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Imperial Library
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Index
Contents
Title
Copyright
Acknowledgments
Introduction
Part I: Aftershock
Chapter 1: Bubblequake and Aftershock—A Quick Review of How We Got Here and What’s Next
You Are Not Asleep with the Sheep
Bubblequake! First a Rising Bubble Economy, Now a Falling Bubble Economy
From Boom to Bust: The Virtuous Upward Spiral Becomes a Vicious Downward Spiral
Why Don’t Most Conventional Investors See This Coming?
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
Chapter 2: Since We Last Spoke . . .
Ignoring the Massive Money Printing (the Dollar Bubble) Is a Key Goal of the Cheerleaders
Potential Triggers That Could Accelerate a Downtrend in the U.S. Economy
A Closer Look at the Current U.S. “Recovery”
Bottom Line: “Recovery” Is Still Driven by Massive Borrowing and Massive Money Printing
Our Investment Outlook
The 2012 Presidential Election
In Conclusion
Chapter 3: Conventional Wisdom Won’t Work This Time
The Key to Conventional Wisdom: The Future Will Be Just Like the Past
The Myth of a Natural Growth Rate
Real Productivity Growth Is Slowing Down, Here and Around the World
Warren Buffett: Master of Conventional Wisdom
The Key to Aftershock Wisdom Investing: The Future Is Not the Past!
This Debate Is Really Not About Inflation or Deflation, It’s About Protecting the Status Quo with Denial
How to Invest in a Falling Bubble Economy
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
Part II: Aftershock Investing
Chapter 4: Taking Stock of Stocks
Love Story: How Stocks Became the Heart of Most Investment Portfolios
How Are Stocks Valued? It’s All about Earnings
Conventional Wisdom on Stocks
Why Conventional Wisdom Is Wrong
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
Our Current Recommendations
Chapter 5: Bye-Bye Bonds
What Are Bonds?
Conventional Wisdom on Bonds: The Safety of the Recent Past Means We Can Count on More Safety Ahead
Why Conventional Wisdom on Bonds Is Wrong
The Final Two Bubbles in America’s Multibubble Economy Will Pop
Bonds Will Fail in Three Stages
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
Chapter 6: Getting Real about Real Estate
What Really Drives Real Estate Prices?
The Real Estate Bubble Rises
Conventional Wisdom about Real Estate: Continued Low Interest Rates for as Far as the Eye Can See
Why Conventional Wisdom about Real Estate Is Wrong
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
Timing Your Exits Out of Real Estate
The High Cost of Doing Nothing
Chapter 7: Threats to the Safety Nets
All Insurance and Annuities Are Essentially Investments in Bonds, Stocks, Even Real Estate
Conventional Wisdom on Whole Life Insurance and Annuities: Perfectly Safe and Worth Every Penny!
Why Conventional Wisdom Is Wrong: Facing the Real 800-Pound Gorilla in the Room
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
Chapter 8: Gold
Gold Was Golden for Centuries
Current Conventional Wisdom on Gold as an Investment: Warren Buffett Says Stay Away!
Why Conventional Wisdom on Gold Is Wrong
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
How to Buy Gold
Owning Gold as Part of a Well-Diversified Actively Managed Aftershock Portfolio
How High Will Gold Go?
Part III: Your Aftershock Game Plan
Chapter 9: Aftershock Jobs and Businesses
The Rising Bubble Economy Created Huge Job Growth; Now the Falling Bubble Economy Means Fewer Jobs
Conventional Wisdom about Future Jobs Is Based on Faith that the Future Will Be Like the Past
Why Conventional Wisdom on Jobs Is Wrong
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
The Falling Bubbles Will Have Varying Impacts on Three Broad Economic Sectors
Opportunities after the Bubbles Pop: Cashing In on Distressed Assets
Should I Go to College?
Chapter 10: Aftershock Retirement and Estate Planning
Types of Retirement Plans
The Conventional Wisdom on Retirement Plans
Why the Conventional Wisdom on Retirement Is Wrong
What’s a Savvy Aftershock Investor to Do?
Retirement Q&A
Estate Planning: Making the Most of Your Assets for Yourself and Your Heirs
Chapter 11: Your Aftershock Investment Portfolio
Aftershock Portfolio Strategy
Key Components
Do It Yourself or Bring in Help?
Timing—Better to Move Too Early than Too Late
The Last Resort: The Stock Market Holiday (the Ultimate Reason Why You Need to Move Early Rather than Later)
The Moral
Epilogue
Appendix: Additional Background on Stocks and Bonds
Index
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