Log In
Or create an account ->
Imperial Library
Home
About
News
Upload
Forum
Help
Login/SignUp
Index
Cover page
Halftitle page
Title page
Copyright page
Dedication page
Foreword
Turbulence
Where are we now?
What does scenario planning have to offer?
Preface
The journey of learning that led to this book
Acknowledgments
Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
List of Boxes
List of Abbreviations
1 Introduction: Scenario planning—The Oxford Approach
Introduction
Introducing the OSPA: seven key premises
Distinctive features of the OSPA
Methodological choices in the OSPA
Organization of this book
2 The OSPA as social process
Introduction
Strategic situations are always socially constructed
Time matters
Sensemaking in the safe space: plausibility, memorability, and consistency
Social benefits of scenario planning
Ethics and governance in scenario planning
Conclusion
3 Scenario planning as a knowledge acquisition and generation process
Introduction
What is knowledge?
Knowledge of the future?
Engaging the unknown and the uncertain: scenario planning as research methodology in the OSPA
Eliciting and accessing knowledge
The roles of modeling in scenario planning
The roles of research in scenario planning
Conclusion
4 Working with scenario planning learners
Introduction
Starting with learners, purposes, and intended uses
Working with the scenario planning learner
Helping to redirect the learner’s attention
Matters of technique to engage learners effectively
Conclusion: engaging the learner’s mind actively
5 How scenario planning is done: The OSPA in action
Introduction
Methodology
Designing a scenario planning intervention: choices and key parameters
Conclusion: reframing services, not products
6 Learning and teaching: Scenario planning in executive development
Introduction
Designing learning for scenario planning
Pedagogy and action learning
Scenario planning and reflective practice
Executive learning as designed inquiry and engaged scholarship
Conclusion
7 Conclusion: An incomplete guide to scenario planning and the beginning of a conversation
Introduction
Distinctive characteristics of the OSPA
Delving deeper: ontological and epistemological foundations of the OSPA
Unresolved issues
New directions for research
An incomplete guide to the future of scenario planning, and a better place to start
Appendix A Wärtsilä Case Study
Background
Scenario project work
The three projects’ scenarios
Scenario planning project results: uses, outcomes, consequences
Implications
Notes
Appendix B Shell 2001 Global Scenarios Case Study
Background
Scenario project work
The Shell 2001 global scenarios
Project results: uses, outcomes, consequences
Implications
Notes
Appendix C United European Gastroenterology Case Study
Background
Scenario project work
The UEG scenarios
Project results: uses, outcomes, consequences
Implications
Notes
Appendix D Aids in Africa Case Study
Background
Scenario project work
The AiA scenarios
Project results: uses, outcomes, consequences
Implications
Notes
Appendix E The European Patent Office Case Study
Background
Scenario project work
The EPO scenarios
Project results: uses, outcomes, consequences
Implications
Notes
Appendix F Risk-World Scenarios Case Study
Background
Scenario project work
Scenario building process
The Risk-World scenarios
Project results: uses, outcomes, consequences
Implications
Notes
Glossary
References
Subject index
Name index
← Prev
Back
Next →
← Prev
Back
Next →