PART I: Overview and Evolution of Foreign Policy Analysis
1 Introduction: The Situation and Evolution of Foreign Policy Analysis: A Road Map
Hallmarks of Foreign Policy Analysis Theory
Explanandum: That Which Is to Be Explained in FPA
Explanans: That Which Will Provide Explanation in FPA
FPA Is Possible and Valuable to IR (and Comparative and Policy Studies)
An Example: Waltz, Wendt, and FPA
A Road Map of FPA: FPA’s Beginnings and Three Paradigmatic Works
Classic FPA Scholarship (1954–1993)
The Psychological and Societal Milieux of Foreign Policy Decisionmaking
FPA Self-Reflection in the Late 1970s and 1980s
Foreign Policy Analysis from 1993 to the Present
2 The Individual Decisionmaker: The Political Psychology of World Leaders
Exploring the Components of the Mind
Attitudes and the Mental Model—and What Lies Beneath
3 Group Decisionmaking: Small Group Dynamics, Organizational Process, and Bureaucratic Politics
Case Study: Detention of Foreign Terrorists at Guantánamo
4 Culture and National Identity
Conceptualizing Culture and National Identity
The Interface: Culture and Foreign Policy
Shared Systems of Meaning in Foreign Policy and Foreign Policymaking
Differences in Values and Preferences in Foreign Policy and Foreign Policymaking
Prefabricated Templates of Action in Foreign Policy and Foreign Policymaking
The Domestic Polity: Characteristics and Institutions
Case Study: Iran, U.S. Domestic Politics and the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
Regime Strategy on the Domestic Game Board
Case Study: U.S. Involvement in Vietnam
6 The Levels of National Attributes and International System: Effects on Foreign Policy
National Attributes and Foreign Policy
The International System and Foreign Policy
System Attributes and Their Effect on Foreign Policy
Concepts of System Transition and Transition’s Effect on Foreign Policy
PART III: Putting It All Together, or Not
7 Theoretical Integration in Foreign Policy Analysis
Cross-Level Integration: Promise and Frustration
Obstacles to Systematized, Cross-Level Theoretical Integration in Foreign Policy Analysis
Brecher and Wilkenfeld: The Question of Quantitative versus Qualitative Integration
Integrating FPA Theory and IR Theory
8 The Future of Foreign Policy Analysis
Foreign Policy Analysis beyond North America
Less Developed Levels of Analysis
Integration across Levels of Analysis