Contents

Foreword

Preface and acknowledgements

1.

Rationality in reasoning

The rationality paradox

Two kinds of rationality

The limitations of logical reasoning

Form and objectives of this book

Notes

2.

Personal goals, utility, and probability

Goals and decisions

Problems with normative decision theory

Epistemic goals and utility

Conclusions

3.

Relevance, rationality, and tacit processing

Relevance and rationality

Relevance in reasoning

Relevance in decision making and judgement

Conclusions

Notes

4.

Reasoning as decision making: The case of the selection task

The deontic selection task

Indicative selection tasks

Conclusion

5.

Prior belief

Use and neglect of Bayesian priors

Confirmation bias

Belief bias

Conclusion

6.

Deductive competence

Competence and bias in reasoning: The evidence

The mechanism of deduction: Rules or models?

Note

7.

A dual process theory of thinking

Dual processes in reasoning: Sequential, parallel, or interactive?

The nature of tacit thought processes

The nature of explicit thought processes

Conclusions and final thoughts

Note

References

Author index

Subject index