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Imperial Library
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Index
Cover
Contents
Title
Copyright
Preface
Chapter One: Bonds Are Safer Than Stocks
Bonds Are Volatile, Too
Stocks Are Less Volatile Than Bonds?
Blame Evolution
Stocks Are Positive Much More Often Than Not
Stocks Are Positive—And Overwhelmingly Beat Bonds
The Stock Evolution
Chapter Two: Asset Allocation Short-Cuts
The Critical Asset Allocation Decision
Getting Time Horizon Right
Inflation’s Insidious Impact
Chapter Three: Volatility and Only Volatility
Oft-Overlooked Interest Rate Risk
Portfolio Risk and Food Risk
When Opportunity Doesn’t Knock
Chapter Four: More Volatile Than Ever
Volatility Goes Up, Too
Volatility Isn’t Predictive
Volatility Is Volatile—And Not Trending Higher
Hug a Speculator
Chapter Five: The Holy Grail—Capital Preservation and Growth
Capital Preservation Requires No Volatility . . .
. . . But Growth Requires Volatility!
Chapter Six: The GDP–Stock Mismatch Crash
GDP Measures Output, Not Economic Health
Shrinking Government Spending Is Good, Not Bad
Too Far, Too Fast?
What Are Stocks?
Chapter Seven: 10% Forever!
Stock Returns Are Superior—And Variable
I See 5% CDs
Chapter Eight: High Dividends for Sure Income
No Guarantees!
Homegrown Dividends
Chapter Nine: The Perma-Superiority of Small-Cap Value
Perma-Love or Heat Chasing?
Capitalism Basics
Chapter Ten: Wait Until You’re Sure
TGH at Work
The V-Bounce
Chapter Eleven: Stop-Losses Stop Losses
The Stop-Loss Mechanics
Stock Prices Aren’t Serially Correlated
Pick a Level, Any Level
Chapter Twelve: High Unemployment Kills Stocks
See It Like a CEO
The Economy Leads, Unemployment Lags
The Stock Market Really Leads
Consumer Spending Is Incredibly Stable
Producers in the Driver’s Seat
Chapter Thirteen: Over-Indebted America
The Government Is a Stupid Spender
Putting Debt in Perspective
Question Everything!
The Real Issue . . . Affordability
Cheaper Debt After the Downgrade
Dependent on the Kindness of Strangers?
Nowhere to Go
Chapter Fourteen: Strong Dollar, Strong Stocks
Weak Dollar, Strong Dollar—Does It Matter?
Think Inside the 4-Box
Chapter Fifteen: Turmoil Troubles Stocks
Chapter Sixteen: News You Can Use
Look the Other Way
A Sentiment Indicator
Interpret It to Use It
Ground Rules for Interpreting Media Profitably
Chapter Seventeen: Too Good to Be True
Separate Decision Maker and Custody
High and Steady . . . and Fake
Super-High . . . and Also Fake
Scams of All Stripes
Acknowledgments
About the Authors
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