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Index
Cover
Title Page
Contents
About the Author
Dedication
Introduction: Thinking, Critically
Part One: EVALUATING NUMBERS
Plausibility
Fun with Averages
Axis Shenanigans
Hijinks with How Numbers Are Reported
How Numbers Are Collected
Probabilities
Part Two: EVALUATING WORDS
How Do We Know?
Identifying Expertise
Overlooked, Undervalued Alternative Explanations
Counterknowledge
Part Three: EVALUATING THE WORLD
How Science Works
Logical Fallacies
Knowing What You Don’t Know
Bayesian Thinking in Science and in Court
Four Case Studies
Conclusion: Discovering Your Own
Appendix: Application of Bayes’s Rule
Notes
Glossary
Acknowledgments
Follow Penguin
Copyright Page
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