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Index
Cover
Table of Contents
Preface
Acknowledgments
About the Author
CHAPTER 1: Volatility and Options
1.1 WHAT IS AN OPTION?
1.2 OPTIONS ARE BETS ON VOLATILITY
1.3 OPTION PREMIUMS AND BREAKEVENS
1.4 STRIKE CONVENTIONS
1.5 WHAT IS VOLATILITY?
1.6 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 2: Understanding Options Without a Model
2.1 VANILLA OPTIONS
2.2 MAKING ASSUMPTIONS
2.3 UNDERSTANDING Vt WITH ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
2.4 DELTA AND DELTA HEDGING
2.5 THE VALUE FUNCTION
2.6 DEFINING DELTA
2.7 UNDERSTANDING DELTA
2.8 DELTA AS THE PROBABILITY OF AN IN‐THE‐MONEY EXPIRY
2.9 APPLYING DELTA AS THE PROBABILITY OF AN ITM EXPIRY IN PRACTICAL TRADING
2.10 CONSTRUCTING Vt
2.11 OPTION DELTAS
2.12 A NOTE ON FORWARDS
2.13 PUT–CALL PARITY
2.14 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 3: The Basic Greeks: Theta
3.1 THETA, θ
3.2 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 4: The Basic Greeks: Gamma
4.1 GAMMA, Г
4.2 GAMMA AND TIME DECAY
4.3 TRADERS' GAMMA, Гtrader
4.4 GAMMA–TIME DECAY TRADE‐OFFS IN MORE DETAIL
4.5 PnL EXPLAIN
4.6 DELTA HEDGING AND PnL VARIANCE
4.7 TRANSACTION COSTS
4.8 DAILY PnL EXPLAIN
4.9 THE GAMMA PROFILE
4.10 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 5: The Basic Greeks: Vega
5.1 VEGA
5.2 UNDERSTANDING VEGA VIA THE PDF
5.3 UNDERSTANDING VEGA VIA GAMMA TRADING
5.4 VEGA OF AN ATMS OPTION ACROSS TENORS
5.5 VEGA AND SPOT
5.6 DEPENDENCE OF VEGA ON IMPLIED VOLATILITY
5.7 VEGA PROFILES APPLIED IN PRACTICAL OPTIONS TRADING
5.8 VEGA AND PnL EXPLAIN
5.9 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 6: Implied Volatility and Term Structure
6.1 IMPLIED VOLATILITY, σimplied
6.2 TERM STRUCTURE
6.3 FLAT VEGA AND WEIGHTED VEGA GREEKS
6.4 FORWARD VOLATILITY, FORWARD VARIANCE, AND TERM VOLATILITY
6.5 BUILDING A TERM STRUCTURE MODEL USING DAILY FORWARD VOLATILITY
6.6 SETTING BASE VOLATILITY USING A THREE‐PARAMETER GARCH MODEL
6.7 VOLATILITY CARRY AND FORWARD VOLATILITY AGREEMENTS
6.8 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 7: Vanna, Risk Reversal, and Skewness
7.1 RISK REVERSAL
7.2 SKEWNESS
7.3 DELTA SPACE
7.4 SMILE IN DELTA SPACE
7.5 SMILE VEGA
7.6 SMILE DELTA
7.7 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 8: Volgamma, Butterfly, and Kurtosis
8.1 THE BUTTERFLY STRATEGY
8.2 VOLGAMMA AND BUTTERFLY
8.3 KURTOSIS
8.4 SMILE
8.5 BUTTERFLIES AND SMILE VEGA
8.6 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 9: Black‐Scholes‐Merton Model
9.1 THE LOG‐NORMAL DIFFUSION MODEL
9.2 THE BSM PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION (PDE)
9.3 FEYNMAN‐KAC
9.4 RISK‐NEUTRAL PROBABILITIES
9.5 PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THE BREAKEVEN IN THE BSM MODEL
9.6 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 10: The Black‐Scholes Greeks
10.1 SPOT DELTA, DUAL DELTA, AND FORWARD DELTA
10.2 THETA
10.3 GAMMA
10.4 VEGA
10.5 VANNA
10.6 VOLGAMMA
10.7 TRADER'S SUMMARY
CHAPTER 11: Predictability and Mean Reversion
11.1 THE PAST AND THE FUTURE
11.2 EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
APPENDIX A: Probability
A.1 PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTIONS (PDFS)
APPENDIX B: Calculus
Glossary
References
Index
End User License Agreement
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