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Index
Cover page
Halftitle page
Title page
Copyright page
Dedication page
Acknowledgements
Contents
List of figures
Introduction
An outline of the book
1. Radical optimism and the technology bias
Does technological progress increase subjective well-being?
Radically optimistic forecasts
How should we prioritize technological progress?
Concluding comments
2. Is there a law of technological progress?
Moore’s Law, Kryder’s Law, and exponential technological improvement
Two questions about exponential technological progress
Exponential technological improvement as a conditional law
What went wrong with cancer?
Kurzweil’s evolutionary explanation of exponential technological progress
The difference between reflexive andpassive improvement
Exponential technological improvement is infectious
Concluding comments
3. Does technological progress make us happier?
The traditional paradox of progress
How we hedonically adapt to new well-being technologies
Complete or incomplete hedonic adaptation?
Concluding comments
4. The new paradox of progress
Gibbon versus Ridley on historical happiness
The perils of attitudinal time travel
Hedonic normalization
How to make comparisons that best reveal the effects of technological progress
Complete or incomplete hedonic normalization
Why hedonic normalization is probably incomplete
The new paradox of technological progress
Concluding comments
5. We need technological progress experiments
Technological progress traps
Two ideals of technological progress
The fear of falling behind
How is progress dangerous?
Rehabilitating the idea of technology experiments
Jared Diamond on the natural experiments of traditional societies
Creating and nurturing variation in technological progress
A nuclear power progress experiment
Why should the winners share with the losers?
A progress experiment on genetically modified crops
The future of technological progress
Concluding comments
6. Why technological progress won’t end poverty
Poverty and well-being
Ordinary and emergency circumstances of poverty
Radically optimistic solutions to poverty
Were there poor people in the Pleistocene?
How poverty affects life satisfaction
Misunderstanding the happiness of the Sun King
Evidence from status competitions for the relevance of social context
Economic and technological trickledown
Concluding comments
7. Choosing a tempo of technological progress
Comparing different tempos of progress
Technological progress makes diminishing marginal contributions to well-being
Mobile phones and cancer therapies
The importance of subjectively positive technological progress
Concluding comments
Afterword Don’t turn well-being technologies into Procrustean beds
Endnotes
Index
AHA!
Elegance in Science
Free
Happiness
The Fourth Revolution
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