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Index
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xix
Prologue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . xxiii
CHAPTER 1
The Best and Worst Mindsets for Profitable Investing . . 3
CHAPTER 2
The Search for Something Simple, Useful,
Bond-Stock Valuation Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Investments to Be Compared . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
The General Concept of Bond-Stock Valuation
Money Goes Where It Is Best Treated . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Interest Rate Relationships and Past Performance . . . . 17
Further Observations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
CHAPTER 3
Averaging Yields of Longer-Term Treasury Notes
Compare Earnings Yields from Stocks to Interest
Commentary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
CHAPTER 4
92.6% Reliability: Increasing Returns and
The Basic Principles of the Double-Entry
Condition #2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
Blended Performance (1981–2007) . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
Periods with Lower Profit Potential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
A Signal to Stay Absolutely Clear of the
Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
CHAPTER 5
The Significance of Breadth in the Stock Market . . . . . 50
Advance-Decline Indicators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
Required Data to Calculate Breadth Signals . . . . . . . . 54
The Calculations Required for the Weekly
The Next Step—Creating a Six-Week Exponential
The First Step in Maintaining Exponential
Applying the Formula: First Example . . . . . . . . . . . . 62
Calculating the Exponential Moving Average
Summing Up . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
Final Review . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
The Historical Performance Record of Breadth
Final Thoughts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81
CHAPTER 6
Evaluating the Benefits of TWIBBS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85
Final Thoughts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88
CHAPTER 7
Analysis of Table 7.2: The Best Pockets
How the Timing Models Allow You to Take
The Nest Is Empty—A Final Burst of Accumulation . . 99
Retirement Period . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101
CHAPTER 8
How and Why Diversification Works . . . . . . . . . . . . 107
How Diversification Performs Its Magic . . . . . . . . . . 109
A High-Velocity Diversified Portfolio for Aggressive
Past Performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114
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