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Index
Cover About The Book Series Title Page Copyright Ignition TIMELINE THIS BOOK AND NEW-GENERATION FINANCIAL MODELLING THE STRUCTURE OF THE BOOK ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Abbreviations and Notation ACRONYMS: PROBABILITY MEASURES, EXPECTATIONS, FILTRATIONS PRODUCTS PAYOFFS, TERMS, VARIABLES AND PRICES VECTOR/MATRIX NOTATION et al. Part I: Counterparty Credit Risk, Collateral and Funding Chapter 1: Introduction 1.1 A DIALOGUE ON CVA 1.2 RISK MEASUREMENT: CREDIT VaR 1.3 EXPOSURE, CE, PFE, EPE, EE, EAD 1.4 EXPOSURE AND CREDIT VaR 1.5 INTERLUDE: P AND Q 1.6 BASEL 1.7 CVA AND MODEL DEPENDENCE 1.8 INPUT AND DATA ISSUES ON CVA 1.9 EMERGING ASSET CLASSES: LONGEVITY RISK 1.10 CVA AND WRONG WAY RISK 1.11 BASEL III: VaR OF CVA AND WRONG WAY RISK 1.12 DISCREPANCIES IN CVA VALUATION: MODEL RISK AND PAYOFF RISK 1.13 BILATERAL COUNTERPARTY RISK: CVA AND DVA 1.14 FIRST-TO-DEFAULT IN CVA AND DVA 1.15 DVA MARK-TO-MARKET AND DVA HEDGING 1.16 IMPACT OF CLOSE-OUT IN CVA AND DVA 1.17 CLOSE-OUT CONTAGION 1.18 COLLATERAL MODELLING IN CVA AND DVA 1.19 RE-HYPOTHECATION 1.20 NETTING 1.21 FUNDING 1.22 HEDGING COUNTERPARTY RISK: CCDS 1.23 RESTRUCTURING COUNTERPARTY RISK: CVA-CDOs AND MARGIN LENDING Chapter 2: Context 2.1 Definition of Default: Six basic cases 2.2 DEFINITION OF EXPOSURES 2.3 DEFINITION OF CREDIT VALUATION ADJUSTMENT (CVA) 2.4 COUNTERPARTY RISK MITIGANTS: NETTING 2.5 COUNTERPARTY RISK MITIGANTS: COLLATERAL 2.6 FUNDING 2.7 VALUE AT RISK (VaR) aND EXPECTED SHORTFALL (ES) OF CVA 2.8 THE DILEMMA OF REGULATORS AND BASEL III Chapter 3: Modelling the Counterparty Default 3.1 FIRM VALUE (OR STRUCTURAL) MODELS 3.2 FIRM VALUE MODELS: HINTS AT THE MULTINAME PICTURE 3.3 REDUCED FORM (INTENSITY) MODELS 3.4 INTENSITY MODELS: THE MULTINAME PICTURE Part II: Pricing Counterparty Risk: Unilateral CVA Chapter 4: Unilateral CVA and Netting for Interest Rate Products 4.1 FIRST STEPS TOWARDS A CVA PRICING FORMULA 4.2 THE PROBABILISTIC FRAMEWORK 4.3 THE GENERAL PRICING FORMULA FOR UNILATERAL COUNTERPARTY RISK 4.4 INTEREST RATE SWAP (IRS) PORTFOLIOS 4.5 NUMERICAL TESTS 4.6 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 5: Wrong Way Risk (WWR) for Interest Rates 5.1 MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS 5.2 NUMERICAL METHODS 5.3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 5.4 CONTINGENT CDS (CCDS) 5.5 RESULTS INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS Chapter 6: Unilateral CVA for Commodities with WWR 6.1 OIL SWAPS AND COUNTERPARTY RISK 6.2 MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS 6.3 FORWARD VERSUS FUTURES PRICES 6.4 SWAPS AND COUNTERPARTY RISK 6.5 UCVA FOR COMMODITY SWAPS 6.6 INADEQUACY OF BASEL’S WWR MULTIPLIERS 6.7 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 7: Unilateral CVA for Credit with WWR 7.1 INTRODUCTION TO CDSs WITH COUNTERPARTY RISK 7.2 MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS 7.3 CDS OPTIONS EMBEDDED IN CVA PRICING 7.4 UCVA FOR CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS: A CASE STUDY 7.5 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 8: Unilateral CVA for Equity with WWR 8.1 COUNTERPARTY RISK FOR EQUITY WITHOUT A FULL HYBRID MODEL 8.2 COUNTERPARTY RISK WITH A HYBRID CREDIT-EQUITY STRUCTURAL MODEL 8.3 MODEL CALIBRATION AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS 8.4 COUNTERPARTY RISK AND WRONG WAY RISK Chapter 9: Unilateral CVA for FX 9.1 PRICING WITH TWO CURRENCIES: FOUNDATIONS 9.2 UNILATERAL CVA FOR A FIXED-FIXED CCS 9.3 UNILATERAL CVA FOR CROSS CURRENCY SWAPS WITH FLOATING LEGS 9.4 WHY A CROSS CURRENCY BASIS? 9.5 CVA FOR CCS IN PRACTICE 9.6 NOVATIONS AND THE COST OF LIQUIDITY 9.7 CONCLUSIONS Part III: Advanced Credit and Funding Risk Pricing Chapter 10: New Generation Counterparty and Funding Risk Pricing 10.1 INTRODUCING THE ADVANCED PART OF THE BOOK 10.2 WHAT WE HAVE SEEN BEFORE: UNILATERAL CVA 10.3 UNILATERAL DEBIT VALUATION ADJUSTMENT (UDVA) 10.4 BILATERAL RISK AND DVA 10.5 UNDESIRABLE FEATURES OF DVA 10.6 CLOSE-OUT: RISK-FREE OR REPLACEMENT? 10.7 CAN WE NEGLECT THE FIRST-TO-DEFAULT TIME? 10.8 PAYOFF RISK 10.9 COLLATERALIZATION, GAP RISK AND RE-HYPOTHECATION 10.10 FUNDING COSTS 10.11 RESTRUCTURING COUNTERPARTY RISK 10.12 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 11: A First Attack on Funding Cost Modelling 11.1 THE PROBLEM 11.2 A CLOSER LOOK AT FUNDING AND DISCOUNTING 11.3 THE APPROACH PROPOSED BY MORINI AND PRAMPOLINI (2010) 11.4 WHAT NEXT ON FUNDING? Chapter 12: Bilateral CVA–DVA and Interest Rate Products 12.1 ARBITRAGE-FREE VALUATION OF BILATERAL COUNTERPARTY RISK 12.2 MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS 12.3 NUMERICAL METHODS 12.4 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION 12.5 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 13: Collateral, Netting, Close-Out and Re-Hypothecation 13.1 TRADING UNDER THE ISDA MASTER AGREEMENT 13.2 BILATERAL CVA FORMULA UNDER COLLATERALIZATION 13.3 CLOSE-OUT AMOUNT EVALUATION 13.4 SPECIAL CASES OF COLLATERAL-INCLUSIVE BILATERAL CREDIT VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 13.5 EXAMPLE OF COLLATERALIZATION SCHEMES 13.6 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 14: Close-Out and Contagion with Examples of a Simple Payoff 14.1 INTRODUCTION TO CLOSE-OUT MODELLING AND EARLIER WORK 14.2 CLASSICAL UNILATERAL AND BILATERAL VALUATION ADJUSTMENTS 14.3 BILATERAL ADJUSTMENT AND CLOSE-OUT: RISK-FREE OR REPLACEMENT? 14.4 A QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS AND A NUMERICAL EXAMPLE 14.5 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 15: Bilateral Collateralized CVA and DVA for Rates and Credit 15.1 CBVA FOR INTEREST RATE SWAPS 15.2 MODELLING CREDIT CONTAGION 15.3 CBVA FOR CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS 15.4 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 16: Including Margining Costs in Collateralized Contracts 16.1 TRADING UNDER THE ISDA MASTER AGREEMENT 16.2 CBVA GENERAL FORMULA WITH MARGINING COSTS 16.3 CHANGING THE COLLATERALIZATION CURRENCY 16.4 CONCLUSIONS Chapter 17: Funding Valuation Adjustment (FVA)? 17.1 DEALING WITH COSTS OF FUNDING 17.2 COLLATERAL- AND FUNDING-INCLUSIVE BILATERAL VALUATION ADJUSTED PRICE 17.3 FUNDING RISK AND LIQUIDITY POLICIES 17.4 CBVA PRICING EQUATION WITH FUNDING COSTS (CFBVA) 17.5 DETAILED EXAMPLES 17.6 CONCLUSIONS: FVA AND BEYOND Chapter 18: Non-Standard Asset Classes: Longevity Risk 18.1 INTRODUCTION TO LONGEVITY MARKETS 18.2 LONGEVITY SWAPS: THE PAYOFF Π 18.3 MARK-TO-MARKET FOR LONGEVITY SWAPS 18.4 COUNTERPARTY AND OWN DEFAULT RISK, COLLATERAL AND FUNDING 18.5 AN EXAMPLE OF MODELLING SPECIFICATION FROM BIFFIS ET AL. (2011) 18.6 DISCUSSION OF THE RESULTS IN BIFFIS ET AL. (2011) Chapter 19: Conclusions and Further Work 19.1 A FINAL DIALOGUE: MODELS, REGULATIONS, CVA/DVA, FUNDING AND MORE
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