Ukraine and Russia: From Civilied Divorce to Uncivil War by Paul D'Anieri -- Read -- Imperial Library of Trantor

Index

Half title Title page Imprints page Dedication Contents Maps Tables Acknowledgments Additional material 1 The Sources of Conflict over Ukraine

Competing Visions and Interests after the Cold War Debating the Causes of the War Locating the Sources of International Conflict The Approach: Historical and Analytical Analytical Themes Competing Goals and Incompatible Perceptions of the Status Quo The Security Dilemma Democracy and Power Politics Domestic Constraints and State Strength Proximate Causes Overview of the Book

Summary

2 New World Order? 1989‒1993

Introduction The Road to Ukrainian Independence Creating a State Belavezha: The Civilized Divorce The Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) Problems of Economic Coordination and the Collapse of the Ruble Zone The Black Sea Fleet, Sevastopol, and Crimea The Emergence of Energy Politics Poland: The Dog that Didn’t Bark Ukraine’s Domestic Political Instability Western Aid: A Missed Opportunity? Nuclear Weapons and the Security Dilemma Russia, the “Near Abroad,” and Ukraine Clinton, Yeltsin, and Russian Democracy The Prehistory of NATO Expansion Conclusion

3 Hope and Hardship, 1994‒1999

Russia Debates Its Role Ukraine’s 1994 Elections Kuchma’s “Multivector” Foreign Policy Trade and the Commonwealth of Independent States Crimea The Black Sea Fleet and the 1997 Friendship Treaty Bosnia Drives a Wedge Kuchma and the United States Ukraine and NATO Ukraine and the European Union Kosovo Deepens Russia’s Conflict with the West Conclusion

4 Autocracy and Revolution, 1999‒2004

Kuchma’s Consolidation and the Foreign Policy Effects Deteriorating Ties with the West Kuchma’s Turn toward Russia The EU, Ukraine, and Russia The Evolution of Energy Politics The West, Russia, and Ukraine The Orange Revolution: Prelude The Orange Revolution: Crisis and Aftermath

Consequences of the Orange Revolution

Conclusion

5 Reform and Reversal, 2004‒2010

The Collapse of the Orange Coalition and the Resurrection of Viktor Yanukovych Foreign Policy under Yushchenko Russia Responds to the Orange Revolution Ukraine and the EU Energy Politics The West, Russia, and Ukraine The Bucharest Summit Russia Invades Georgia Reset and Overload The Road to Ukraine’s 2010 Presidential Election Conclusion

6 Viktor Yanukovych and the Path to Confrontation, 2010‒2013

Yanukovych Consolidates Power 2012 Parliamentary Elections A New Pivot to Russia The 2012 Language Law Russia, the United States, and Europe Integration: The European Union and Russia Compete for Ukraine Yanukovych, Autocracy, and Revolution Conclusion

7 From Revolution to War, 2013‒2015

The Emergence of Protest: November‒December 2013 Yanukovych Looks to Russia Reaction in Russia and the West Russia Seizes Crimea The West Responds on Crimea NATO’s Response Intervention in Eastern Ukraine Russia’s Diplomatic Offensive Attempts at Conflict Resolution Ukraine Holds Elections The Conflict Grows The West’s Response to the War in Eastern Ukraine MH17: The Conflict Changes Course From Geneva to Normandy to Minsk The Battle for Debaltseve and Minsk-2 Conclusion

8 Conclusion: Ukraine, Russia, and the West ‒ from Cold War to Cold War

Disagreements from the Start Events That Drove Wedges Events and Explanations Was War Inevitable? Russia’s Motives Prospects for Peace Potential Ends to the Conflict Compromise? The New Conflict in Europe A Final Word

Index