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Index
Title Page
NOTE TO THE READER
PREFACE
CHAPTER 1 - Monday, August 24, 1654
RISK
A LONG STRUGGLE
THE PROBLEM OF THE POINTS
CHAPTER 2 - A Problem Worthy of Great Minds
PROBABILITY
STRUGGLING TOWARD THE SOLUTION
PASCAL AND FERMAT
THE STRATEGY
CHAPTER 3 - On the Shoulders of a Giant
NUMBER WAS THE KEY
THE REMARKABLE MAN FROM MILAN
CHAPTER 4 - A Man of Slight Build
AN ABUNDANCE OF TALENTS
FIRST LETTERS
PASCAL’S UNIVERSAL METHOD
CHAPTER 5 - The Great Amateur
THE LAWYER IN TOULOUSE
CHAPTER 6 - Terrible Confusions
FERMAT STUMBLES
CHAPTER 7 - Out of the Gaming Room
ONLY THE GODS KNOW WHAT TOMORROW WILL BRING
THE MAN WHO COUNTED DEAD PEOPLE
A DUTCH TREAT WITH GREAT EXPECTATIONS
CHAPTER 8 - Into the Everyday World
THE AMAZING BERNOULLIS
THE ART OF CONJECTURE
PROBABILITY GOES TO COURT
A NEW KIND OF PROBABILITY
CHAPTER 9 - The Chance of Your Life
FEAR OF FLYING
RINGING IN THE BELL CURVE
THE PRICE ON YOUR HEAD
THE REVEREND BAYES
BAYES’ FORMULA
CHAPTER 10 - The Measure of Our Ignorance
IF ONLY
MEASURING OUR IGNORANCE
PROBABILITY GOES BACK TO COURT
WHAT EXACTLY IS PROBABILITY?
THE FORESIGHT SAGA
THE KEY LETTER FROM PASCAL TO FERMAT
INDEX
Basic Ideas
Copyright Page
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