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Index
Contents
Title
Copyright
Dedication
Acknowledgments
Introduction: Code Red
Part One
Chapter One: The Great Experiment
How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Inflation
Alphabet Soup: ZIRP, QE, LSAP
Quantitative Easing, a.k.a. Money Printing
Debasing Your Currency
Navigating a Code Red World
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Two: Twentieth-Century Currency Wars
The 1930s: First Mover Wins
The Euro: Today’s Gold Standard
The 1970s: Weaker Currencies, Higher Inflation
Today versus the 1930s and 1970s
Currency Wars and Japan
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Three: The Japanese Tsunami
The Quake and the Sandpile
Banzai! Banzai!
Three Arrows
Let’s Export Our Deflation
Reform and the Demographics of Doom
The Hard Part: Structural Reform
Six Impossible Things
A Modern Currency War
Gentlemen, They Offer Us Their Flank
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Four: A World of Financial Repression
Inflation and Interest Rates
Financial Repression: Back to the Future
Taxes by Another Means
Will Real Inflation Please Stand Up?
Inflation Is Your Friend
Repression Hurts Retirees
Everything Is Overpriced
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Five: Arsonists Running the Fire Brigade
The Cult of Central Bankers
Promoting Failure
No Apologies, Only Promotions
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Six: Economists Are Clueless
Assume a Perfect World
Objects in the Rearview Mirror Are Larger than They Appear
The Definition of Insanity
Using Leading Indicators
Making Decisions in Real Time
Too Loose for Too Long
The Return of the 1970s
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Seven: Escape Velocity
Stuck in a Liquidity Trap
The Economic Singularity
The Minsky Moment
The Event Horizon
The Glide Path
Where’s the High Inflation?
Escaping the Liquidity Trap
Overstaying One’s Welcome
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Eight: What Will Happen When It All Goes Wrong
How Are Your Navigation Skills?
A Red Balloon Full of Nitroglycerin
The Mechanics of Exit
QE = Hotel California
When Deleveraging Gives Way to Credit Expansion, Watch Out for Inflation
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Nine: Easy Money Will Lead to Bubbles and How to Profit from Them
Excess Liquidity Creating Bubbles
Humans Never Learn
Anatomy of Bubbles and Crashes
Anatomy of Bubbles and Crashes
Keep Moving, There’s Nothing to See
Carry Trades and Bubbles
What You Can Do in Bubbles
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Part Two: Managing Your Money
Chapter Ten: Protection through Diversification
A Portfolio for All Seasons
Avoid Making Mistakes
Betting on Tail Risks
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Eleven: How to Protect Yourself against Inflation
Inflation and Taxes Are Toxic for Investors
Inflation: Who Wins, Who Loses
Annuities, Stocks, and Bonds
Buy Companies That Benefit from Inflation
Build a Moat around Your Stocks
Beware of False Moats
Buy at the Right Time
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Chapter Twelve: A Look at Commodities, Gold, and Other Real Assets
The Commodities Supercycle Is Dead
The Biggest Buyer Stumbles
What Really Moves Gold Prices
Key Lessons from the Chapter
Conclusion
Afterword
About the Authors
Index
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