Causes of War: Power and the Roots of Conflict by Stephen van Evera -- Read -- Imperial Library of Trantor

Index

Tables and Diagrams Acknowledgments 1. Introduction

Questions Addressed, Why They Arise Arguments Advanced, Answers Offered Implications for Realism Methods Plan of the Book

2. False Optimism: Illusions of the Coming War

False Hope and War Illusions of Victory Illusions of Cheap War To Prevent War, Promote Transparency

3. Jumping the Gun: First-Move Advantages and Crisis Instability

First-Strike, First-Mobilization, and First-Move Advantages Hypotheses on the Effects of First-Move Advantages Tests of Stability Theory Causes of and Cures for First-Move Advantage

4. Power Shifts: Windows of Opportunity and Vulnerability

Types of Windows Hypotheses on the Effects of Windows Tests of Window Theory Causes and Cures of Windows

5. Cumulative Resources

What Is Cumulativity? Cumulativity and Conflict Types of Cumulativity Beliefs about Cumulativity and Their Implications The Future of Cumulativity

6. Offense, Defense, and the Security Dilemma

7. Offense-Defense Theory and the Outbreak of World War I

The Rise of the Cult of the Offensive, 1890–1914 Predictions of Offense-Defense Theory about Europe, 1890–1914 Evidence on Offense-Defense Theory, 1890–1914 Offense-Defense Theory and the Test of 1914 Explaining World War I

8. The Nuclear Revolution and the Causes of War

MAD among Deferrable States MAD among Nondeterrable States; MAD among Many States Alternatives to MAD: MARNE, BAD, WORSE, and USA The Janus-Faced Revolution

9. Conclusion Appendix: Hypotheses on Power and the Causes of War