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Index
Cover
Contents
Title
Copyright
Dedication
Preface
Acknowledgments
Chapter 1: The World in 2050
A Preview of the Future
A Decrease in Productive Capacity
Squandering Prosperity
Chapter 2: The Original America is the New Brazil
The Country of the Future
The Origins of America
The Mythic Brazil
A Difficult Dream to Realize
Can America’s Destiny Be Fulfilled in Brazil?
Chapter 3: How Brazil Became Endowed for Prosperity in a Collapsing World
The Impact of Topography
Yesterday’s Limitations as Today’s Strengths
Three Radical Changes
Chapter 4: Prosperity and Energy Density
Denser Energy Equals a Rise in Prosperity
Coal and Adam Smith
The Phases of Extracting Energy
The Shift from Coal to Oil and World War I
Peak Oil and Declining Money
The Competition for Prosperity
The SS Great Britain Sails Again
Chapter 5: Malthus Again
The Dynamics of Weather
Not Wrong, but Early
Waiting for Our Malthusian Moment
The Next Little Ice Age
“The Dog That Did Not Bark”
Putting Two and Two Together
A New Maunder Minimum
Dearth, Insanity, and Revolution
Chapter 6: Deficit Attention Disorder
How Debtism Changed the World
Debtism Helps Politicians Manipulate You
The U.S. Budget Deficits Would Make Greece Blush
Worse than the Great Depression
The Collapse of the Boom
Chapter 7: “Rome” Falls, Again
Slip-Sliding Down the Road to National Insolvency
Welcome to the Second Decline and Fall of “Rome”
Americans as the New Illegal Emigrants
Chapter 8: The Sunny Side of the Leverage Cycle
You Are in Steerage on a Sinking Ship
Stopping Runaway Spending
Important Lessons from Hyperinflation
Leverage and Growth
GDP Gains Based on Income Growth
Chapter 9: A Bounty of Water and Land
Brazil and Water
Brazil Reinvents Agriculture
Chapter 10: Reversing the Gap
The Zero Sum Growth Game
Grim Prospects
Pulling the Plug
Submerging Economies
Rio is the New Houston
Leading the Way in Renewable Energy
Let there Be Light
Declining Power after an Energy Transition
Chapter 11: Demographic Turbocharge
China Takes a Dive?
Brazil’s Demographic Bonus
A Laboratory for New Products
A Real Cultural Melting Pot
Chapter 12: Back to the Future
Is Brazil Following the United States Too Closely?
Weight
Effects on Health Care
Diversity Issues
Infrastructure
Corruption
Bureaucracy
Custo Brasil
Credit
Chapter 13: On the Outside Looking In
Conclusions
“Plagiarize, Plagiarize, Why Not Use Your Eyes?”
Coming Soon: Financial Repression
From the Empire Settlement Act to Unsettling Choices
Looking at BRICs
Making the Move
About the Author
Index
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