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Imperial Library
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Index
Cover Page
Title Page
Dedication
Copyright Page
Contents
Foreword
Introduction
Chapter 1: The Bystanders Among Us
Chapter 2: Human Biases and Distortions
Chapter 3: Understanding Uncertainty: Why Did So Many People Bet Against Katrina?
Chapter 4: Space Shuttle Challenger: Cold, Warm, and Hot Causes of Disasters
Chapter 5: Chernobyl, Faulty Design, and the Interplay of Humans and Technology
Chapter 6: The Vioxx Disaster and BP: The Seduction of Profits
Chapter 7: When All the Backups Failed: How American F-15s Accidentally Shot Down Two U.S. Army Black Hawks
Chapter 8: Butterfly Wings and Stone Heads: How Complexity Influences Catastrophe in Policy Decisions
Chapter 9: The Collapse of Arthur Andersen: The Role of Organizational Culture
Chapter 10: When Countries Go Bankrupt: The Prisoner’s Dilemma Writ Large
Chapter 11: What Have We Learned? What Can We Do?
Chapter 12: Advice for Leaders
Afterword by Daniel Ellsberg: When the Leaders Are the Problem
Acknowledgments
Notes
Sources
About the Authors
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