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Index
About This eBook
Title Page
Copyright Page
Praise for Breaking Failure
Dedication Page
Contents
Acknowledgments
About the Author
Introduction
State of Management
Applicability of These Concepts
Benefiting from the Topic
1. Failure & Stagnation
Failure, Failure Everywhere
Underperformance
The Overlooked Costs of Failure: The Intangibles and Opportunity Costs
The Clogged Pipeline
The Causes of Failure
Why Is Failure So Prevalent?
Final Thoughts on Failure
2. Don’t Start Off on the Wrong Foot
The Action Bias
Frames
Framework Selection
The Domain Transfer of Failure Mode and Effect Analysis
Brief History of FMEA and Its Adoption by Different Disciplines
Objectives of the FMEA
Best Practices for a Successful FMEA
Components That Make Up a FMEA
Examples of Preventive Measures
Detection Measures
3. The Business Failure Audit and the Domain Transfer of Root Cause Analysis
How Should One Proceed? The Domain Transfer of Root Cause Analysis
Differences Between an RCA and Functional Area Audits
The Adoption of Functional Area Audits
Background and Use of the Failure Audit (Root Cause Analysis)
NASA’s RCA Methodology
How to Conduct the Failure Audit: An Overview
The Start of the RCA—The Fault Tree (Step 5)
Step 6: Creating the Event and Causal Tree
Step 7: The Final Recommendations
4. The Early Warning System
Background
Creating a Z-Score Metric for Other Areas of Business
The Option of Building a More Sophisticated EWS
Creating the EWS and Its Foundation, the Causal Forecast
Step 1: The Assumptions
Leading Versus Lagging Indicators (The Foundation for Steps 2–4)
Step 2: Identifying All the Available Data
Step 3: Best Practices When Selecting and Categorizing Leading and Lagging Indicators
Step 4: Adding the “Connector” Assumptions
Step 5: Entering Leading, Lagging, and Connectors into a Spreadsheet
Step 6: Calculating the Variance
Step 7: Calculating a Weighed Scored
Step 8: The EWS Dashboard
Step 9: Troubleshooting: When the EWS Shows Underperformance
5. Blind Spots and Traps
Areas of Failure: Knowns and Unknowns
The “Known-Knowns”
Problem 1: Faulty Research
Problem 2: Leaving Out Key Questions or Data Points
Problem 3: The Purchase Intent Fallacy
Problem 4: Correlation Does Not Imply Causation
Problem 5: Cherry-Picked Data
Problem 6: The Shiny Object Compulsion and Losing Sight of the “Basics”
The “Known-Unknowns”: Forecasting
Improving Forecasts
The “Unknown–Unknowns”
6. The Preplanned Exit Strategy
The Trigger
What Should Never Factor into the Decision
Company, Product, and Market Exits
The “In-Between” Strategies (or Plan B)
Differences Between Retrenchment, Contraction, and Retargeting
Tools for Uncovering Contraction and Retargeting Strategies
Different Scenarios
Exit Strategies
The Psychology of the Exit Decision
The Harvesting Strategy: The Slow Exit
Faster Exit Strategies
The Spin-Off
The Sale
Liquidation and Voluntary Closure
Epilogue. Challenges with Domain Transfers and the Next Major Domain Transfer
Facilitating Adoption
Finding the Team Leader
Triggers, Protocols, and Documentation
Incentivizing Behaviors
Professional Certifications
An Unlikely but Potential Solution
The Future Domain Transfer: Artificial Intelligence
How Artificial Intelligence Works
Artificial Intelligence Players
Walled Garden Ecosystem Versus “Democratized” Artificial Intelligence
Failure and Artificial Intelligence
The Potential of AI in Business
Artificial Intelligence: The Known-Unknown
Appendix. The Early Warning System-Details
Step 5: Entering Leading, Lagging, and Connectors into a Spreadsheet
Step 6: Calculating the Variance
Step 7: Calculating a Weighed Scored
Step 8: The Early Warning System Dashboard
Step 9: Troubleshooting: When the EWS Shows Underperformance
Digging Deeper
The Return on Promotion (ROP)
Endnotes
Chapter 1, “Failure & Stagnation”
Chapter 2, “Don’t Start Off on the Wrong Foot”
Chapter 3, “The Business Failure Audit and the Domain Transfer of Root Cause Analysis”
Chapter 4, “The Early Warning System”
Chapter 5, “Blind Spots and Traps”
Chapter 6, “The Preplanned Exit Strategy”
Epilogue
Index
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