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Imperial Library
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Index
Title Page
About the Author
Dedication
Introduction. Why we need these lessons in seeking independence of mind, honesty and integrity
PART ONE: AN ANALYST SEES: FOUR LESSONS IN ORDERING OUR THOUGHTS
Lesson 1: Situational awareness. Our knowledge of the world is always fragmentary and incomplete, and is sometimes wrong
Lesson 2: Explanation. Facts need explaining
Lesson 3: Estimations. Predictions need an explanatory model as well as sufficient data
Lesson 4: Strategic notice. We do not have to be so surprised by surprise
PART TWO: THREE LESSONS IN CHECKING OUR REASONING
Lesson 5: It is our own demons that are most likely to mislead us
Lesson 6: We are all susceptible to obsessive states of mind
Lesson 7: Seeing is not always believing: beware manipulation, deception and faking
PART THREE: THREE LESSONS IN MAKING INTELLIGENT USE OF INTELLIGENCE
Lesson 8: Imagine yourself in the shoes of the person on the other side
Lesson 9: Trustworthiness creates lasting partnerships
Lesson 10: Subversion and sedition are now digital
PART FOUR
A final lesson in optimism
Acknowledgements
Notes and further reading
Index
Copyright
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