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Index
Cover Half Title Title Page Copyright Page Contents Preface to the eleventh edition Preface to the tenth edition Preface to the ninth edition Preface to the eighth edition In memoriam Preface to the seventh edition Preface to the fifth edition Preface to the fourth edition Preface to the second edition Foreword Part I: Technical theory
Chapter 1: The technical approach to trading and investing
Definition of technical analysis
Chapter 2: Charts
Different types of scales
Chapter 3: The Dow Theory
The Dow Averages Basic tenets
Tide, wave, and ripple Major trend phases Principle of confirmation
Chapter 4: The Dow Theory’s defects
The Dow Theory is too late The Dow Theory is not infallible
The Dow Theory frequently leaves the investor in doubt The Dow Theory does not help the Intermediate Trend investor
The Dow Theory in the 20th and 21st centuries
Chapter 5: Replacing Dow Theory with John Magee’s Basing points Procedure
The fractal nature of the market
Chapter 6: Important Reversal Patterns
Important Reversal Patterns Time required to reverse a trend The Head-and-Shoulders Top Formation Volume is important Breaking the neckline Variations in Head-and-Shoulders Tops Price action following confirmation: the measuring formula Relation of Head-and-Shoulders to Dow Theory
Chapter 7: Important Reversal Patterns: continued
Head-and-Shoulders (EN: or Kilroy) Bottoms Multiple Head-and-Shoulders Patterns Tendency to symmetry A leisurely pattern Rounding Tops and Bottoms How Rounding Turns affect trading activity The Dormant Bottom variation Volume pattern at Tops
Chapter 8: Important Reversal Patterns: the Triangles
Symmetrical Triangles Some cautions about Symmetrical Triangles How prices break out of a Symmetrical Triangle A typical Triangle development Reversal or Consolidation The Right-Angle Triangles A planned distribution Descending Triangles Volume characteristics same as the Symmetrical type Measuring implications of Triangles Triangles on weekly and monthly charts Other Triangular formations
Chapter 9: More important Reversal Patterns
The Rectangles, Double and Triple Tops Pool operations Relation of rectangle to Dow Line Rectangles from Right-Angle Triangles Double and Triple Tops and Bottoms Distinguishing characteristics Double Bottoms Triple Tops and Bottoms
Chapter 10: Other Reversal phenomena
The Broadening Formations Volume during Broadening Formations A typical example The Orthodox Broadening Top Why no Broadening Bottoms? Right-Angled Broadening Formations The Diamond Wedge Formations The Falling Wedge Wedges on weekly and monthly charts Rising Wedges common in Bear Market Rallies The One-Day Reversal The Selling Climax Short-term phenomena of potential importance Spikes Runaway Days Key Reversal Days
Chapter 11: Consolidation Formations
Flags and Pennants The Pennant: a pointed Flag The measuring formula Reliability of Flags and Pennants Where they may be expected Flag pictures on weekly and monthly charts Rectangular Consolidations: an early phase phenomenon Head-and-Shoulders Consolidations Scallops: repeated Saucers Modern versus old-style markets
Chapter 12: Gaps
Which gaps are significant? Closing the gap Ex-dividend gaps
The common or area gap Breakaway gaps Continuation or runaway gaps and the measuring rule Two or more runaway gaps Exhaustion gaps
The Island Reversal Gaps in the Averages
Chapter 13: Support and Resistance
Normal trend development The explanation Estimating Support–Resistance potential Locating precise levels Significance of Support failure Popular misconceptions The round figures Repeating historical levels Pattern Resistance Volume on breaks through Support Support and Resistance in the Averages
Chapter 14: Trendlines and Channels
The Trendline How Trendlines are drawn Arithmetic versus logarithmic scale Tests of authority Validity of penetration Amendment of Trendlines Double Trendlines and trend ranges Trend Channels Experimental Lines Consequences of Trendline penetration: Throwbacks Intermediate Downtrends Corrective trends: the Fan Principle
Chapter 15: Major Trendlines
Major Downtrends Major Trend Channels Trendlines in the Averages Trading the Averages in the 21st century
Chapter 16: Technical analysis of commodity charts
Technical analysis of commodity charts, part 2: a 21st-century perspective Rocket scientists Turtles? The application of Edwards and Magee’s methods to 21st-century futures markets
Stops
A variety of methods Everything you need to know as a chart analyst trading futures
Chapter 17: A summary and concluding comments
Technical analysis and technology in the 21st century: the computer and the internet: tools of the investment/information revolution The importance of computer technology
Summary 1
Other technological developments of importance to the technical Magee analyst and all investors
The Internet: the eighth wonder of the modern world (EN9: Appendix B, Resources, for the ninth edition has been enormously expanded and is of paramount importance to modern investors.) Marking-to-market Separating the wheat from the chaff Chaff Summary 2
Advancements in investment technology, part 1: developments in finance theory and practice
Options Quantitative analysis Options pricing models and their importance Futures on indexes Options on futures and indexes Modern Portfolio Theory The wonders and joys of investment technology
Advancements in investment technology, part 2: futures and options on futures on the Dow–Jones Industrial Index at the CBOT
Investment and hedging strategies using the CBOT® DJIASM futures contract Settlement of futures contracts Marking-to-market Fungibility Differences between cash and futures Dow Index futures Using stock index futures to control exposure to the market Investment uses of Dow Index futures
Situation 1: Portfolio protection Situation 2: Increasing exposure with futures Situation 3: Using bond and index futures for asset allocation
Perspective Options on Dow Index futures Option premiums Volatility Exercising the option Using futures options to participate in market movements Profits in rising markets Exploiting market reversals Using puts to protect profits in an appreciated portfolio
Situation 1
Improving portfolio yields
Situation 2
Using option spreads in high- or low-volatility markets
Situation 3 Situation 4
Perspective
Recommended further study
Part II: Trading tactics
Chapter 18: The tactical problem
Strategy and tactics for the long-term investor—What’s a speculator? What’s an investor? One definition of the long-term investor The strategy of the long-term investor Rhythmic investing Summary
Chapter 19: The all-important details
The simplest and most direct way to use a computer for charting analysis Summary
Chapter 20: The kind of stocks we want: the speculator’s viewpoint
The kind of stocks we want: the long-term investor’s viewpoint
Changing opinions about conservative investing
The kinds of stocks long-term investors want: the long-term investor’s viewpoint Construction of the Index Shares and similar instruments
An outline of instruments available for trading and investing
The importance of these instruments: diversification, dampened risks, tax, and technical regularity Summary
Chapter 21: Selection of stocks to chart Chapter 22: Selection of stocks to chart: continued Chapter 23: Choosing and managing high-risk stocks: tulip stocks, Internet sector, and speculative frenzies
Managing tulipomanias and Internet frenzies and…Bitcoin Detailed techniques for management of the runaway issues Hope springs eternal and there is one born every second
Chapter 24: The probable moves of your stocks Chapter 25: Two touchy questions
The use of margin Short selling
Chapter 26: Round lots or odd lots? Chapter 27: Stop orders
The progressive stop Stop systems and methods A brief survey of stop methods Some other stop methods
Average True Range Parabolic stop and reverse Target stops
A natural method used by the Turtles
Chapter 28: What is a Bottom and what is a Top?
Basing Points Basing Points: a case analyzed The Basing Points paradigm
Key to Figure 28.2 analysis
A narrative of the events in the chart The complete Basing Points Procedure: taking into consideration the setting of Basing Points on both wave lows and new highs The complete Basing Points procedure Two charts giving a long-view perspective on the complete (Variant 2) procedure The representative case fully analyzed using wave lows and new highs A narrative of the events in the chart
Chapter 29: Trendlines in action
Buying stock, “going long” Liquidating, or selling a long position Selling stock short Covering short sales Additional suggestions General outline of policy for trading in the Major Trend
Chapter 30: Use of Support and Resistance Chapter 31: Not all in one basket
EN: diversification and costs
Chapter 32: Measuring implications in technical chart patterns Chapter 33: Tactical review of chart action
The Dow Theory Head-and-Shoulders Top Head-and-Shoulders Bottom Complex or multiple Head-and-Shoulders Rounding Tops and Bottoms Symmetrical Triangles Right-Angle Triangles Broadening Tops Rectangles Double Tops and Bottoms Right-Angled Broadening Formations The Diamond Wedges One-Day Reversals Flags and Pennants Gaps Support and Resistance Trendlines
Chapter 34: A quick summation of tactical methods
Get out of present commitments Make new commitments
Chapter 35: Effect of technical trading on market action Chapter 36: Automated trendline: the Moving Average
Sensitizing Moving Averages Crossovers and penetrations The PENTAD Moving Average system from Formula Research
Chapter 37: The same old patterns
Not all the same
Chapter 38: Balanced and diversified
September 28, 1985: an oversold market
Chapter 39: Trial and error Chapter 40: How much capital to use in trading Chapter 41: Application of capital in practice
Put and call options
Chapter 42: Portfolio risk management
Overtrading: a paradox Risk of a single stock Risk of a portfolio EN9: Risk and trend Value-at-Risk procedure Pragmatic Portfolio Theory (and practice) Pragmatic portfolio risk measurement
Determining the risk of one stock Determining the risk for a portfolio
Measuring maximum drawdown (maximum retracement) Pragmatic portfolio analysis: measuring the risk
Portfolio Ordinary or Operational Risk Portfolio risk over time Portfolio extraordinary or catastrophic risk
Controlling the Risk Summary of Risk and Money Management Procedures Infinitely more sophisticated risk and money management procedures—Ralph Vince and optimal f
Chapter 43: Stick to your guns
Appendix A: The Dow Theory in practice Appendix B: Resources Appendix C: Technical Analysis: beyond Edwards & Magee List of Illustrations and Text Diagrams Alphabetic Index of Stock Charts Glossary Bibliography Index
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