Chapter 11

Global burden of disease

Terminology

In this final section of the book we describe the epidemiology of diseases in the world. We look at the burden of non-communicable and communicable disease at the global, European, and UK level. These estimates are limited by measurement difficulties, but we present both mortality and a composite measure of morbidity and mortality, the disability-adjusted life year (DALY).

The DALY is a measure combining years of life lost due to premature mortality with years of life lost due to time lived in poor health. It was developed for the World Bank and is now widely used by WHO and other global institutions to compare the health burdens of different diseases across the world:

DALY = YLL + YLD

(where YLL is years of life lost, YLD is years lived with disability).

1 DALY is a year of perfect health lost. Diseases that cause long-term disability, such as mental health problems, may lead to a large proportion of DALYs without being major causes of mortality.

Further reading

Murray CJL, Lopez AD (eds) The Global Burden of Disease. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press on behalf of the World Health Organization and the World Bank; 1996.

WHO. The Global Burden of Disease: 2004 Update. Geneva: WHO; 2008. imagehttp://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease

Global burden of non-communicable disease

Non-communicable disease is the major cause of mortality in high-income countries, and its importance is growing in middle- and low-income countries as the control and treatment of infectious disease improves. This shift from a predominant infectious disease burden to non-infectious conditions is known as the ‘epidemiological transition’.

Mortality

Globally non-communicable diseases are responsible for 59.6% of deaths. Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death, responsible for 17.1 million deaths a year1 (Table 11.1); the distribution of chronic disease deaths in Europe is shown in Table 11.2.

Morbidity

The burden of chronic disease morbidity is also high and people are often affected for many years. However, many conditions can be prevented or ameliorated by lifestyle changes including smoking cessation, weight loss, and physical activity (see pp.6063).

Although low- and middle-income countries experience most of the global burden of infectious disease, almost half of their burden of disease is caused by non-communicable conditions. The burden of non-communicable disease in middle- and low-income countries is increasing as the prevalence of high BP, high serum cholesterol, smoking, and obesity increases.

Overall burden

When DALYs are used to estimate the overall burden of disease, a number of conditions that are rarely fatal become much more important. For example, mental health problems represent a huge burden of disease while not contributing much to overall mortality.

Inequality

The risk of developing a non-communicable condition often increases with age. Therefore the prevalence of these conditions tends to be higher in the high-income countries due to their older population.

Morbidity and mortality can often be improved with healthcare. Therefore the burden of disease can disproportionately affect lower-income countries where resource scarcity can limit healthcare provision, and they suffer under the dual burden of communicable and non-communicable disease.

As knowledge about the causes of non-communicable conditions continues to grow, richer countries are often able to take action to protect their population. For example, they may introduce stricter controls over occupational chemical exposure, tobacco control interventions, and healthy eating initiatives.

Table 11.1 Global burden of non-communicable diseases, 20041

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Table 11.2 European burden of non-communicable diseases, 20041

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Burden of non-communicable disease in the UK

Mortality

In 2005 there were 580,000 deaths in the UK.1 The top categories of causes of death were:

Circulatory: 36.0%.
Neoplasm: 27.2%.
Respiratory: 14.0%.
Digestive: 5.0%.
External causes: 3.3%.
Mental/behavioural: 3.0%.

Infectious and parasitic diseases only accounted for 1.2% of deaths.

Overall burden

In 2004 the UK was assessed as having 7.5 million DALYs overall, of which 87.5% were due to non-communicable diseases.1 The top 4 global burden of disease categories in the UK account for 68% of total UK DALYs:

Neuropsychiatric conditions: 1.97 million (26% of total).
Cardiovascular disease: 1.30 million (17%).
Malignant neoplasms: 1.17 million (15%).
Respiratory diseases: 691,000 (9%).

Demands on healthcare

Chronic diseases are a major burden on the UK NHS.
This burden will only increase as the population ages.
Modifiable factors increase the risk of common chronic conditions and the need for healthcare, including obesity, high BP, smoking, and physical inactivity.
Obesity is common. In England >60% of the adult population and 30% of children are overweight or obese.2
30% of adults in England have high BP and almost half of these are not being treated for it.2
22% of adults in England are current cigarette smokers.2

Healthcare costs

Healthcare costs for chronic conditions increase as technologies advance.
In 2008/09 the UK NHS had a budget of >£100 billion which equates to approximately £1980 per person.3
Over 800 million prescriptions were dispensed in the community by the NHS in 2009, costing >£8.5 billion.4
18 of the 20 most commonly prescribed drugs treat non-communicable diseases and 4 of the top 5 of these drugs were for cardiovascular disease.4

Inequality

The prevalence of non-communicable conditions increases with age.
Men are more likely to be a current cigarette smoker than women (24% v 20%).2
Obesity is more common in populations living in the most deprived areas compared to the most affluent areas (27% v 24%).5
Smoking is much more common in the most deprived communities (34%) than the most affluent (14%).5

Global burden of communicable disease

Overall, infectious and parasitic diseases cause just under 20% of the global burden of disease (see Table 11.3).

Mortality

The proportion of deaths due to communicable diseases declined in rich countries in the 20th century, but they remain important causes of morbidity and continue to present new challenges such as HIV/AIDS and other emerging infections. Globally infectious and parasitic diseases are responsible for 16.2% of deaths, a large number of which are preventable. HIV/AIDS, for example, is the leading cause of adult deaths in sub-Saharan Africa. More than 90% of deaths from communicable diseases are caused by a handful of diseases: lower respiratory infections, HIV/AIDS, diarrhoeal diseases, TB, malaria, and measles.

Morbidity

The burden of communicable disease morbidity is also high. Infectious diseases in childhood, whilst not always associated with high mortality, can lead to poor development and educational achievement for millions of children in low- and middle-income countries, and to loss of productivity and opportunity for adults. In the UK, communicable diseases place a high level of demand on health services and burden of disease and loss of work for individuals.

Inequality

The burden is unevenly distributed between regions of the world, with a much higher proportion of mortality, ill health, and disability attributable to communicable diseases in poorer regions and countries. Major causes of death and disability in the world, such as diarrhoeal disease, measles, and malaria, are far less important in areas such as Europe, as shown by comparing Tables 11.3 and 11.4. However, inequalities also exist within regions and countries, with the burden of disease falling disproportionately on poorer sections of the population. Within Europe, for example, communicable disease causes 1.5% of deaths in high-income areas compared with 2.9% in low- and middle-income areas. In the poorest regions there is an additional burden from neglected tropical diseases (see pp.356357) which are estimated to affect >1 billion people.

Table 11.3 Global burden of communicable diseases, 20041

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* Childhood infections includes pertussis, polio, diphtheria, measles, tetanus;

** See Neglected tropical diseases, p.356 for definitions.

Table 11.4 European burden of communicable diseases, 20041

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Burden of communicable disease in the UK

Mortality from infectious disease declined over the last century from 20% of deaths in 1911 to around 6.6% today. This includes 1% from infections and parasitic diseases such as TB, HIV, meningitis, and 5.5% from influenza and pneumonia1. However, infections are still responsible for a significant amount of illness placing a strain on individuals, health services, and the economy.

Demands on healthcare

20% of the population suffer from an infectious intestinal disease each year (although only 3% consult a GP).
Almost 1% of calls to NHS Direct are related to colds or flu-like illness.
35% of all GP consultations in England are infectious disease related, and approximately half of those made by children.
40% of people in the UK consult their GP at least once a year because of some infectious disease.
4% of admissions and 5% of bed-days are attributable to infectious diseases.

Healthcare costs

The HPA estimates the annual cost of treating communicable disease in England at £6 billion:2
Primary care bears the highest burden of costs at £3.5 billion.
Hospital admissions costs are around £900 million.
Infectious intestinal disease (IID) such as food poisoning, with 20% of the population annually suffering from an IID (only 3% of these consult.
Respiratory infections such as cold and influenza account for 5.5 million GP visits each year costing £170 million.
HIV/AIDS costs an estimated £400 million pa.

Mortality

1.2% of all deaths in England and Wales are due to infectious and parasitic diseases (ICD-10 A00-B99, 2005 data);1 including 3% of deaths in children under 16.

Inequality

Gastrointestinal infection leading to hospital admission was 2.4× higher in the poorest fifth of the population than in the most affluent quintile.