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Index
Title Page
Copyright Page
Praise for Trading Commodities and Financial Futures, Third Edition
Dedication Page
Contents
Important Risk Disclosures
Acknowledgments
About the Author
Introduction
1. The Four Essentials
Do you have what it takes?
Patience
Knowledge
Guts
Health and rest
2. How to Become a Successful Trader
3. A Diabolical Story
4. The Futures Primer
Futures markets and the futures contract
It is as easy to sell “short” as to buy “long”
Margin and leverage
Delivery months
Brokers and commissions
The players
Basis risk
The short hedge
The long hedge
The basis
Speculators versus hedgers
How is the price determined?
Order placement
Another true story
5. The Options Course
An options primer
An option for what?
Advantages and disadvantages of options
Types of options
Strike prices
Styles of options
How are option prices quoted?
Buy ’em and sell ’em
Advantages and disadvantages of selling options
How options work
How are option prices determined?
How changes in the price of the underlying commodity change an option’s premium
Exercising profitable options
Should you ever exercise an option?
If selling options puts the odds in my favor, why not do it?
Options as a hedging tool
Stock index options
Advanced option strategies
Straddles and strangles
Ratios
Eight winning option trading rules
6. The Intermediate Trading Course (Or Just Enough Knowledge to Be Dangerous!)
Fundamental analysis
Technical analysis
Which is best: fundamental or technical analysis?
The 4 futures groupings
Financial futures
Energies
Agriculturals
Metals
Continuing your commodity trading education
Contrary opinion theory
Spreads
7. Algorithms Eliminating People
Open outcry is dead
Rogue algos
Exploding volatility
Speeds accelerating
Melding the old with the new
Panics, manias, and bubbles
Explosive commodity demand
8. The Advanced Trading Course
Fundamentals versus technicals
Does technical analysis really work?
The trend is your friend
Basic chart analysis
The trendline
Trend channels
Support and resistance
Breakouts from consolidation
Additional classic chart patterns
Volume
Open interest
RSI
Stochastics
Elliot wave analysis
Point and figure charts
Japanese candlestick charts
Spreads—a valuable forecasting tool
Head and shoulders
GK’s significant news indicator
Breaking par
9. The Moving Averages Primer
Bottom pickers versus trend followers
A moving picture
The simple moving average
How many days should you use in your moving average?
Alternatives to the SMA
Exponential and weighted moving averages
Natural numbers
10. GK’s Pivot Indicator
Generating the buy signal
Generating the sell signal
The pivot indicator method in practice
Diversification
11. And Finally
Determining your motive
Overcoming the six hurdles to trading success
Developing the winning touch
If you don’t feel right, you won’t trade right
Jesse’s secret
Comments or questions?
Appendix. 25 Trading Secrets of the Pros
Secret 1: The trend is your friend!
Secret 2: When a market is cheap or a market is expensive, there probably is a good reason
Secret 3: The best trades are the hardest to do
Secret 4: Have a plan before you trade and then work it
Secret 5: Be aggressive
Secret 6: No regrets
Secret 7: Money management is the key
Secret 8: Success comes easier when you specialize
Secret 9: Patience pays
Secret 10: Guts are as important as patience and more important than money
Secret 11: The “tape” (quotes) will trick you
Secret 12: Be skeptical
Secret 13: Be time cognizant
Secret 14: Watch the reaction to “the news”
Secret 15: Never trade when you’re sick, worried, or tired
Secret 16: Overtrading: your greatest enemy
Secret 17: Keep a cool head during blow-offs
Secret 18: Never let a good profit turn into a loss
Secret 19: When in doubt, get out
Secret 20: Spread your risks by diversification
Secret 21: Pyramid the correct way
Secret 22: Watch for breakouts from consolidation
Secret 23: Go with the relative strength
Secret 24: Limit moves are important indicators of support and resistance
Secret 25: Never average a loss
Index
Financial Times Press
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