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Index
Cover
Half Title page
Title page
Copyright page
Preface
Part One: Overview and Motivation
Chapter One: Introduction to Monte Carlo Methods
1.1 Historical origin of Monte Carlo simulation
1.2 Monte Carlo simulation vs. Monte Carlo sampling
1.3 System dynamics and the mechanics of Monte Carlo simulation
1.4 Simulation and optimization
1.5 Pitfalls in Monte Carlo simulation
1.6 Software tools for Monte Carlo simulation
1.7 Prerequisites
For further reading
References
Chapter Two: Numerical Integration Methods
2.1 Classical quadrature formulas
2.2 Gaussian quadrature
2.3 Extension to higher dimensions: Product rules
2.4 Alternative approaches for high-dimensional integration
2.5 Relationship with moment matching
2.6 Numerical integration in R
For further reading
References
Part Two: Input Analysis: Modeling and Estimation
Chapter Three: Stochastic Modeling in Finance and Economics
3.1 Introductory examples
3.2 Some common probability distributions
3.3 Multivariate distributions: Covariance and correlation
3.4 Modeling dependence with copulas
3.5 Linear regression models: A probabilistic view
3.6 Time series models
3.7 Stochastic differential equations
3.8 Dimensionality reduction
3.9 Risk-neutral derivative pricing
For further reading
References
Chapter Four: Estimation and Fitting
4.1 Basic inferential statistics in R
4.2 Parameter estimation
4.3 Checking the fit of hypothetical distributions
4.4 Estimation of linear regression models by ordinary least squares
4.5 Fitting time series models
4.6 Subjective probability: The Bayesian view
For further reading
References
Part Three: Sampling and Path Generation
Chapter Five: Random Variate Generation
5.1 The structure of a Monte Carlo simulation
5.2 Generating pseudorandom numbers
5.3 The inverse transform method
5.4 The acceptance-rejection method
5.5 Generating normal variates
5.6 Other ad hoc methods
5.7 Sampling from copulas
For further reading
References
Chapter Six: Sample Path Generation for Continuous-Time Models
6.1 Issues in path generation
6.2 Simulating geometric Brownian motion
6.3 Sample paths of short-term interest rates
6.4 Dealing with stochastic volatility
6.5 Dealing with jumps
For further reading
References
Part Four: Output Analysis and Efficiency Improvement
Chapter Seven: Output Analysis
7.1 Pitfalls in output analysis
7.2 Setting the number of replications
7.3 A world beyond averages
7.4 Good and bad news
For further reading
References
Chapter Eight: Variance Reduction Methods
8.1 Antithetic sampling
8.2 Common random numbers
8.3 Control variates
8.4 Conditional Monte Carlo
8.5 Stratified sampling
8.6 Importance sampling
For further reading
References
Chapter Nine: Low-Discrepancy Sequences
9.1 Low-discrepancy sequences
9.2 Halton sequences
9.3 Sobol low-discrepancy sequences
9.4 Randomized and scrambled low-discrepancy sequences
9.5 Sample path generation with low-discrepancy sequences
For further reading
References
Part Five: Miscellaneous Applications
Chapter Ten: Optimization
10.1 Classification of optimization problems
10.2 Optimization model building
10.3 Monte Carlo methods for global optimization
10.4 Direct search and simulation-based optimization methods
10.5 Stochastic programming models
10.6 Stochastic dynamic programming
10.7 Numerical dynamic programming
10.8 Approximate dynamic programming
For further reading
References
Chapter Eleven: Option Pricing
11.1 European-style multidimensional options in the BSM world
11.2 European-style path-dependent options in the BSM world
11.3 Pricing options with early exercise features
11.4 A look outside the BSM world: Equity options under the Heston model
11.5 Pricing interest rate derivatives
For further reading
References
Chapter Twelve: Sensitivity Estimation
12.1 Estimating option greeks by finite differences
12.2 Estimating option greeks by pathwise derivatives
12.3 Estimating option greeks by the likelihood ratio method
For further reading
References
Chapter Thirteen: Risk Measurement and Management
13.1 What is a risk measure?
13.2 Quantile-based risk measures: Value-at-risk
13.3 Issues in Monte Carlo estimation of V@R
13.4 Variance reduction methods for V@R
13.5 Mean–risk models in stochastic programming
13.6 Simulating delta hedging strategies
13.7 The interplay of financial and nonfinancial risks
For further reading
References
Chapter Fourteen: Markov Chain Monte Carlo and Bayesian Statistics
14.1 Acceptance–rejection sampling in Bayesian statistics
14.2 An introduction to Markov chains
14.3 The Metropolis–Hastings algorithm
14.4 A re-examination of simulated annealing
For further reading
References
Index
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