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Index
COVER
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
TITLE PAGE
DEDICATION
LIST OF FIGURES
LIST OF TABLES
Introduction
CHAPTER 1: Uncertainty is Personal
CHAPTER 2: Putting Uncertainty into Numbers
CHAPTER 3: Taming Chance with Probability
CHAPTER 4: Surprises and Coincidences
CHAPTER 5: Luck
CHAPTER 6: It’s All a Bit Random
CHAPTER 7: Being Bayesian
CHAPTER 8: Science and Uncertainty
CHAPTER 9: How Much Confidence Do We Have in Our Analysis?
CHAPTER 10: What, or Who, is to Blame? Causality, Climate and Crime
CHAPTER 11: Predicting the Future
CHAPTER 12: Risk, Failure and Disaster
CHAPTER 13: Deep Uncertainty
CHAPTER 14: Communicating Uncertainty and Risk
CHAPTER 15: Making Decisions and Managing Risks
CHAPTER 16: The Future of Uncertainty
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
NOTES
GLOSSARY
INDEX
COPYRIGHT
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