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Index
Cover
Half Title page
Title page
Copyright page
Preface
Part I: Motivations and Foundations
Chapter 1: Quantitative Methods: Should We Bother?
1.1 A Decision Problem Without Uncertainty: Product Mix
1.2 The Role of Uncertainty
1.3 Endogenous vs. Exogenous Uncertainty: Are We Alone?
1.4 Quantitative Models and Methods
1.5 Quantitative Analysis and Problem Solving
References
Chapter 2: Calculus
2.1 A Motivating Example: Economic Order Quantity
2.2 A Little Background
2.3 Functions
2.4 Continuous Functions
2.5 Composite Functions
2.6 Inverse Functions
2.7 Derivatives
2.8 Rules for Calculating Derivatives
2.9 Using Derivatives for Graphing Functions
2.10 Higher-Order Derivatives and Taylor Expansions
2.11 Convexity and Optimization
2.12 Sequences and Series
2.13 Definite Integrals
References
Chapter 3: Linear Algebra
3.1 A Motivating Example: Binomial Option Pricing
3.2 Solving Systems of Linear Equations
3.3 Vector Algebra
3.4 Matrix Algebra
3.5 Linear Spaces
3.6 Determinant
3.7 Eigenvalues and Eigenvectors
3.8 Quadratic Forms
3.9 Calculus in Multiple Dimensions
References
Part II: Elementary Probability and Statistics
Chapter 4: Descriptive Statistics: On the Way to Elementary Probability
4.1 What Is Statistics?
4.2 Organizing and Representing Raw Data
4.3 Summary Measures
4.4 Cumulative Frequencies and Percentiles
4.5 Multidimensional Data
References
Chapter 5: Probability Theories
5.1 Different Concepts of Probability
5.2 The Axiomatic Approach
5.3 Conditional Probability and Independence
5.4 Total Probability and Bayes’ Theorems
References
Chapter 6: Discrete Random Variables
6.1 Random Variables
6.2 Characterizing Discrete Distributions
6.3 Expected Value
6.4 Variance and Standard Deviation
6.5 A Few Useful Discrete Distributions
References
Chapter 7: Continuous Random Variables
7.1 Building Intuition: From Discrete to Continuous Random Variables
7.2 Cumulative Distribution and Probability Density Functions
7.3 Expected Value and Variance
7.4 Mode, Median, and Quantiles
7.5 Higher-Order Moments, Skewness, and Kurtosis
7.6 A Few Useful Continuous Probability Distributions
7.7 Sums of Independent Random Variables
7.8 Miscellaneous Applications
7.9 Stochastic Processes
7.10 Probability Spaces, Measurability, and Information
References
Chapter 8: Dependence, Correlation, and Conditional Expectation
8.1 Joint and Marginal Distributions
8.2 Independent Random Variables
8.3 Covariance and Correlation
8.4 Jointly Normal Variables
8.5 Conditional Expectation
References
Chapter 9: Inferential Statistics
9.1 Random Samples and Sample Statistics
9.2 Confidence Intervals
9.3 Hypothesis Testing
9.4 Beyond The Mean of One Population
9.5 Checking The Fit of Hypothetical Distributions: The Chi-Square Test
9.6 Analysis of Variance
9.7 Monte Carlo Simulation
9.8 Stochastic Convergence and The Law of Large Numbers
9.9 Parameter Estimation
9.10 Some More Hypothesis Testing Theory
References
Chapter 10: Simple Linear Regression
10.1 Least-Squares Method
10.2 The Need for A Statistical Framework
10.3 The Case of A Nonstochastic Regressor
10.4 Using Regression Models
10.5 A Glimpse of Stochastic Regressors and Heteroskedastic Errors
10.6 A Vector Space Look at Linear Regression
References
Chapter 11: Inferential Statistics
11.1 Before We Start: Framing The Forecasting Process
11.2 Measuring Forecast Errors
11.3 Time Series Decomposition
11.4 Moving Average
11.5 Heuristic Exponential Smoothing
11.6 A Glance At Advanced Time Series Modeling
References
Part III: Models for Decision Making
Chapter 12: Deterministic Decision Models
12.1 A Taxonomy of Optimization Models
12.2 Building Linear Programming Models
12.3 A Repertoire of Model Formulation Tricks
12.4 Building Integer Programming Models
12.5 Nonlinear Programming Concepts
12.6 A Glance At Solution Methods
References
Chapter 13: Decision Making Under Risk
13.1 Decision Trees
13.2 Risk Aversion and Risk Measures
13.3 Two-Stage Stochastic Programming Models
13.4 Multistage Stochastic Linear Programming With Recourse
13.5 Robustness, Regret, and Disappointment
References
Chapter 14: Multiple Decision Makers, Subjective Probability, and Other Wild Beasts
14.1 What Is Uncertainty?
14.2 Decision Problems with Multiple Decision Makers
14.3 Incentive Misalignment in Supply Chain Management
14.4 Game Theory
14.5 Braess’ Paradox for Traffic Networks
14.6 Dynamic Feedback Effects and Herding Behavior
14.7 Subjective Probability: The Bayesian View
References
Part IV: Advanced Statistical Modeling
Chapter 15: Introduction to Multivariate Analysis
15.1 Issues in Multivariate Analysis
15.2 An Overview of Multivariate Methods
15.3 Matrix Algebra and Multivariate Analysis
References
Chapter 16: Advanced Regression Models
16.1 Multiple Linear Regression by Least Squares
16.2 Building, Testing, and Using Multiple Linear Regression Models
16.3 Logistic Regression
16.4 A Glance At Nonlinear Regression
References
Chapter 17: Dealing with Complexity: Data Reduction and Clustering
17.1 The Need for Data Reduction
17.2 Principal Component Analysis (PCA)
17.3 Factor Analysis
17.4 Cluster Analysis
References
Index
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