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Imperial Library
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Index
Preface
Chapter 1: How Credit Slipped Its Leash
Opening Pandora’s Box
Constraints on the Fed and on Paper Money Creation
Fractional Reserve Banking Run Amok
Fractional Reserve Banking
Commercial Banks
The Broader Credit Market: Too Many Lenders, Not Enough Reserves
Credit without Reserves
The Flow of Funds
The Rest of the World
Notes
Chapter 2: The Global Money Glut
The Financial Account
How It Works
What Percentage of Total Foreign Exchange Reserves Are Dollars?
What to Do with So Many Dollars?
What about the Remaining $2.8 Trillion?
Debunking the Global Savings Glut Theory
Will China Dump Its Dollars?
Notes
Chapter 3: Creditopia
Who Borrowed the Money?
Impact on the Economy
Net Worth
Profits
Tax Revenue
Different, Not Just More
Impact on Capital
Conclusion
Note
Chapter 4: The Quantity Theory of Credit
The Quantity Theory of Money
The Rise and Fall of Monetarism
The Quantity Theory of Credit
Credit and Inflation
Conclusion
Notes
Chapter 5: The Policy Response: Perpetuating the Boom
The Credit Cycle
How Have They Done so Far?
Monetary Omnipotence and the Limits Thereof
The Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve
Quantitative Easing: Round One
What Did QE1 Accomplish?
Quantitative Easing: Round Two
Monetizing the Debt
The Role of the Trade Deficit
Diminishing Returns
The Other Money Makers
Notes
Chapter 6: Where Are We Now?
How Bad so Far?
Credit Growth Drove Economic Growth
So, Where Does that Leave Us?
Why Can’t TCMD Grow?
The Banking Industry: Why Still Too Big to Fail?
Global Imbalances: Still Unresolved
Vision and Leadership Are Still Lacking
Notes
Chapter 7: How It Plays Out
The Business Cycle
Debt: Public and Private
2011: The Starting Point
2012: Expect QE3
Impact on Asset Prices
2013–2014: Three Scenarios
Impact on Asset Prices
Conclusion
Notes
Chapter 8: Disaster Scenarios
The Last Great Depression
And This Time?
Banking Crisis
Protectionism
Geopolitical Consequences
Conclusion
Note
Chapter 9: The Policy Options
Capitalism and the Laissez-Faire Method
The State of Government Finances
The Government’s Options
American Solar
Conclusion
Notes
Chapter 10: Fire and Ice, Inflation and Deflation
Fire
Ice
Fisher’s Theory of Debt-Deflation
Winners and Losers
Ice Storm
Fire Storm
Wealth Preservation through Diversification
Other Observations Concerning Asset Prices in the Age of Paper Money
Protectionism and Inflation
Consequences of Regulating Derivatives
Conclusion
Notes
Conclusion
About the Author
Index
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