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Index
List of Figures and Tables Acknowledgments About the Authors Part I: Overview and Evolution of Foreign Policy Analysis
1 Introduction: The Situation and Evolution of Foreign Policy Analysis: A Road Map
Hallmarks of Foreign Policy Analysis Theory
Explanandum: That Which Is to Be Explained in FPA Explanans: That Which Will Provide Explanation in FPA
FPA Is Possible and Valuable to IR (and Comparative and Policy Studies)
An Example: Waltz, Wendt, and FPA
A Road Map of FPA: FPA’s Beginnings and Three Paradigmatic Works Classic FPA Scholarship (1954–1993)
Group Decisionmaking Comparative Foreign Policy The Psychological and Societal Milieux of Foreign Policy Decisionmaking FPA Self-Reflection in the Late 1970s and 1980s
Foreign Policy Analysis from 1993 to the Present
A Road Map of the Book
Part II: Levels of Analysis
2 The Individual Decisionmaker: The Political Psychology of World Leaders
When and Which? Exploring the Components of the Mind
Perception and Cognition Heuristic Fallacies Emotion and Reason The Body and Decisionmaking The Situational Context Attitudes and the Mental Model—and What Lies Beneath
Approaching Leaders
Psychobiography Content Analysis Other Techniques Case Study: Saddam Hussein
3 Group Decisionmaking: Small Group Dynamics, Organizational Process, and Bureaucratic Politics
Small Group Dynamics Organizational Process
Essence Turf Budget and Personnel Influence Morale Autonomy
Bureaucratic Politics
Stakeholders Action Channels Resultants Levers of Manipulation Coalitions Subversion and Equalizers The Games Case Study: Detention of Foreign Terrorists at Guantánamo
4 Culture and National Identity
Conceptualizing Culture and National Identity
The Study of Culture
The Interface: Culture and Foreign Policy
Shared Systems of Meaning in Foreign Policy and Foreign Policymaking Differences in Values and Preferences in Foreign Policy and Foreign Policymaking Prefabricated Templates of Action in Foreign Policy and Foreign Policymaking
Thoughts on Moving Ahead
5 Domestic Politics
The Domestic Polity: Characteristics and Institutions Actors in Domestic Politics Case Study: Iran, U.S. Domestic Politics and the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action Regime Strategy on the Domestic Game Board Strategy and Foreign Policy
Case Study: U.S. Involvement in Vietnam
6 The Levels of National Attributes and International System: Effects on Foreign Policy
National Attributes and Foreign Policy
Size Natural Resources Geography Demographics Political System Military Capabilities Economic Capabilities
The International System and Foreign Policy
System Attributes and Their Effect on Foreign Policy Concepts of System Transition and Transition’s Effect on Foreign Policy
Part III: Putting It All Together, or Not
7 Theoretical Integration in Foreign Policy Analysis
Cross-Level Integration: Promise and Frustration Obstacles to Systematized, Cross-Level Theoretical Integration in Foreign Policy Analysis Rosenau’s Pre-Theories Brecher and Wilkenfeld: The Question of Quantitative versus Qualitative Integration Rule-Based Production Systems CREON II Efforts A Promise yet to Be Fulfilled Integrating FPA Theory and IR Theory
Neoclassical Realism Behavioral IR
8 The Future of Foreign Policy Analysis
Foreign Policy Analysis beyond North America Less Developed Levels of Analysis Scope Conditions The Dependent Variable Methodology Integration across Levels of Analysis Real Interdisciplinarity Critical Insights and Constructivism Policymaking Evaluation Pedagogy
Bibliography Index
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