Fortune's Formula · the Untold Story of the Scientific Betting System That Beat the Casinos and Wall Street by Poundstone, William -- Read -- Imperial Library of Trantor

Index

ALSO BY WILLIAM POUNDSTONE Copyright Dedication Epigraph Prologue: The Wire Service PART ONE: ENTROPY

Claude Shannon Project X Emmanuel Kimmel Edward Thorp Toy Room Roulette Gambler’s Ruin Randomness, Disorder, Uncertainty The Bandwagon John Kelly, Jr. Private Wire Minus Sign

PART TWO: BLACKJACK

Pearl Necklace Reno Wheel of Fortune More Trouble Than an $18 Whore The Kelly Criterion, Under the Hood Las Vegas The First Sure Winner in History Deuce-Dealing Dottie Bicycle Built for Two

PART THREE: ARBITRAGE

Paul Samuelson The Random Walk Cosa Nostra This Is Not the Time to Buy Stocks IPO Bet Your Beliefs Beat the Market James Regan Resorts International Michael Milken Robert C. Merton Man vs. Machine Why Money Managers Are No Good Enemies List Widows and Orphans

PART FOUR: ST. PETERSBURG WAGER

Daniel Bernoulli Nature’s Admonition to Avoid the Dice Henry Latané The Trouble with Markowitz Shannon’s Demon The Feud Pinball Machine It’s a Free Country Keeping Up with the Kellys Though Years to Act Are Long All Gambles Are Alike A Tout in a Bad Suit My Alien Cousin

PART FIVE: RICO

Ivan Boesky Rudolph Giuliani With Tommy Guns Blazing The Parking Lot Welcome to the World of Sleaze Ultimatum Princeton-Newport Partners, 1969–88 Terminator The Only Guy on Wall Street Who’s Not a Rat

PART SIX: BLOWING UP

Martingale Man Kicking and Screaming I’ve Got a Bad Feeling About This Thieves’ World Fat Tails and Frankenstein Survival Motive Eternal Luck Life’s Rich Emotional Experiences

PART SEVEN: SIGNAL AND NOISE

Shannon’s Portfolio Egotistical Orangutans Indicators Project Hong Kong Syndicate The Dark Side of Infinity

Notes Bibliography Acknowledgments

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