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Index
List of Figures List of Tables Preface 1 Introduction 2 The Context
The Constitutional Framework Congressional Districts
Partisan Gerrymandering Redistricting between Censuses Racial Gerrymandering Bipartisan Gerrymanders
The Republican Advantage in House Districts
States as Electoral Units
Election Laws Political Parties Social and Political Contexts Conclusion
3 Congressional Candidates
The Incumbency Factor
Measuring the Value of Incumbency The Vanishing Marginals
Sources of the Incumbency Advantage
The Institutional Characteristics of Congress Changes in Voting Behavior Constituency Service The Variability of the Incumbency Advantage
Discouraging the Opposition Money in Congressional Elections
The Connection between Money and Success Why Campaign Money Is More Important to Challengers Than to Incumbents
The Career in the District Motivating Challengers
4 Congressional Campaigns
Campaign Money
Contributions to Candidates PACs PACs and the Pivotal 1994 Election Party Money Contributions from Other Members of Congress Self-Financing by Candidates Fund-Raising Tactics and Donors
Independent, Voter-Education, and Issue-Advocacy Campaigns Campaign Organizations
Campaign Strategies Campaign Media Personal Campaigning
Campaign Messages
Challengers’ Campaigns Going Negative Incumbents’ Campaigns Candidates for Open Seats
Senate Campaigns Manipulating Turnout Conclusion
5 Congressional Voters
Turnout in Congressional Elections Who Votes? Partisanship in Congressional Elections
Alternative Interpretations of Party Identification Partisanship and Voting
Partisanship and Incumbency Information and Voting
Recall and Recognition of Candidates
Contacting Voters Changing Evaluations of Incumbents Issues in Congressional Elections
6 National Politics and Congressional Elections
Political Interpretations of Congressional Elections Models of Aggregate Congressional Election Results Presidential Coattails National Conditions and Strategic Politics Campaign Themes House Elections, 1992–2014
1992–2000 2002–2010 2012 and 2014
Senate Elections, 1992–2014
1992–2000 2002–2010 2012 and 2014
Conclusion
7 Elections, Representation, and the Politics of Congress
Representation Policy Congruence The Changing Relationship between Constituencies and Roll-Call Votes Constituents, Interests, and Causes Representation by Referendum Descriptive Representation Policy Consequences
Particularism Serving the Organized Responsiveness without Responsibility
The Congressional Parties: Decline and Revival The Revival of Party Cohesion, 1980–2014
Ideological Polarization in Congress and the Electorate Polarization in Presidential Support Party Polarization: The Electoral Connection Diverging Electoral Constituencies Chicken or Egg?
The Downside of Strong Party Government The Public’s Evaluations of Congress Reforming Congress
Term Limits
2016 and Beyond: Geography and Demography
Bibliography
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