARS, AND TENNIS MATCHES COMBINATORICS, PASTRAMI, AND POETRY THE VON TRAPPS AND THE BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION FINAL WORD

2 Surprising Probabilities: When Intuition Struggles

BOYS, GIRLS, ACES, AND COLORED CARDS GOATS AND GLOATS HAPPY BIRTHDAY TYPICAL ATYPICALITIES STRATEGIES, SHOPPING, AND SPAGHETTI WESTERNS THE BRITISH SNOB AND I FINAL WORD

3 Tiny Probabilities: Why Are They So Hard to Escape?

PROBABLE IMPROBABILITIES SADDAM AND I TAKING TINY RISKS A MILLION-TO-ONE SHOT, DOC, MILLION TO ONE! MONSIEUR POISSON AND THE MYSTERIOUS NUMBER 37 CLUMPS IN SPACE FINAL WORD

4 Backward Probabilities: The Reverend Bayes to Our Rescue

DRIVING MISS DAISY BAYES, BALLS, AND BOYS (AND GIRLS) BAYES AND MY GREEN CARD OBJECTION YOUR HONOR FINAL WORD

5 Beyond Probabilities: What to Expect

GREAT EXPECTATIONS GOOD THINGS COME TO THOSE WHO WAIT EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED SIZE MATTERS (AND LENGTH, AND AGE) DEVIANT BEHAVIOR FINAL WORD

6 Inevitable Probabilities: Two Fascinating Mathematical Results

ALEA IACTA EST, OVER AND OVER EVEN-STEVEN? THE LAW MISUNDERSTOOD COIN TOSSES AND FREEWAY CONGESTION LET’S GET SERIOUS BELLS AND BREAD HOW A TORONTO QUINCUNX CHANGED MY LIFE FINAL WORD

7 Gambling Probabilities: Why Donald Trump Is Richer than You

FRENCH LETTERS ROULETTE: A CLASSY WAY TO WASTE YOUR MONEY CRAPS: NOT SO DICEY AFTER ALL BLACKJACK: MONEY FOR MNEMONICS MATH FOR LOSERS WIN MONEY AND LOSE FRIENDS FINAL WORD

8 Guessing Probabilities: Enter the Statisticians

LIES, DAMNED LIES, AND BEAUTIFUL LIES? 4 OUT OF 10 LIKE THE PRESIDENT 19 TIMES OUT OF 20 POLLS GONE WILD THE LAWSUIT AND THE LURKER FOOTBALL PLAYERS AND GEYSER ERUPTIONS SNOOPING IN THE ABBOT’S GARDEN FINAL WORD

9 Faking Probabilities: Computer Simulation

MAHOGANY DICE AND MODULAR ARITHMETIC RANDOM AND NOT-SO-RANDOM DIGITS NUMBER ONE IS NUMBER ONE IS RANDOM REALLY RANDOM? FINAL WORD

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