The Post-Crisis Irish Voter · Voting Behaviour in the Irish 2016 General Election by Farrell, David M. -- Read -- Imperial Library of Trantor

Index

Half-Title Title Copyright Contents List of figures and tables Notes on contributors Editors’ preface 1 Ireland’s post-crisis election

Background to the 2016 election The 2016 INES Key themes Overview of chapters Conclusion Note

2 Mining the ballot: Preferences and transfers in the 2016 election

Introduction Stability of preferences Choice options and number of preferences Polarization of lower preferences First and second preferences The value of transfers Conclusion

3 Ideological dimensions in the 2016 elections

Introduction Decline of environmental constraints Ideological dimensions Left and right Local factors Globalization Analysis of ideological dimensions Left and right in Ireland A dimensional analysis of preference rankings A new globalization dimension Conclusion Chapter Appendix

4 Social and ideological bases of voting

Introduction Expectations Measurement Ideological profile of Irish voters Social bases of ideological beliefs Social bases of voting Ideological bases of voting Social and ideological model of voting Explaining voter dynamics: Vote choice of Fine Gael deserters Conclusion

5 Party identification in the wake of the crisis: A nascent realignment?

Introduction The meaning and measurement of party identification in Ireland Changing patterns of party identification in Ireland Conclusion

6 Why did the ‘recovery’ fail to return the government?

Introduction What recovery? Perception of recovery Who was responsible for the recovery? Evaluations and the vote Conclusion What does this mean? Chapter appendix

7 Party or candidate?

Introduction Party versus candidate The electoral context of 2016 Voters’ motivations: Party or candidate? The relationship between attitudes and behaviour Independent voters Conclusion Chapter appendix

8 Political fragmentation on the march: Campaign effects in 2016

Introduction Literature review Campaign 2016 When voters decide and why? Conclusion

9 The impact of gender quotas on voting behaviour in 2016

Introduction The historical context Aggregate analysis 2016 Individual-level voting data The psychology of voting for women Discussion Chapter appendix

10 What do Irish voters want from and think of their politicians?

Introduction Expectations regarding the background and role of parliamentary representatives Contact with parliamentary representatives Do Irish voters trust their politicians? Conclusion

11 Popularity and performance? Leader effects in the 2016 election

Introduction: What role for leaders in shaping the vote? Leaders and vote choice: State of the art Leaders and vote choice: The Irish case Leader popularity in Election 2016 Leaders and vote choice in Election 2016 Leader popularity and vote totals Conclusion

Appendix

INES2 2016 questionnaire (RED C) INES3 2016 questionnaire (RED C)

Index