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Index
Cover
Copyright
Preface
What this book covers
Who this book is for
How the book is structured
Charts
Introduction
A Brief History of Betfair
Part One – Getting Started
1. Betting Basics
A simple trade
Betfair pricing
Probability
Betting terminology
How does a bookmaker make money?
Betfair commission
The benefits of in-play trading
Trading price movement
Greening up
Using the more options tab to help create an ‘all green’ book
2. Hardware and Software Requirements
Connection
Costs
Live TV feed and in-play markets
Part Two – The Trading Process
3. The Learning Process
The Three Learning Phases
Characteristics of the successful trader
The trader’s journey
4. Having Attainable Goals
Winning can be bad
Set realistic goals
Case study
5. Your Trading Bank
The rules of capitalisation
Trading in fear
Starting small
The serious trader
Stake size
6. Paper and Minimum Stake Trading
Paper trading
Test your system with the minimum stake
Testing your emotions
7. Learning From Mistakes
8. Keeping a Trading Diary
9. Trading From a Plan
Trading Plans & Systems
10. Trading Systems
11. Learn How the Markets React
12. Back-testing
13. Make Sure Your Strategy Has Been Historically Profitable
14. Randomness and High Probability Trades
Randomness and sport
15. Mistakes and Warning Signs
Overtrading
Gambling Addiction
Part Three – Money Management and Risk
16. Protecting Your Bank
Treat your money with the respect it deserves
Winning starts with a solid defence
17. A Money Management Plan
How much should be risked on each trade
How to calculate position size
Always know your profit objective
Part Four – Trading Psychology
18. Learning to Accept Losses
19. Be a Contrarian
Examples of contrary thinking
20. Trading in Your Own Time Frame
Different time frames
Experiment and find your niche
21. Balancing Trading and Living
1. Look after yourself
2. Know when to take a break
3. Withdraw money regularly
Part Five – Strategies
22. Introduction
Overreaction in the markets
Find your ideal market
23. Football
Trading the erosion of time
Underdog taking the lead
Pre-match over/under 2.5 goals
Trading the national team
24. Tennis
Trading the favourites during tournament progression
Back-testing a strategy
Tennis strategies
25. Twenty20 Cricket
1st innings trading opportunities
2nd innings trading opportunities
The best time to lay
Volatile market strategy
Advance lay/back plans and stop loss
General tips
What to avoid in Twenty20 trading
26. Golf
Information gathering and live feeds
Your second and third trade
Some stats to bear in mind
Low scoring tournaments
Players’ reputations
Hole-by-hole comparisons
Final round trading
Part Six – The Rules for Mastering Betfair
Conclusion
Appendices
I. A Month Trading Tennis
Madrid Open
1st Round
2nd Round
Final
Warsaw Open
1st Round
2nd Round
Quarter-finals
Semi-final
Final
II. Results of Analysis on Tennis Strategies
Introduction
Back at 2.00 strategy
Back at 1.50 strategy
III. Explanation of Charts Used in the Book
Chart headings & reference points
IV. Odds Comparison Chart
V. Resources
Betting exchanges
Betting blogs and forums
Software
Media
Sport-specific websites
Advice, strategies and systems
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