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Index
Mindset of a value investor Value investing psychology
Four things to understand before becoming a value investor Are you a value investor or a speculator? Main characteristics of value investors – mindset The efficient market hypothesis and the issues with passive investment vehicles Value investing beats growth investing Understanding behavioral finance
Defining risk, the value investing way
What is investing risk? A value investing definition of risk Expanding value investing mindset The theory of reflexivity and value investing Shareholder value creation and destruction – earnings, buybacks – corporate management The focus is on the stock price Beware of fees and Wall Street’s interests
Technical value investing The art of business valuation
Valuation can’t be precise TOOL #1 Using a range of values for investment decision making Four steps for determining value TOOL #2 Net present value calculation (NPV) TOOL #3 Liquidation value TOOL #4 Stock market price TOOL #5 Look at what could be the value of the company for a private owner (takeover) Intrinsic value TOOL #6 Measuring Intrinsic Value TOOL #7 Return on invested capital (ROIC) TOOL #8 Growth is a key component of value TOOL #9 The cyclically adjusted price earnings ratio (CAPE)
The margin of safety
Identifying a margin of safety TOOL #10 Cash per share/net cash per share TOOL #11 Dividend sustainability
The business moat
Using qualitative factors to analyze the risks of a company TOOL #12 - Determining a business moat TOOL #13 – Use what none of the great investors had before 1998 – Google TOOL #14 - Analyzing the quality/integrity of the management TOOL #15 - Potential activist involvement can be considered a margin of safety
Do not lose money
TOOL #16 - It all boils down to the price you pay TOOL #17 Analyze the cyclicality of a sector TOOL #18 - Analyze the impact of the natural cyclicality of an economy TOOL # 19 - Look for of future catalysts TOOL# 20 Avoid secular declines in a sector TOOL# 21 Looking at significant insider activity TOOL #22 Check the sustainability of the dividend TOOL #23 Determining market sentiment TOOL #24 Look at the quality of the assets on the balance sheet
How to find bargains
TOOL #25 - How and where to find bargain investments?
Applying the analysis tools on Daimler
Value investing Tools application on Daimler Daimler’s intrinsic values Investing with a margin of safety Sector analysis Is Daimler a value trap?
Beyond value investing Portfolio activities
Portfolio Management & Trading - The Value Investing Way When to sell a stock
Hedging and protection is also valuable
Value investing and hedging
Avoid value traps
10 Rules for catching falling knives
Food for thought
Value investing is not all there is in the world of investing All Weather portfolio Temporal diversification Mediocristan, extremistan and the highly improbable The case for owning a bit of gold miners in your portfolio Personal investing story
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